Brividoboy

Hello, Skyrexians!

Despite we expect the alt coin's dominance bottom at approximately 25th of April some altcoins like $ARB can continue the bear market even further. Looking at the price chart we found the most likely and realistic scenario. 

Let's take a look at the daily chart. Here we can see that on the Awesome Oscillator price has not crossed zero line and this is extremely bad. There is a high probability that currently asset is not in wave 5, but in wave 5 inside 3. This subway has the target $0.15-0.27. We suppose that $0.27 is our case. We will see the bounce in wave 4 soon to 0.38 Fibonacci and then the new deep dive to $0.2 in the wave 5. We pointed out the most conservative targets. Price can go even lower, but in our experience it's not likely because the max targets leads to price below zero.

Best regards,
Skyrexio Team

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🚀What is Nillion?
Nillion is a decentralized network that uses a new technology called Nil Message Compute (NMC) to provide secure data storage and processing while preserving privacy. Unlike traditional blockchains, it does not rely on communication between nodes for computation, making it faster and more scalable. Its focus is on "blind computation," enabling calculations to be performed on encrypted data without ever decrypting it, using advanced techniques such as Secure Multi-Party Computation (MPC) and homomorphic encryption.

The network has two main layers: the Coordination Layer (for governance and payments) and the Petnet (for computation and storage). The $NIL token is used for fees, staking, governance, and access to services. Founded in 2021 by former executives from companies like Goldman Sachs, Uber, and Hedera, Nillion has already raised over $20 million. It aims to revolutionize the use of sensitive data in areas such as private AI, healthcare, and finance, serving as an infrastructure that can integrate with existing blockchains or operate independently, with theoretical security against quantum attacks. The token launch is scheduled for March 25, 2025.
💸Airdrop
Nillion has already conducted an airdrop of its $NIL token, and the distribution process is ongoing according to recent information. The "Allocation Checker" was launched on March 12, 2025, allowing participants to verify their token allocations. The campaign rewarded community members and early contributors with up to 75 million $NIL (7.5% of the total supply), focusing on criteria such as participation in blind computation staking, validation activities, and community engagement. The registration period for claiming had a deadline, which closed before the Token Generation Event (TGE), scheduled for March 25, 2025.

As of now (March 23, 2025), the initial airdrop has already taken place, and the distribution is being fine-tuned, with updates such as the early release of rewards for pre-stakers on the first day after the TGE. There is no confirmed information about future airdrops beyond this initial event, but Nillion has reserved 12.5% of the supply for future community initiatives, which could include additional airdrops or incentive programs. To find out if there will be another one, I recommend following Nillion’s official channels (such as Twitter @nillionnetwork or the website nillion.com), as they announce updates there.

🎯Company Perspective (Nillion)
Nillion is positioning the launch of $NIL, scheduled for March 25, 2025 (Token Generation Event - TGE), as a revolutionary milestone. The company highlights the concept of "Blind Computation" as its key differentiator, enabling secure computations on encrypted data without compromising privacy. They view $NIL as the fuel for a new privacy-focused internet infrastructure, with applications in personalized AI, data markets, and decentralized science (DeSci). Nillion emphasizes that the token will be essential for network security, governance, and access to services, including the Coordination Layer and the Petnet. The company also celebrates the success of the mainnet genesis and the community airdrop, which distributed up to 75 million tokens (7.5% of the total supply), signaling confidence in community engagement and long-term support.

📣Market Opinion
The market is displaying a mix of optimism and caution regarding $NIL. Posts on X and initial analyses suggest that the listing on Binance Launchpool (announced as the 65th project) is generating hype, particularly due to the low initial circulation (19.52% of the total supply of 1 billion tokens, or 195 million $NIL). This, combined with zero inflation for the first six months, indicates potential for volatility and aggressive "price discovery" shortly after the launch. In pre-market trading, the token is being traded between $0.70 and $0.80, with an estimated Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) ranging from $400 million to $900 million, which some consider high but justifiable given the backing of Tier 1 exchanges and the privacy narrative. The primary risk highlighted is selling pressure from the airdrop, as participants may liquidate their allocations (an average of 2,000 tokens for "gold tier") as early as the first day.

🕵️‍♂️Expert Analysis
Crypto experts and analysts are divided, but there’s a general tone of interest. Some predict that $NIL could debut between $2 and $3 on the first day, driven by limited supply dynamics and initial enthusiasm, though they expect a correction due to airdrop sell-offs. The absence of initial inflation and the tokenomics structure (with 12.5% reserved for future community initiatives) are seen as strengths, suggesting long-term stability if technology adoption grows. The underlying technology, Nil Message Compute (NMC), is praised for its innovation in Secure Multi-Party Computation (MPC), offering scalability and theoretical quantum security, which draws attention to use cases in private AI and sensitive data. However, there’s skepticism about the valuation: an FDV of $900 million is considered "rich" by some, and success will hinge on the practical delivery of the mainnet and real traction in commercial applications.

🧩Summary and General Expectation
Short Term: The launch is expected to be volatile, with potential initial spikes ($2-$3) due to low circulation and Binance hype, but with a risk of drops from airdrop sell-offs.
Long Term: Expectations hinge on the adoption of "blind computation" and Nillion’s ability to attract businesses and developers. The market views it as a promising bet on privacy, though still speculative.
Sentiment: Optimistic with reservations. The narrative is strong, the team is experienced (ex-Uber, Hedera, Goldman Sachs), and investor support (over $50 million raised) is solid, but real success will be measured post-launch.

📊Is Nillion well-regarded in the crypto community?
Yes, Nillion and its $NIL token are well-regarded in the crypto community, especially in the months leading up to the launch on March 25, 2025. The buzz is noticeable, but the sentiment is a mix of excitement, curiosity, and some caution. Here’s an overview based on posts on X, forum discussions, and general community perceptions as of March 23, 2025:
👍Positive Points in the Community
Binance Launchpool Hype: Its inclusion as the 65th project on Binance Launchpool has given $NIL a significant visibility boost. This is seen as a seal of approval by many, as projects listed there often attract massive attention and perform strongly initially.
Privacy Narrative: The "blind computation" proposal is resonating well. The crypto community values solutions that address privacy and data security, especially at a time when AI and sensitive data are trending. On X, users frequently highlight Nillion’s potential for use cases like private AI and decentralized data markets.
Airdrop and Engagement: The airdrop of up to 75 million $NIL has been widely discussed and praised for rewarding the early community. Posts on X show excitement from participants who received allocations (e.g., averages of 2,000 tokens for the "gold tier"), and the transparency of the "Allocation Checker" has been well-received.
Team and Backing: The fact that the team includes former executives from companies like Uber, Goldman Sachs, and Hedera lends credibility. The community also notes the over $50 million raised from investors like Distributed Global and Big Brain Holdings, which bolsters confidence in the project.

👀Points of Discussion/Caution
High Valuation: Some community members find the initial Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV), estimated between $400M and $900M, a bit steep for a new project, even with innovative technology. There are posts on X questioning whether the pre-market price ($0.70-$0.80) will hold up after the launch.

Airdrop Sell-Off Pressure: A recurring topic is the risk of dumping right after the TGE, as many airdrop recipients might sell their tokens immediately. This sparks debates about the short-term price impact.

Competition: While the Nil Message Compute (NMC) technology is seen as unique, some compare Nillion to projects like Phala Network or Secret Network, which also focus on private computation. There are questions on X like: "What does Nillion do that’s so different?"

Proof in Practice: Despite the hype, part of the community wants to see the mainnet operational and real-world use cases before fully "buying the narrative." The promise of scalability and quantum security is well-regarded, but some say "the devil is in the details."

🤔General Sentiment on X and Forums
Positive: Many posts on X call Nillion a "game-changer" or "hidden gem," with users excited about its potential integration with AI and DeSci. There are memes and threads praising the project as "the future of privacy."
Neutral/Cautious: Others take a "wait-and-see" tone, noting that success depends on post-launch execution. Some say "good project, but the high FDV might scare people off."
Negative: Criticism is rare, but there are voices calling the hype overblown or questioning the technology’s complexity for mainstream adoption.

📍Conclusion
Yes, Nillion is well-regarded in the crypto community, with a largely positive reception driven by its narrative, institutional backing, and Binance listing. The enthusiasm is palpable, but there’s an undercurrent of caution regarding price and practical delivery. It’s one of the most talked-about projects right now, especially with the TGE just two days away. What do you think of the hype so far?

#NIL #BinanceLaunchPool🔥 #nillion #TradeNTell #Alert🔴
$nil

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