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The price of Ethereum is falling again. ETH has dropped about 3.2% in the last 24 hours, widening its correction from the peak in January, close to US$ 3,390. At first glance, the movement seems like a technical correction within a broader uptrend. However, the graphical structure shows increased pressure amid apparent optimism.

The risk is not immediate, but it grows when various signals are analyzed together.

The bullish structure of Ethereum remains, but the momentum is weakening discreetly.

The price of Monero stabilized after a sharp decline, but the recovery is not straightforward. After reaching a high close to $800 on January 14, XMR retraced about 33%, impacting late investors. Since then, the price action has focused on a narrow consolidation, setting up a potential continuation pattern.

In an initial analysis, the structure appears optimistic. However, when considering the momentum, capital flow, and behavior in the spot market together, mixed signals arise. Although a breakout is possible, the support conditions are uneven.

As Bitcoin buyers defend the level of $90,000 amid volatility caused by geopolitical tensions, market participants are following a busy American economic agenda that could influence sentiment in the crypto sector.

With expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) constantly changing, important data releases and notable speeches can provoke significant movements in BTC and altcoins.

1. Trump speaks in Davos on Tuesday

Prediction and betting platforms for political, sports, and crypto market events recorded a weekly volume of $3.7 billion last week, according to data from Dune.

The historical level reflects the accelerated growth of the sector, but also raises alarms about market concentration and insider trading.

Prediction market surpasses memecoins and NFTs

The weekly notional volume reached $5.57 billion, another record. The activity consolidates a trend observed since 2025, when prediction markets began to move more resources than memecoins and NFTs.

The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies (TOTAL) fell after the weekend ended with liquidations and Monday began in a similar situation. Bitcoin (BTC) dropped below $93,000 as a result, and among altcoins, Celestia (TIA) experienced a decline of 13%.

In today’s news:

Trove Markets is under investigation after allegedly selling more than $10 million in $HYPE tokens in 24 hours, shortly after raising $20 million through an ICO to secure the implementation of HIP-3 on Hyperliquid. On-chain data shows that the sale began with an initial offering of 6,196 $HYPE tokens, valued at around $160,000, raising concerns about token distribution and project intentions.

Solana's recent price movement reflects a failed recovery attempt that confirmed a previously projected decline. After struggling to maintain upward momentum, SOL retreated in the face of increased selling pressure.

Investor confidence has been shaken after recent losses, which also affected exchange-traded funds, ending a four-week streak of inflows into Solana-focused ETFs.

Solana loses investor confidence

Solana's spot ETFs recorded their first net redemptions in a month, indicating a clear shift in institutional sentiment. The last redemptions had occurred on December 3, 2025, making the most recent data an important signal. This movement indicates that macro-profile investors are reassessing their exposure, as SOL has failed to sustain its recovery attempt.

January has been volatile for Bitcoin (BTC), with the asset facing new pressures due to the intensification of geopolitical tensions between the USA and the European Union following recent tariff announcements by President Trump.

In the last 24 hours, the leading cryptocurrency has dropped nearly 2.5%, falling from $95,063 to $92,663. Analysts highlight bearish market signals that could intensify in 2026 and make life difficult for Bitcoin.

1. Technical indicator signals a trend change

The discussion about cryptocurrencies on social media is visibly changing. XRP on X has surpassed Ethereum in the number of mentions, surprising analysts and market participants. The social network X, controlled by Elon Musk, has become an important barometer of the sentiment in the crypto sector, and the latest data shows XRP gaining unexpected prominence over Ethereum.

This increase in visibility is not limited to isolated comments. It reflects a broader interest that brings together market narrative, regulatory expectations, and discussions about real adoption. Understanding this phenomenon contributes to identifying how opinions are changing within the crypto ecosystem.

The price of Bitcoin has retreated, but the long-term structure remains intact. After the first peak of 2026 on January 14, BTC fell about 6%, quickly touching the region of $92,000. Since then, the quote has stabilized, although it has recorded a drop of approximately 2.6% in the last 24 hours.

Chart pattern indicates possible recovery

In the daily chart, Bitcoin continues to be traded within the handle of a 'cup and handle' figure. The handle forms above an ascending neckline, suggesting that buyers appear at increasingly higher levels — a scenario that usually increases the chances of a breakout.

Bitcoin and gold followed opposite trajectories amid the escalation of trade tensions between the President of the United States, Donald Trump, and the European Union.

As precious metal reached new highs amid rising geopolitical uncertainties, the main cryptocurrency declined, repeating patterns observed in October.

Trade tensions between the US and the European Union increase

Last Saturday, 17, Trump announced a 10% tariff on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, and Finland, effective from February 1st. The tariffs will rise to 25% on June 1st and will remain in effect until the United States closes a purchase agreement for Greenland.

Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of Ethereum, stated that the survival of the protocol depends on a drastic simplification of its structure.

In a post made today (18) on X, Buterin argued that the blockchain is becoming too dense for independent verification. According to him, the excess of technical complexity threatens the fundamental sovereignty of the network.

Co-founder of Ethereum advocates for 'garbage collection' in the code

He stated that relying on 'PhD-level cryptography' and increasingly robust code may restrict the accessibility of Ethereum. In this scenario, the network could migrate to a technocratic model instead of remaining as a decentralized public good.

The crypto market in Latin America is registering a change in investors' preferences. Tokenized gold is advancing in trading volume while XRP is losing ground in the region, according to data from the Bitget exchange, which raises questions about the actual adoption of Ripple's token.

The change occurs in a scenario of macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions, factors that historically favor gold. Now, this preference is also manifested in the digital version of the metal.

The volume of tokenized gold is growing in the region

The price of Bitcoin has shown slight downward pressure in recent sessions as global markets remain uncertain and investors adopt a cautious stance. BTC has struggled to gain upward momentum, but the decline remains limited.

A highlight is the strong demand for Bitcoin spot ETFs, indicating that investors may be shifting to a more constructive outlook.

Bitcoin indicates a buy signal

Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded inflows of $1.42 billion last week, representing the highest weekly amount in the last three months. This increase reflects renewed institutional interest even in light of the little price variation during the period. The last comparable surge in inflows occurred in October 2025, when ETFs captured $2.71 billion.

The Credit Guarantee Fund (FGC) identified attempts of fraud in the payment process of guarantees related to the settlements of Banco Master S.A, Banco Master de Investimento S.A and Banco Letsbank S.A.

Scammers are improperly using the name of the institution and attempting to interfere in the regular payment process, according to a statement released by the entity.

Among the identified practices are the sending of emails, messages, and fraudulent communications that simulate institutional contact, as well as the dissemination of fake apps, links, and pages.

The founder and investment director of Cyber Capital, Justin Bons, stated that Bitcoin (BTC) may collapse in a period of 7 to 11 years.

He mentioned the reduction of the security budget, the increased risk of 51% attacks, and what he considers impossible choices for the network. Good warnings that these structural vulnerabilities could undermine trust and even result in divisions in the chain.

Economic security model of Bitcoin under criticism

Over the years, experts have highlighted several risks for Bitcoin, mainly quantum computing, which could compromise current cryptographic security standards and lead to a widespread collapse.

The recent behavior of USDT in Venezuela has caught the attention of the local crypto market. In the last 24 hours, the price of the stablecoin issued by Tether has fallen below 500 bolívares in P2P trades for the first time since December.

The movement occurs amidst a temporary increase in the supply of foreign currency in the Venezuelan financial system and raises questions about whether it represents real stabilization or a temporary adjustment.

Factors behind the decline

The decline of USDT in Venezuela can initially be explained by a temporary increase in the supply of foreign currency in the financial system. In recent days, the stablecoin has dropped more than 40% from its recent higher levels, while the exchange rate difference has decreased to nearly 35%.

The co-founder of Ethereum, Vitalik Buterin, pointed out that 2026 is the year in which the blockchain will return to its 'cypherpunk' origins.

Yesterday (16), Buterin presented a technical roadmap aimed at reversing what he defined as a decade of regression in decentralization.

How does Ethereum plan to correct its concessions?

The co-founder of Ethereum admitted that the network's quest for mass scalability has compromised its fundamental promise of self-sovereignty.

2026 is the year that we take back lost ground in terms of self-sovereignty and trustlessness.

Grab a coffee, because this report is not about price charts, ETF flows, or narratives about upcoming halvings. The focus is on a more uncomfortable question: whether Bitcoin, as it currently exists, was really designed to last.

A silent yet expressive change is occurring in institutional perception of crypto. Christopher Wood, global head of equity strategy at Jefferies and one of the most followed market strategists on Wall Street, has completely removed Bitcoin from his main model portfolio.

Zcash has entered a more stable phase after weeks of sharp fluctuations, with price volatility dropping significantly. This movement resulted in the formation of a symmetrical triangle, marked by descending highs and increasingly close ascending lows.

With ZEC compressing within this structure, traders are closely monitoring investor behavior, as this will determine the next significant movement.

Zcash sales gain strength

On-chain data points to greater caution among Zcash investors. Nansen metrics show a steady increase in ZEC balances on centralized exchanges. This trend signals a selling intention, as coins are transferred from private wallets to trading platforms in anticipation of new declines.

Thinking about retirement using cryptocurrencies is no longer a marginal idea. More and more people are seeking to know how much XRP is needed for retirement by 2035. According to estimates from ChatGPT, the answer is not a fixed value, but rather a range that depends on the future price of the asset and each person's financial goals.

The AI tool indicates that XRP can be part of a long-term strategy, as long as its volatility is understood and no absolute expectations are created. Based on this, the analysis focuses on probable scenarios.