分析师舒琴
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4.1 Years
7年实战，专业链上数据研究，墨尔本大学金融本科，感兴趣可以看看，Youtube直播：分析师舒琴。微博：分析师舒琴。推特：@BitebiShuqin。平时也会在社区更新行情，和大家一起见证币圈新一轮大牛市的崛起！币安注册邀请码20%永久返：RR3E0F4F
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Sigh, yesterday BTC short positions battled with the market makers all night, and in the end, we still took a loss. What's even more frustrating is that just after I stopped out, it dropped. Such a pity.
However, our other position, the ZRO short, went very well. We shorted at 2.0 and successfully shorted down to 1.85. The point was still quite good, nearly a 10% drop. One win and one loss, a small profit overall. Tonight we will continue, let's crush the market makers! 👻
However, our other position, the ZRO short, went very well. We shorted at 2.0 and successfully shorted down to 1.85. The point was still quite good, nearly a 10% drop. One win and one loss, a small profit overall. Tonight we will continue, let's crush the market makers! 👻
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Bitcoin is close to rebounding to my target, preparing to set up two short positions.
Entry: Around 106800
Confidence level: Medium
Leverage: 10x
Position: 10%
Take profit: Level 1: Around 105800 (conservative) Level 2: Around 104600
Stop loss: Slightly above 108500
Reason: The last major drop rebounded to 106800, which is a point of reference; another resistance is around 107500.
Note: Do not place orders at round numbers, as they are hard to fill. It's easier to execute orders a bit below the resistance zone or a bit above the support level. Currently, due to false breakdowns and false breakouts, we will set our stop loss a bit higher to prevent such situations and adjust our risk-reward ratio to significantly increase the probability of winning trades.
Entry: Around 106800
Confidence level: Medium
Leverage: 10x
Position: 10%
Take profit: Level 1: Around 105800 (conservative) Level 2: Around 104600
Stop loss: Slightly above 108500
Reason: The last major drop rebounded to 106800, which is a point of reference; another resistance is around 107500.
Note: Do not place orders at round numbers, as they are hard to fill. It's easier to execute orders a bit below the resistance zone or a bit above the support level. Currently, due to false breakdowns and false breakouts, we will set our stop loss a bit higher to prevent such situations and adjust our risk-reward ratio to significantly increase the probability of winning trades.
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Discussing the Bitcoin trend, the current market may not last much longer.
Many people are quite confused about the current trend, but in my view, Bitcoin is currently experiencing a typical top distribution, which has happened earlier this year or from April to July last year.
Even in March and November 2021, it was similar, distributing chips for about two months, completing the turnover, and then crashing, resulting in a significant loss for many investors.
If it's a right-side trade, you can wait for Bitcoin to confirm breaking below the neckline before shorting, leading to a significant drop. Before that, it will oscillate at the top, with 100,000 as the neckline support, 110,000 as the peak, and then it will consolidate back and forth around the small support and resistance levels at 106,000. As traders, we can profit from this fluctuation, which is what we’ve been doing in our recent trades, opening positions daily.
Even in March and November 2021, it was similar, distributing chips for about two months, completing the turnover, and then crashing, resulting in a significant loss for many investors.
If it's a right-side trade, you can wait for Bitcoin to confirm breaking below the neckline before shorting, leading to a significant drop. Before that, it will oscillate at the top, with 100,000 as the neckline support, 110,000 as the peak, and then it will consolidate back and forth around the small support and resistance levels at 106,000. As traders, we can profit from this fluctuation, which is what we’ve been doing in our recent trades, opening positions daily.
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Will Bitcoin continue to drop? Are the main players buying the dip? Don't worry about the Middle East for now! The U.S. backyard is on fire, and unemployment has skyrocketed to a four-year high! Has the Great Depression quietly begun? Beware, oil prices have soared 40% in two weeks, and inflation is about to spiral out of control! Will the new Federal Reserve ease monetary policy?
What’s happening?! The U.S. job market has suddenly collapsed! The latest unemployment numbers have reached their highest level since the pandemic began. Is a major recession quietly approaching?
First of all, the U.S. employment data has begun to plummet sharply. According to the latest data this week, the number of unemployment claims in the U.S. exceeded expectations, rising to 248,000, the highest level since the pandemic began in 2021. What’s even more concerning is that it has increased for four consecutive weeks, forming an upward trend, and this is not a joke.
And the culprit is probably known to everyone, which is that the subsequent impact of Trump's tariffs is beginning to reflect on the economic level. In the coming months, unemployment and inflation will only continue to rise, while the Federal Reserve cannot lower interest rates and can only maintain extremely high rates, suppressing the economy. This is really not a good sign, and many retail investors are unaware of this data.
First of all, the U.S. employment data has begun to plummet sharply. According to the latest data this week, the number of unemployment claims in the U.S. exceeded expectations, rising to 248,000, the highest level since the pandemic began in 2021. What’s even more concerning is that it has increased for four consecutive weeks, forming an upward trend, and this is not a joke.
And the culprit is probably known to everyone, which is that the subsequent impact of Trump's tariffs is beginning to reflect on the economic level. In the coming months, unemployment and inflation will only continue to rise, while the Federal Reserve cannot lower interest rates and can only maintain extremely high rates, suppressing the economy. This is really not a good sign, and many retail investors are unaware of this data.
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Oh my, which annoying younger brother has been hanging orders below me! This order was supposed to earn hundreds of thousands of dollars, but it didn't get in, just a little bit short! I've been waiting since yesterday morning and still haven't gotten in, it's driving me crazy!
I placed an order last night, 106500 is the resistance, I thought I could place a short order just below it at 106333, I thought this time it was safe, and I'd collect the profits the next day. As a result, a bunch of people placed orders below me, and you all jumped in at 106200, and now you still dare to show off your achievements, it's infuriating!
I placed an order last night, 106500 is the resistance, I thought I could place a short order just below it at 106333, I thought this time it was safe, and I'd collect the profits the next day. As a result, a bunch of people placed orders below me, and you all jumped in at 106200, and now you still dare to show off your achievements, it's infuriating!
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The crypto market crashes, and people get rich overnight!
Have you noticed that Bitcoin couldn't rise despite various positive news before, but a single negative news caused it to crash? This is the effort without results; the previous positive news couldn't drive the price up, which is a sign of decline. The drop is far from over. I've said before that the crypto market will see a bottom in July or August after a correction, so clear everything out.
For the long term, first, look at the CME gap at 92,000. In the short term, Bitcoin's sharp drop and rebound might reach around 105,500 (already close), or if there's a bit of positive news, it might go to 107,400. I lean towards positioning for another short after the rebound.
Actually, Bitcoin's candlestick chart is doing relatively well. Look at small coins like Pepe, they are facing a significant drop. Luckily, we have repeatedly talked about clearing positions and shorting, and I hope everyone has taken it to heart. Moreover, in the past two weeks, our shorts on ZK and Trump have given us even greater surprises; shorting feels great!
For the long term, first, look at the CME gap at 92,000. In the short term, Bitcoin's sharp drop and rebound might reach around 105,500 (already close), or if there's a bit of positive news, it might go to 107,400. I lean towards positioning for another short after the rebound.
Actually, Bitcoin's candlestick chart is doing relatively well. Look at small coins like Pepe, they are facing a significant drop. Luckily, we have repeatedly talked about clearing positions and shorting, and I hope everyone has taken it to heart. Moreover, in the past two weeks, our shorts on ZK and Trump have given us even greater surprises; shorting feels great!
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Today I made money from orders, should I help my best friend pick a handsome guy? 🤔
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Cryptocurrency Financial Bombshell! The Federal Reserve meeting is approaching; will there be an unexpected rate cut this time? Powell will unleash a flood of liquidity on this day! Ethereum is soaring! Is it going to hit 3000? I was stunned after reviewing the on-chain data. Is the altcoin season coming? Let's discuss Pepe's operations. Sudden news from ZK, can we still short?
The Federal Reserve meeting is about to begin. Will there be an unexpected rate cut this time? The outcome is surprising! Ethereum has broken its previous high! Have institutions increased their positions? After looking at the on-chain data, I couldn't help but break out in a sweat. Let’s take a look together with Shu Qin~
First of all, there is the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, which may change all current trends. Because at the June meeting, in addition to announcing the interest rate cut results, they will also release the future rate dot plot. This dot plot is the Federal Reserve's most intuitive expectation of when and how much they will cut interest rates in the future, and each time it stirs up a storm.
First of all, there is the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, which may change all current trends. Because at the June meeting, in addition to announcing the interest rate cut results, they will also release the future rate dot plot. This dot plot is the Federal Reserve's most intuitive expectation of when and how much they will cut interest rates in the future, and each time it stirs up a storm.
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Bitcoin has plummeted; will it continue to drop? Where to make a rebound?
The current trend of Bitcoin really feels familiar. Last time, when Bitcoin rose to 110,000, it pulled back to around 106,700 for support, experienced a small rebound, and then continued to drop, reaching the strong support around 104,000, leading to a larger rebound, as shown in the picture:
History may not repeat itself completely, but it has reference significance. Bitcoin around 106500-107000 does have certain support, as it was a low point in previous instances. If you want to make a small rebound, you can pay attention to this range. Of course, stronger support is definitely around 104000, where the chances of a rebound are greater, and the rebound magnitude should also be larger.
History may not repeat itself completely, but it has reference significance. Bitcoin around 106500-107000 does have certain support, as it was a low point in previous instances. If you want to make a small rebound, you can pay attention to this range. Of course, stronger support is definitely around 104000, where the chances of a rebound are greater, and the rebound magnitude should also be larger.
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Empty until the end, everything should be available! Has Bitcoin double topped? The ZK resistance at 0.585 is empty, right? Very perfect!
Right now, Bitcoin is distributing at the top. Anyone who buys now is just taking over the position. If you want to buy, why didn't you buy at the previous low of 70,000 or 80,000 with me, but instead wait until 110,000 to think about going all in? This doesn’t seem right, does it?
As an experienced trader with 8 years in the market, let me tell you, in the crypto world, don’t try to earn the last penny. Those buried at the mountain top are all retail investors who got in too late.
Bitcoin might rise a bit more due to some sudden good news, or ETH might touch 3000 again, but so what? That’s just a 5% increase. We can capture 50-100% gains with our fish body. Let those who FOMO chase the remaining small gains.
I tell you, the crypto market will see a bottom in July or August. At that time, we can go all in and buy at around 80,000 to 90,000. Don’t enter the market now at 110,000. The upside is limited, while the downside has huge room for adjustment. Just watch the show for now, especially if Bitcoin has a false breakout (breaking the previous high but then falling back). This is the shorting opportunity I desire the most, with daily real-time updates on the points!
Right now, Bitcoin is distributing at the top. Anyone who buys now is just taking over the position. If you want to buy, why didn't you buy at the previous low of 70,000 or 80,000 with me, but instead wait until 110,000 to think about going all in? This doesn’t seem right, does it?
As an experienced trader with 8 years in the market, let me tell you, in the crypto world, don’t try to earn the last penny. Those buried at the mountain top are all retail investors who got in too late.
Bitcoin might rise a bit more due to some sudden good news, or ETH might touch 3000 again, but so what? That’s just a 5% increase. We can capture 50-100% gains with our fish body. Let those who FOMO chase the remaining small gains.
I tell you, the crypto market will see a bottom in July or August. At that time, we can go all in and buy at around 80,000 to 90,000. Don’t enter the market now at 110,000. The upside is limited, while the downside has huge room for adjustment. Just watch the show for now, especially if Bitcoin has a false breakout (breaking the previous high but then falling back). This is the shorting opportunity I desire the most, with daily real-time updates on the points!
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Oh my, the CPI inflation data has come out, could it be good news? Hurry up and take a look!
As shown in the picture: 1. This CPI meets expectations, impact is minimal!
2. This core CPI is lower than expected, which is good news!
Interpretation of the relationship between CPI and Bitcoin price fluctuations: A CPI result lower than expected is good news, higher than expected is bad news. Meeting expectations is neither good nor bad, with a smaller impact.
As shown in the picture: 1. This CPI meets expectations, impact is minimal!
2. This core CPI is lower than expected, which is good news!
Interpretation of the relationship between CPI and Bitcoin price fluctuations: A CPI result lower than expected is good news, higher than expected is bad news. Meeting expectations is neither good nor bad, with a smaller impact.
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Will there be a big drop tonight? The Federal Reserve's meeting is approaching, and tonight's CPI is of utmost importance!
As shown in the figure, CPI inflation is likely to rise! The hidden dangers of Trump's tariff policy are beginning to emerge. According to current expectations on Wall Street, both the CPI and core CPI are expected to rise by 0.1%. This is the latest expectation today.
This expectation has actually been lowered because the CPI expectation yesterday was more aggressive, predicting a rise to 2.5%, while today’s pre-release expectation is 2.4%. It looks a bit better but is still higher than the previous value of 2.3%.
This is also why Shu Qin has been cautious these past few days. I finally understand the Federal Reserve, which has been holding steady. Sometimes waiting is the best choice until key data comes out, Bitcoin.
This expectation has actually been lowered because the CPI expectation yesterday was more aggressive, predicting a rise to 2.5%, while today’s pre-release expectation is 2.4%. It looks a bit better but is still higher than the previous value of 2.3%.
This is also why Shu Qin has been cautious these past few days. I finally understand the Federal Reserve, which has been holding steady. Sometimes waiting is the best choice until key data comes out, Bitcoin.
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Opportunities for big profits in the cryptocurrency market! Dive into these three coins, they will double next week! Insider news: Bitcoin is expected to crash on Wednesday; institutions have set up $3.2 billion in short positions! Chinese in this country trading cryptocurrencies illegally, what should I do? U.S. inflation data is about to be released; will it still be good news this time? Let's talk about Trump and ZK coin.
Is it true? U.S. inflation data is expected to soar to 5% this year! Institutions have already liquidated all positions, and you still don't know?
Opportunities to make big money are here! These three coins have huge operational opportunities, with a great chance of success, and I have entered the market!
First, regarding this week's market, although it has surged now, I want to give you a heads-up: the cryptocurrency market is going to start crashing on Wednesday and Thursday. Just wait and see.
The inflation data on Wednesday night is really not optimistic. Wall Street expects the CPI to surge by 0.2%, and the core CPI is also expected to rise by 0.1%, completely reversing the downward trend of the previous months. Trump's tariffs are finally going to reflect in the data.
Opportunities to make big money are here! These three coins have huge operational opportunities, with a great chance of success, and I have entered the market!
First, regarding this week's market, although it has surged now, I want to give you a heads-up: the cryptocurrency market is going to start crashing on Wednesday and Thursday. Just wait and see.
The inflation data on Wednesday night is really not optimistic. Wall Street expects the CPI to surge by 0.2%, and the core CPI is also expected to rise by 0.1%, completely reversing the downward trend of the previous months. Trump's tariffs are finally going to reflect in the data.
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What is really going on with Bitcoin? Is the bull truly back, or is there going to be a crash?
As shown in the picture, the current market situation is actually quite common; Bitcoin is forming a complex top, which is a bullish top. Earlier this year, Bitcoin also experienced a surge followed by a pullback, then created a false breakout top, and afterward, a major collapse occurred.
Coincidentally, in March last year, Bitcoin also experienced a bullish top, similarly rebounding after a drop of over 10%, forming another two tops. However, that time, the top did not break through the previous high and then fell all the way down, taking months to reach a bottom.
In April and November 2021, there was also a bullish top where institutions distributed at high levels; this time is likely to be similar. In the short term, such a continuous rise of 10% without any pullback is also quite rare; however, there is a high probability that the CPI data on Wednesday will be bearish, and I think there will be a significant pullback then.
Coincidentally, in March last year, Bitcoin also experienced a bullish top, similarly rebounding after a drop of over 10%, forming another two tops. However, that time, the top did not break through the previous high and then fell all the way down, taking months to reach a bottom.
In April and November 2021, there was also a bullish top where institutions distributed at high levels; this time is likely to be similar. In the short term, such a continuous rise of 10% without any pullback is also quite rare; however, there is a high probability that the CPI data on Wednesday will be bearish, and I think there will be a significant pullback then.
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Tonight, China and the United States will begin discussions on tariffs in London, which has already started. As a result, the cryptocurrency market has risen significantly. Once the results are out, if there are no particularly favorable outcomes, it may lead to a pullback. Let's see if both sides will make any official announcements after tonight's discussions.
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The big waterfall is likely to open this Wednesday or Thursday! Bitcoin is now on its last breath, it is a B-wave rebound in the wave model, the ultimate bait for the bulls. Finally, the big players will come in for a C-wave drop, cutting everyone off.
Bitcoin previously rose from 75,000 to 110,000 without a decent correction, and now that the upward trend line has been broken, it won't just fall this little. Can a drop from 110,000 to 100,000 be called a correction? It rose from 70,000, so the correction will definitely be more than this. Luckily, we have already exited the altcoins at the peak.
In fact, if you look at the sensitive small coin Sol, it has dropped from nearly 190 to 140, and Pepe has also nearly halved from 0.16. During the drop, it is exactly the sensitive small coins that fall first, and then BTC follows with a drop. Don’t mistake a rebound for a reversal!
Bitcoin previously rose from 75,000 to 110,000 without a decent correction, and now that the upward trend line has been broken, it won't just fall this little. Can a drop from 110,000 to 100,000 be called a correction? It rose from 70,000, so the correction will definitely be more than this. Luckily, we have already exited the altcoins at the peak.
In fact, if you look at the sensitive small coin Sol, it has dropped from nearly 190 to 140, and Pepe has also nearly halved from 0.16. During the drop, it is exactly the sensitive small coins that fall first, and then BTC follows with a drop. Don’t mistake a rebound for a reversal!
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🤣ZK is indeed a money-making child, last night we shorted again after the rebound, and it fell back to around 0.051. It might drop further before the unlocking! I'm still holding my short position from a few days ago; for those who haven't entered yet, you can wait for a rebound to set up a low-leverage short position.
I will short around the 17th because there will be a large unlocking of 20% of the current circulating tokens at that time. Additionally, ZRO will also have a large unlocking, and with the price weakening, this can also be shorted at a high point, feeling great~
I will short around the 17th because there will be a large unlocking of 20% of the current circulating tokens at that time. Additionally, ZRO will also have a large unlocking, and with the price weakening, this can also be shorted at a high point, feeling great~
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The Last Chance to Escape! US Unemployment Numbers Surge, Recession is About to Begin! Bitcoin CME Shows Huge Gap, Is Another 10% Drop Coming? Can't Wait? Will the Federal Reserve Cut Rates to Jump-start the Market? If Bitcoin Drops Here, I Will Go All-in to Bottom-fish!
Folks, the situation I am most worried about has arrived! The number of employed people in the US is plummeting, and the unemployment rate is soaring. A potential financial crisis is quietly brewing!
A huge gap has appeared at 92,000 on CME futures. Does Bitcoin need to drop another 10%? And there’s an unexpected interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve. What exactly is happening? Let's take a look with Shuqin~
First of all, the biggest financier in the crypto world, Wall Street, has encountered problems. Employment data has continuously deteriorated, and in the latest unemployment data, the number of first-time unemployment claims unexpectedly rose by 10,000, an increase of over 5%. This is the second consecutive increase in unemployment numbers.
A huge gap has appeared at 92,000 on CME futures. Does Bitcoin need to drop another 10%? And there’s an unexpected interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve. What exactly is happening? Let's take a look with Shuqin~
First of all, the biggest financier in the crypto world, Wall Street, has encountered problems. Employment data has continuously deteriorated, and in the latest unemployment data, the number of first-time unemployment claims unexpectedly rose by 10,000, an increase of over 5%. This is the second consecutive increase in unemployment numbers.
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Don't misjudge! Has the Bitcoin market reversed? Should we go long or short now?
Be careful, the rebound in the crypto market that started last night belongs to the phase where it has hit the bottom, having dropped to the significant support around the previous low of 100,000. Therefore, the rebound initiated will be larger, because what is currently happening is not a small wave rebound but a significant rebound from 110,000 to 100,000.
I expect him to rebound close to around 107,000, where he will encounter strong resistance again. I will set up a short position when approaching this level, as I think the odds are quite good.
From a news perspective, this rise in Bitcoin is due to better-than-expected employment data, and the US stock market is surging close to historical highs.
I expect him to rebound close to around 107,000, where he will encounter strong resistance again. I will set up a short position when approaching this level, as I think the odds are quite good.
From a news perspective, this rise in Bitcoin is due to better-than-expected employment data, and the US stock market is surging close to historical highs.
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