Mercado Bipolar

📉 BTC/USDT Analysis – 4h Chart

🚨 Attention! BTC may be setting up for a drop!

🔸 Strong rejection at the resistance of 85,760
🔸 Indicators like RSI, Stoch RSI, and MACD signal weakness
🔸 Forming a possible double top with a target at 82,700 / 81,100

🎯 Possible scenario:

Pullback to 84,700–85,300

Drop towards 82k

If it loses this support, it may seek 78k

📊 Stay alert to the volume and the loss of EMAs!$BTC

Bitcoin about to seek liquidity before the rise?

The current price of BTC is surrounded by long liquidations — and this may be a sign that the market will seek liquidity lower down, where the more fragile leveraged positions are.

This "sweep" to the bottom is common before a stronger upward movement.

Stay alert: the market may drop to hunt for liquidity... and only then rise strongly.

#Bitcoin $BTC

$BTC

$SOL

#WhaleMovements

📊 SOL/USDT Analysis (1H) - Bullish and Bearish Probabilities
$SOL

Here is the estimate for the next movements of SOL:

📈 Bullish: 40%
📉 Bearish: 60%

🔹 Bullish Factors (40%)
✅ Stoch RSI in overbought → Indicates strength but may continue rising before reversing.
✅ Bollinger Bands: Price at the moving average, may seek resistance at $145.63.

🔹 Bearish Factors (60%)
🚨 Ichimoku Cloud shows resistance at $140.60 → Price below the cloud indicates a downtrend.
🚨 EMAs still pointing down → Market has not confirmed reversal.
🚨 Weak volume → Little support for bullishness.

📌 Summary:

If SOL breaks $140.60 with strength, it may target $145.63.

If it cannot break, it may return to $134.20 or lower.

⚠️ Keep an eye on the volume! If it increases, it could change the scenario to bullish.

$BTC
📊 BTC/USDT Movement Probability (1H) - Estimate Based on Indicators

An estimate of the probability for an upward or downward movement in the short term:

📈 Up: ~45%
📉 Down: ~55%

🔹 Factors favoring the uptrend (45%)
✅ BTC is near the lower Bollinger band → may indicate a possible bounce.
✅ Stoch RSI is not yet overbought → there is room for an increase.
✅ Strong support in the $86500 to $85700 region.

🔹 Factors favoring the downtrend (55%)
🚨 EMA 21 is below EMA 50 → short-term trend is still weakened.
🚨 Ichimoku indicates resistance in the $87000 region.
🚨 Buying volume seems weak → risk of a new drop.

📌 Summary: BTC is slightly more inclined to drop in the short term, but if it breaks $87200 strongly, it may reverse. If it loses $86500, it may accelerate the decline.

⚠️ Keep an eye on the volume! If it increases above average, it can quickly change the scenario.

📉 BTC/USDT Analysis (1D) - Possible Correction Ahead?

🔹 Strong Resistance: 88,500 - 90,000 (EMAs + Ichimoku)

🔹 Supports: 85,500 / 84,500 / 74,300

🔹 Indicators:

✅ Stoch RSI overbought 📈
✅ MACD signaling loss of buying strength

📉

📊 Scenario: BTC tested resistance and may correct to 85K. Breaking 88.5K, it may seek 90K+.

🚀 or 🛑?

$BTC

#analisetecnica

Close the longs at 78k and explode at 110

liquidation must be weekly...

$
Technical Analysis TRX/USDT (4H - Binance)

📊 Chart Pattern:

The price is trapped within a sideways channel close to a descending diagonal resistance (yellow line).
Possible breakout soon, with a decision trend in the next candles.

📈 Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):

EMA 7: 0.23707
EMA 21: 0.24029 (Immediate resistance)
EMA 50: 0.2397
EMA 200: 0.2387

☁ Ichimoku Cloud:

Cloud indicates a resistance zone around 0.23901.
The price is testing this region.

📉 Momentum Indicators:

RSI: 34.80 (Near the oversold region, possible recovery).
Stochastic RSI: 2.50 / 0.83 (Extreme oversold, high probability of reversal upwards).
MACD: Slightly negative, but with a crossing signal approaching.

🔍 Supports and Resistances:

Resistances: 0.23901 (Ichimoku) | 0.24029 (EMA 21) | 0.24285 (Strong resistance zone)
Supports: 0.23000 | 0.22000 (Highlighted buying zone in green)

✅ Conclusion:

If it breaks above 0.240, it may quickly target 0.242 - 0.245.
If it loses 0.230, it may test support in the 0.220 region.
Buying opportunity at support if the Stochastic RSI confirms reversal! 🚀

📊 Technical Analysis BTC/USDT (4H - Binance)
$BTC

📊 Chart Pattern:
The price tests resistance near $84,500.
Volume Profile shows a large liquidity zone between $83,000 and $84,700.
Possible pullback before continuation of the uptrend.

📈 Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
EMA 7: $83,175 (immediate resistance)
EMA 14: $84,581
EMA 21: $84,517
EMA 50: $85,407
EMA 200: $86,893 (strong resistance)

☁ Ichimoku Cloud:
The price is below the cloud, resistance zone.
Region of $83,200 to $84,700 being tested.

📉 Momentum Indicators:
RSI: 33.77 (Oversold zone, can revert to bullish).
Stochastic RSI: 12.5 (near the minimum, can indicate reversal).
MACD: Cross nearing, can indicate resumption of buying strength.

🔍 Supports and Resistances:
Resistances: $84,581 | $85,407 | $86,893
Supports: $81,889 | $80,000 (strong buying zone)

✅ Conclusion:
If it breaks $84,500, it can target $85,500 and $86,800.
If it loses $81,800, it can drop to $80,000.
Buying entry may be interesting at support if it confirms reversal on Stoch RSI. 🚀

0.25 to 1.16

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📊 Technical Analysis - ONDO/USDT (1D)

📉 Overall Trend:
ONDO is consolidating in a tight range, with slight selling pressure prevailing, but holding above important supports.

Price action is close to the main volume zones, which indicates interest from the market in this region.

📈 Moving Averages (EMA):
EMA 7: $1.343 (immediate resistance).
EMA 14: $1.353.
EMA 21: $1.358.
EMA 50: $1.368.
EMA 100: $1.295 (relevant support in the short term).
EMA 200: $1.136 (long-term support).

🔥 Conclusion: The price is below most of the short-term moving averages, suggesting weakness, but still above the 100 EMA ($1,295), which acts as key support.

🔍 Technical Indicators:

📊 Stochastic RSI:

28.49 (K) and 25.30 (D), suggesting that the asset is close to the oversold zone, which could indicate an upcoming reversal.

📊 RSI:

47.82, below 50, indicating slight selling pressure, but no clear overbought or oversold signals.

📉 MACD:

Histogram close to zero, without a clear crossover, indicating that the market is in consolidation.

📊 VPVR (Volume):

Strong concentration of volume in the region between $1.27 and $1.32, which forms a robust support zone.

Significant resistance between $1.34 and $1.36, where volume is also accumulating.

🎯 Important Levels:

Supports:

$1.320 (immediate support).

$1.295 (100 EMA and strong support).

$1.200 (Ichimoku and VPVR).

$1.136 (200 EMA).

Resistances:

$1.343 (7 EMA and short-term resistance).

$1.358 (21 EMA).

$1.368 (50 EMA and key resistance).

📢 Possible Scenarios:

📌 Bullish:

Break above $1.343 could lead the price to test $1.353 and then $1.368.

Increasing buying volume needed to validate the breakout.

📌 Bearish:

Loss of support at $1.320 could lead ONDO to test $1.295, with the possibility of falling to $1.200 if it fails to hold.

📊 Technical Analysis - DOT/USDT (1D)
$DOT

📉 General Trend:
DOT is in a support region near $4.54, with a possible local bottom formation.
Still in a bearish structure in the medium term, with the moving averages aligning downwards.

📈 Moving Averages (EMA):
EMA 7: $4.85 (immediate resistance).
EMA 14: $5.12.
EMA 21: $5.40.
EMA 50: $6.70.
EMA 100: $6.76.
EMA 200: $9.02.

🔥 Conclusion: Moving averages are showing selling pressure, with the main resistance in the short term around $5.12 to $5.40.

🔍 Technical Indicators:
📊 Stochastic RSI:

37.89 (K) and 31.63 (D), in the neutral to oversold zone, indicating a potential reversal soon.
📊 RSI:

35.47, below 40, showing weakness, but close to an oversold region.
📉 MACD:

Histogram still in negative territory, but with loss of selling strength, which may suggest a reversal.
📊 VPVR (Volume):

Large concentration of volume around $5.40 to $5.90, representing key resistance in the short term.

Relevant support marked between $4.50 and $3.60.
🎯 Important Levels:

Supports:

$4.54 (immediate support).

$4.00.

$3.60 (last significant support).

Resistances:

$5.12 (EMA 14).

$5.40 (EMA 21 + volume resistance).

$5.90.

📢 Possible Scenarios:

Bullish:

Breakout above $5.12 could lead the price to test $5.40 and then $5.90.
Increased buying volume needed to validate the breakout.

Bearish:

Loss of support at $4.50 could lead DOT to test $4.00 and then $3.60, which is the main support.

Summary:
DOT is at a critical support point. Although indicators show weakness, there is a possibility of a reversal in the short term if the price sustains above $4.54.
Recommendation: Monitor price action towards the $4.54 support and nearby resistance levels to confirm the direction of the next move.

📊 Technical Analysis - TRX/USDT (1D)
$TRX

📉 Overall Trend:

TRX is consolidating below a descending trend line (descending triangle).
Indications of solid support in the regions marked by VPVR volume (visible volume profile).
📈 Moving Averages (EMA):

EMA 7: 0.23787 (immediate resistance).
EMA 14: 0.23863.
EMA 21: 0.24131.
EMA 50: 0.24131.
EMA 100: 0.23090 (close dynamic support).
EMA 200: 0.20465.
🔥 Conclusion: The price is oscillating below important resistances, indicating difficulties to the upside.

📉 Technical Indicators:

📊 Stochastic RSI:

81.39 (K) and 60.67 (D), in overbought. There may be a short-term correction.

📊 RSI (Relative Strength Index):

54.33, slightly inclined to the neutral zone, without indicating decisive strength.

📉 MACD:

Histogram indicating weakness to the upside, close to a bearish crossover.

🔍 Important Levels:

Strong support: 0.23344 - 0.23090.
Strong resistance: 0.24616 - 0.24131.
Downside target: 0.23090 - 0.20465.
Upside target: 0.24616 - 0.25000, if it breaks resistance.
🎯 Possible Scenarios:

📌 Bullish:

The price needs to break 0.24616 and consolidate above to start a possible rise.
Targets: 0.25000 and 0.26000.
📌 Bearish:

If it loses support at 0.23344, the price may test 0.23090 and 0.20465, with a risk of a sharper fall.
📢 Conclusion:

TRX is in a balance zone, with divergent technical signals.
RSI and Stochastic RSI indicate a possible correction, while MACD does not suggest significant strength for an immediate reversal.
Recommendation: Monitor the breakout of the trendline or support to confirm the next move.

📊 Technical Analysis - AVAX/USDT (1D)
$AVAX


📉 Overall Trend:
AVAX is in a downtrend, trading below both the major moving averages.
There is strong support at 24.99 - 23.53, which has been holding the price up recently.

📈 Moving Averages (EMA):
EMA 7: 25.888 (Immediate Resistance)
EMA 14: 27.759
EMA 21: 29.485
EMA 50: 33.576
EMA 100: 34.761
EMA 200: 31.520

🔥 Conclusion: The price is below all the EMAs, indicating a bearish market.

📉 Technical Indicators:

📊 Stochastic RSI:
25.57 and 15.07, indicating that the asset is close to oversold and may seek a rebound.

📊 RSI (Relative Strength Index):
32.73, close to the oversold zone.

📉 MACD:
MACD negative (-0.262) and below the signal line, reinforcing the weakness at the moment.

🔍 Important Levels:
Strong support: 24.99 - 23.53
Strong resistance: 27.75 - 29.48
Low target: 23.50 - 20.00 if support is lost.
High target: 27.75 - 29.48, if resistance is broken.

🎯 Possible Scenarios:

📌 Bullish
The price needs to hold support at 24.99 and break 25.88 to reach 27.75.

If it breaks 29.48, it could reach 33.57.

📌 Bearish
If it loses 23.53, it could accelerate the fall to 20.00 - 18.00.

MACD still does not show a reversal, which maintains the downside risk.

📢 Conclusion:
The asset is weak, but at a critical support. There may be a rebound in the short term.

MACD and RSI still do not indicate a reversal, but Stoch RSI points to a possible recovery.

If it loses 23.53, the fall could intensify!

Recommendation: Watch for resistance breakouts for safer entries.

📊 Technical Analysis - FET/USDT (1D)

$FET

📉 Overall Trend:
FET is in a downtrend, trading below the key moving averages.
A descending triangle may be forming, which is usually a bearish continuation pattern.

📈 Moving Averages (EMA):
EMA 7: 0.7776 (Immediate Resistance)
EMA 14: 0.8485
EMA 21: 0.9216
EMA 50: 1.1218
EMA 100: 1.2563
EMA 200: 1.3364
🔥 Conclusion: The price is well below these averages, reinforcing the asset's weakness.

📉 Technical Indicators:

📊 Stochastic RSI:
50.77 and 37.78, pointing up → indication of recovery in the short term.

📊 RSI (Relative Strength Index):
31.65, close to the oversold zone. May indicate a rebound soon.

📉 MACD:
MACD negative (-0.0027) and falling, still without confirmation of reversal.

🔍 Important Levels:
Strong support: 0.7385 (if lost, it may fall even further).
Strong resistance: 0.7776 - 0.8485 (needs to break to ease the fall).
Downward target: 0.7385 or even 0.60 if support is lost.
Upward target: 0.8485 - 0.9216, if resistance is broken.

🎯 Possible Scenarios:

📌 Bullish
The price needs to hold support at 0.7385 and break 0.7776 to try to rise.
If it breaks 0.8485, it can seek 0.9216.

📌 Bearish
If it loses 0.7385, it can accelerate the fall to 0.60 - 0.50.
A descending triangle suggests weakness.

📢 Conclusion:
The asset is weak, but at an important support. There may be a rebound in the short term.
MACD has not yet confirmed a reversal, but the Stoch RSI indicates a possible recovery.
If it loses 0.7385, the fall may accelerate!
Recommendation: Watch for resistance breakouts for safer entries.

📊 Technical Analysis:
$ADA

📉 Overall Trend:
ADA has declined significantly and is below the key moving averages, indicating a strong downtrend.

The Ichimoku cloud also suggests resistance above the current price, reinforcing weakness.

📈 Moving Averages (EMA):
EMA 7: 0.7245 → Immediate resistance.
EMA 14: 0.7759 → Important resistance.
EMA 21: 0.8167 → Needs to break for a possible reversal.
EMA 50: 0.8807 → Crucial level for trend change.
EMA 100: 0.8383
EMA 200: 0.7223

🔥 Conclusion: The price is well below these averages, which indicates strong selling pressure.

📉 Technical Indicators:

📊 Stochastic RSI:
It is at 17.66, which is close to the oversold zone. This may indicate a possible rebound, but it is not yet confirmed.

📊 RSI (Relative Strength Index):
It is at 31.31, close to the oversold zone (<span This may suggest a recovery in the short term.

📉 MACD:
MACD is negative (-0.0138) and falling, with no clear reversal signs at the moment.

🔍 Important Levels:
Strong support: 0.6666 (if lost, it can fall to 0.6441).

Strong resistance: 0.7245 - 0.7759 (needs to break to reverse the trend).

Target downside: 0.6441 to 0.40, if the support at 0.6666 is lost.

🎯 Possible Scenarios:

📌 Bullish
Needs to break 0.7245 and consolidate above.
If it breaks 0.7759, it can seek 0.8167 - 0.88.

📌 Bearish
If it loses 0.6666, it can test 0.6441 and even 0.40.

The selling volume is still dominant.

📢 Conclusion:
The price is in a strong downtrend, but it can seek a rebound if it holds the support at 0.6666.
The RSI and Stoch RSI show oversold conditions, which may indicate a temporary recovery.
MACD is still weak, lacking the strength to confirm a reversal.
Recommendation: Wait for resistance breaks to confirm a safer entry.

Technical Analysis:
Trend and Moving Averages (EMA):
$ADA

The price is below the 7, 14, 21, 50, 100 and 200 period EMAs, indicating a prevailing downtrend.

The 7 period EMA (0.7610) is acting as immediate resistance.

For a trend reversal, the price would need to break the 50 EMA (0.8676) and consolidate above it.

Ichimoku Indicator:

The price is below the cloud, confirming a downtrend.

The future cloud also projects a bearish scenario, with significant resistance between 0.78 and 0.80.

RSI (Relative Strength Index):

The RSI is at 40.95, indicating a slight recovery after being in the oversold zone.

There are no strong signs of a reversal yet, but a move above 50 on the RSI could indicate bullish momentum.

Stochastic RSI:

The Stochastic RSI is at 87.34, showing overbought conditions in the short term, which could signal a correction or consolidation.

MACD:

The MACD is attempting a bullish crossover, but the histogram is still showing weak signs of buying strength.

A more defined crossover of the MACD line above the signal line could confirm a possible short-term rally.

VPVR (Volume Profile):

There is strong support near 0.7482, while the main resistance is around 0.7814 (the area of ​​highest trading volume).

The volume gap above 0.78 indicates that if the price breaks this resistance, it could quickly move up to 0.80 - 0.86.

Possible Scenarios:

Bullish:

Breaking the 7-EMA (0.7610) and the resistance level at 0.7814 could lead the price to test 0.80 and potentially 0.8676 (50-EMA).
The MACD and RSI sustaining the bullish movement could confirm the rally.

Bearish:

Rejection at the 7-EMA and loss of the support at 0.7482 could lead the price to retest the critical support at 0.7463 and, if lost, seek lower levels.

📊 1. BTC/USDT (4h Chart & Liquidation Map)
Technical Analysis (4h Chart):

EMA (7, 14, 21, 50, 100, 200):

The price is testing the EMA 14 and 21 (~99.247 and ~99.603), which suggests immediate resistance.
The EMA 50 (~100.903) is a stronger resistance, aligned with the liquidation zone visible on the VPVR.

Ichimoku Cloud:

The price is below the cloud, indicating a bearish trend in the short term.
The lower border of the cloud (~99.300) acts as resistance.

RSI (14):

It is at 47.56, neutral, but recovering from an oversold zone. A break above 50 may indicate buying strength.

Stochastic RSI:

Above 76, in short-term overbought zone. Could signal a correction before further upside.

MACD:

Recent bullish crossover, but histogram still shows uncertainty.

Liquidation Map:
Critical long liquidation zone at ~99.361:

This explains the resistance the price is facing now. If it breaks, it could quickly seek 100.900–101.300, where more liquidations are accumulated.

Short liquidation accumulation below 98.500:

If there is a drop, the price could quickly seek this area to force liquidations and generate volatility.

BTC/USDT Summary:
$BTC

Bullish Scenario: Break 99.361 on strong volume → Target: 100.900 and then 101.300.
Bearish Scenario: Rejection at 99.361 → Test 98.700 and if lost, aim for 98.200–97.800.