Close monitoring of the 113,000–114,000 dollar area is advised as a critical level: a stable break below it could lead to further declines, while staying above it may lead to a retest of resistance levels at 116,000 to 120,000 dollars.
$SPK Analysis of the Current Downward Channel – SPK/USDT
🕓 Time Frame:
4 Hours (H4) + Support from the Hourly Frame (H1)
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🔻 Features of the Downward Channel:
Element Approximate Level
Upper Limit (Resistance) From ~0.135 $ to ~0.11 $ Lower Limit (Support) From ~0.09 $ to ~0.078 $ Trend Angle Sharply Downward Since July 23
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🔁 Movements Within the Channel:
The price has bounced several times from the upper limit and has not been able to break through.
The lower limit acts as support, bouncing from 0.087 $ today.
Every rise currently is met with quick profit-taking, confirming the continuation of the downward path unless the upper limit is broken.
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📌 When do we exit the channel?
Breaking the upper limit at ~0.11 $ to 0.115 $ with a strong 4-hour candle and high trading volume = Signal for a potential trend change.
Breaking the lower limit below ~0.078 $ = Acceleration downwards towards 0.065 $ then 0.039 $.
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📊 Supporting Technical Indicators:
RSI: Currently in the range of 40–50, neutral leaning downwards.
MACD: Slightly negative, the last crossover is weak.
Volatility Bands: Narrow, indicating a strong movement is near (upwards or downwards).
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🧭 Summary:
✅ The currency has been moving in a clear downward channel since mid-July. ❌ It has not broken the upper limit yet, so there is no confirmation of an upward reversal. 📌 The 0.11 $ area is key currently: either the beginning of a breakout or a continuation in the downward trend.
$SPK If the momentum is weak, it continues to decline. If the momentum is strong, it continues to rise. Watch the size of the candles and make your decisions.
$SPK Resistance Areas Today 0.0950 $ Nearby resistance tested today and the price was rejected from it. 0.1050 $ Strong previous resistance – the start of the previous collapse from it.
Support Areas 0.0870 $ Current support that was bounced from today, represents today's low. 0.0780 $ Previous strong support, formed a bounce base at the end of July.
$SPK The currency is under selling pressure after a strong rise, with signs of weak buying appearing in RSI and MACD.
Proposed selling targets:
Target Potential
First target (TP1) 0.090 $ Previous horizontal support + bottom of the fluctuation area Second target (TP2) 0.085 $ Stronger support from July 28 Third target (TP3) 0.076 – 0.080 $ Monthly support, + Strong demand area Fourth target (TP4) 0.062 – 0.065 $ Distant support (end of correction)
$SPK The channel is rising but there is no strong momentum, the RSI indicator is above 70 indicating overbought conditions. The correction wave has been confirmed with the closing of the 4-hour candle below 0.095. The primary and secondary support levels have been broken, with strong support at 0.085 - 0.080 $. This was previously alerted in my earlier posts, and God knows best.
Strong Resistance 1: Around 0.13 – 0.14 USD due to the presence of accumulated short positions that are subject to liquidation. If broken, this may trigger forced buying (short squeeze) with a potential price reaching 0.17 USD or even 0.20 USD.
Secondary Resistance: At 0.15 – 0.17 USD according to extended Fibonacci levels. Breaking this area could open the way towards 0.20 USD and beyond.
🛡️ Support Levels
Immediate Support: At approximately 0.11 USD, which is a moving average level listed as a dynamic support indicator (20-day EMA). If the price does not maintain this support, a drop towards 0.10 USD or even 0.09 USD is expected.
Deeper Support: In the range of 0.087 USD to 0.09 USD, where there is an opportunity for a healthy correction before attempting to regain positive momentum.
Critical Long-term Support: At 0.04 ‑ 0.05 USD, which is the level that formed a base before the previous upward breakout. The price would have lost most of its momentum if it falls below this level.