BAYJIGIT-酷哥 vs COIN
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# Trader's Survival Rules: Don't Be the Market's 'Prey'
This market is like a vast jungle, where the weak are preyed upon by the strong. Some navigate it skillfully, while others are devoured by the market within days of entering. Do you want to be a hunter or prey? If you do not want to be treated as chives by the market, you must understand: trading is not about eating through calling trades, but about relying on your own survival rules.
1. What conditions must a trader meet?
(1) Independent thinking, do not be a 'copy-trading robot'
The market is flooded with various 'god trades' and 'insider information', but the reality is: those who truly make money do not shout trades everywhere, and those who shout often make money off you. If you follow in, others run away; will you still be waiting for a reversal? Don't be foolish; the market never shows mercy to blind followers. Traders must learn to think independently and build their own logic, rather than blindly trusting so-called 'experts' or 'insiders'.
1. What conditions must a trader meet?
(1) Independent thinking, do not be a 'copy-trading robot'
The market is flooded with various 'god trades' and 'insider information', but the reality is: those who truly make money do not shout trades everywhere, and those who shout often make money off you. If you follow in, others run away; will you still be waiting for a reversal? Don't be foolish; the market never shows mercy to blind followers. Traders must learn to think independently and build their own logic, rather than blindly trusting so-called 'experts' or 'insiders'.
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$LTC
May 2, 2025 Litecoin/U Market Analysis
For reference only, not an investment advice
Current Price: 88.63 U
• Currently operating above the support line, not yet broken;
• The rising trend line in the chart (yellow line) connects the lows of the recent upward waves and is the key 'strong-weak dividing line'.
Analysis of two proposed strategies:
Plan One: If the trend line is effectively broken → Short
• Entry signal: 1-hour candlestick closes below the trend line with no pullback;
• Target:
• First target: 85.30 U (previous platform fluctuation range);
• Second target: 83.00 U (previous low support);
• Stop loss point: stop loss after a failed pullback to 89.50~90.00;
• Risk-reward ratio: if the stop loss is set at 90.0 U and the target at 85.3 U, the risk-reward ratio is about 1.7~2.5, reasonable.
Plan Two: If the trend line holds, continue to go long after stabilizing
• Entry signal: Candlestick stabilizes near the support line, closes bullish with volume;
• Target: revisit the previous high of 90.30 U, breakthrough to look towards 92.5 U;
• Stop loss point: below 87.50;
• Risk-reward ratio: conservatively set still greater than 1.5.
In a nutshell
Now is the 'critical observation period', the trend line is the key lifeline, break it and go short, hold it and go long, don't hesitate, just operate according to the chart.
May 2, 2025 Litecoin/U Market Analysis
For reference only, not an investment advice
Current Price: 88.63 U
• Currently operating above the support line, not yet broken;
• The rising trend line in the chart (yellow line) connects the lows of the recent upward waves and is the key 'strong-weak dividing line'.
Analysis of two proposed strategies:
Plan One: If the trend line is effectively broken → Short
• Entry signal: 1-hour candlestick closes below the trend line with no pullback;
• Target:
• First target: 85.30 U (previous platform fluctuation range);
• Second target: 83.00 U (previous low support);
• Stop loss point: stop loss after a failed pullback to 89.50~90.00;
• Risk-reward ratio: if the stop loss is set at 90.0 U and the target at 85.3 U, the risk-reward ratio is about 1.7~2.5, reasonable.
Plan Two: If the trend line holds, continue to go long after stabilizing
• Entry signal: Candlestick stabilizes near the support line, closes bullish with volume;
• Target: revisit the previous high of 90.30 U, breakthrough to look towards 92.5 U;
• Stop loss point: below 87.50;
• Risk-reward ratio: conservatively set still greater than 1.5.
In a nutshell
Now is the 'critical observation period', the trend line is the key lifeline, break it and go short, hold it and go long, don't hesitate, just operate according to the chart.
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$SUI
May 2, 2025 SUI/U Market Analysis
For reference only, not investment advice
One chart to understand: SUI bulls interrupted by a 'halved' impact
SUI's recent trend is very 'realistic': just broke the ascending wedge channel and immediately plummeted, the bullish belief was just established and then shattered.
Core information of the chart (1-hour candlestick chart)
• Current price: 3.4454 U
• Entry price: 3.4567 U
• Profit target: 3.3090 U
• Stop loss setting: 3.5254 U
• Risk-reward ratio: 2.15 (worth betting, but strict risk control is needed)
Structural analysis (bearish)
1. Ascending support completely broken:
• The yellow ascending trend line was pierced by a strong bearish candle, currently continuing downwards;
• The candlestick is moving in a 'free fall' pattern, with no signs of stopping the decline.
2. Technical pattern: head and shoulders structure emerging
• Left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are basically formed, and the right shoulder did not create a new high;
• The rebound after breaking the 'neckline' was unsuccessful, the bulls have lost control.
3. Support reference points:
• 3.39: previous consolidation platform;
• 3.309: current profit target, if broken, could reach the 3.20 area.
Trading suggestions
For those who have opened short positions:
• Take profit settings are reasonable, continue to hold;
• It is recommended to track whether the candlestick recovers above 3.46, if it recovers, then close positions to avoid risks.
For those looking to enter (cautious shorting):
• Currently, it is not recommended to chase shorts, waiting for a rebound between 3.48 to 3.50 to short is more prudent;
• If the rebound does not go up, the likelihood of entering short positions again is higher, set stop loss above 3.53.
In a nutshell
Bears currently have an 'overwhelming advantage', unless it stands back above 3.50, the bulls have no power to fight back.
May 2, 2025 SUI/U Market Analysis
For reference only, not investment advice
One chart to understand: SUI bulls interrupted by a 'halved' impact
SUI's recent trend is very 'realistic': just broke the ascending wedge channel and immediately plummeted, the bullish belief was just established and then shattered.
Core information of the chart (1-hour candlestick chart)
• Current price: 3.4454 U
• Entry price: 3.4567 U
• Profit target: 3.3090 U
• Stop loss setting: 3.5254 U
• Risk-reward ratio: 2.15 (worth betting, but strict risk control is needed)
Structural analysis (bearish)
1. Ascending support completely broken:
• The yellow ascending trend line was pierced by a strong bearish candle, currently continuing downwards;
• The candlestick is moving in a 'free fall' pattern, with no signs of stopping the decline.
2. Technical pattern: head and shoulders structure emerging
• Left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are basically formed, and the right shoulder did not create a new high;
• The rebound after breaking the 'neckline' was unsuccessful, the bulls have lost control.
3. Support reference points:
• 3.39: previous consolidation platform;
• 3.309: current profit target, if broken, could reach the 3.20 area.
Trading suggestions
For those who have opened short positions:
• Take profit settings are reasonable, continue to hold;
• It is recommended to track whether the candlestick recovers above 3.46, if it recovers, then close positions to avoid risks.
For those looking to enter (cautious shorting):
• Currently, it is not recommended to chase shorts, waiting for a rebound between 3.48 to 3.50 to short is more prudent;
• If the rebound does not go up, the likelihood of entering short positions again is higher, set stop loss above 3.53.
In a nutshell
Bears currently have an 'overwhelming advantage', unless it stands back above 3.50, the bulls have no power to fight back.
See original
$ADA
Analysis 1: Trend Break Perspective (Bearish)
Market Overview:
• Current Price: 0.7026 U
• Clearly broke below the lower boundary of the ascending channel (yellow line), accompanied by a large bearish candle, short-term bullish structure is damaged.
• Struggling between EMA20 and EMA144 (blue line), trend is bearish and momentum is weakening.
Strategy Conclusion:
• If the price cannot reclaim 0.7065 U, this trade is considered a “failed trade,” and it is advised to stop loss and exit.
• Support targets below are at 0.6989 U and 0.6972 U; if it drops below 0.6972 U, it may enter an accelerated downward phase.
• Currently, it is not recommended to add positions or increase holdings; wait for structural repair.
Analysis 2: Pullback Confirmation Perspective (Bullish)
Market Overview:
• Since April 30, a relatively solid ascending channel has been established; this pullback coincidentally touches EMA144 (0.6989 U) and the previous high range.
• It may still be a “healthy technical pullback”; if it reclaims 0.7065 U and shows a large bullish candle in the next few hours, the bullish structure remains.
Strategy Conclusion:
• If the next 2-3 candles can return to the 0.7065+ U area, it can be regarded as a “false break of the channel”;
• Can lightly test long positions in the range of 0.7010~0.6989 U, with a stop loss set below 0.6960 U;
• The target above remains around 0.7130 U, and the risk-reward ratio will recover to above 2.
Unified Operation Suggestion Summary (Concise Version):
Situation Operation Suggestion
Break below 0.6989 and close bearish Immediately stop loss and exit
Reclaim 0.7065 and close bullish Consider continuing to hold or adding positions
Consolidation without breaking support or resistance Mainly wait and observe, waiting for clear direction
Analysis 1: Trend Break Perspective (Bearish)
Market Overview:
• Current Price: 0.7026 U
• Clearly broke below the lower boundary of the ascending channel (yellow line), accompanied by a large bearish candle, short-term bullish structure is damaged.
• Struggling between EMA20 and EMA144 (blue line), trend is bearish and momentum is weakening.
Strategy Conclusion:
• If the price cannot reclaim 0.7065 U, this trade is considered a “failed trade,” and it is advised to stop loss and exit.
• Support targets below are at 0.6989 U and 0.6972 U; if it drops below 0.6972 U, it may enter an accelerated downward phase.
• Currently, it is not recommended to add positions or increase holdings; wait for structural repair.
Analysis 2: Pullback Confirmation Perspective (Bullish)
Market Overview:
• Since April 30, a relatively solid ascending channel has been established; this pullback coincidentally touches EMA144 (0.6989 U) and the previous high range.
• It may still be a “healthy technical pullback”; if it reclaims 0.7065 U and shows a large bullish candle in the next few hours, the bullish structure remains.
Strategy Conclusion:
• If the next 2-3 candles can return to the 0.7065+ U area, it can be regarded as a “false break of the channel”;
• Can lightly test long positions in the range of 0.7010~0.6989 U, with a stop loss set below 0.6960 U;
• The target above remains around 0.7130 U, and the risk-reward ratio will recover to above 2.
Unified Operation Suggestion Summary (Concise Version):
Situation Operation Suggestion
Break below 0.6989 and close bearish Immediately stop loss and exit
Reclaim 0.7065 and close bullish Consider continuing to hold or adding positions
Consolidation without breaking support or resistance Mainly wait and observe, waiting for clear direction
See original
$BTC
Market Analysis on May 2, 2025 (BTC/U)
For reference only, not investment advice
Market Overview:
Bitcoin has finally broken out from a week of “sideways prison,” but now stands at a critical decision point: will it soar to new heights, or is this a false breakout that will pull back?
Key Chart Analysis (1-hour chart)
• Current Price: 96,392.5 U
• Opening Price: 96,123.6 U
• Take Profit Target: 97,277.4 U (+1.19%)
• Stop Loss Position: 95,433.3 U (-0.71%)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 1.67 (fair)
Several key points I see:
1. Minor break in the rising channel:
• Bitcoin has exploded from the sideways zone (gray box), leading to a strong upward movement;
• But now the price has slightly dipped below the yellow line slope (upward support line), indicating a clear weakening of short-term momentum.
2. High without volume, oscillating pullback:
• Current candlestick pattern is relatively weak;
• If it cannot quickly regain the support level, the market may regard it as a false breakout, increasing the likelihood of a sell-off.
3. Key support observation point:
• If it falls below 95,500 U, it is advisable to decisively cut losses;
• If it can hold and quickly rebound above 96,600 U, there is still hope for bulls.
Advice (from my perspective)
• For those already in:
• Set stop losses and do not become emotionally attached;
• If it stabilizes above 96,700 U, consider holding;
• But keep a close eye on the hourly closing situation; a significant bearish candle should prompt an exit.
• For those looking to enter:
• Do not chase the rally; wait until it confirms standing above the upper line of the channel before considering following in;
• Or be bold and wait for a drop to the 95,000~95,300 U range to bet on a rebound.
In a nutshell:
This time Bitcoin's bulls are not lacking dreams, but the market has not given them confidence. If the next hour lingers at the edge of oscillation, don't hesitate, just avoid the risk.
Market Analysis on May 2, 2025 (BTC/U)
For reference only, not investment advice
Market Overview:
Bitcoin has finally broken out from a week of “sideways prison,” but now stands at a critical decision point: will it soar to new heights, or is this a false breakout that will pull back?
Key Chart Analysis (1-hour chart)
• Current Price: 96,392.5 U
• Opening Price: 96,123.6 U
• Take Profit Target: 97,277.4 U (+1.19%)
• Stop Loss Position: 95,433.3 U (-0.71%)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 1.67 (fair)
Several key points I see:
1. Minor break in the rising channel:
• Bitcoin has exploded from the sideways zone (gray box), leading to a strong upward movement;
• But now the price has slightly dipped below the yellow line slope (upward support line), indicating a clear weakening of short-term momentum.
2. High without volume, oscillating pullback:
• Current candlestick pattern is relatively weak;
• If it cannot quickly regain the support level, the market may regard it as a false breakout, increasing the likelihood of a sell-off.
3. Key support observation point:
• If it falls below 95,500 U, it is advisable to decisively cut losses;
• If it can hold and quickly rebound above 96,600 U, there is still hope for bulls.
Advice (from my perspective)
• For those already in:
• Set stop losses and do not become emotionally attached;
• If it stabilizes above 96,700 U, consider holding;
• But keep a close eye on the hourly closing situation; a significant bearish candle should prompt an exit.
• For those looking to enter:
• Do not chase the rally; wait until it confirms standing above the upper line of the channel before considering following in;
• Or be bold and wait for a drop to the 95,000~95,300 U range to bet on a rebound.
In a nutshell:
This time Bitcoin's bulls are not lacking dreams, but the market has not given them confidence. If the next hour lingers at the edge of oscillation, don't hesitate, just avoid the risk.
See original
$SUI
May 2, 2025 Market Analysis
(For reference only, does not constitute investment advice)
SUI/U (1-hour chart)
To put the market trend bluntly: the bulls failed to push prices up and have been slapped in the face.
The price once surged along the rising trend line but turned down upon reaching the previous high, and the trend line was directly smashed through by a large bearish candle. It has now completely fallen below the trend line, and there's no way to pretend it’s not happening.
Key data at a glance:
• Current price: 3.5028 U
• Entry price: 3.508 U (which is your entry point)
• Take profit target: 3.5591 U
• Stop loss position: 3.4708 U
• Risk-reward ratio: 2.38 (looks good but lacks support)
My understanding can be summarized in one sentence:
You are now like sitting on an electric vehicle with a malfunctioning brake; if 3.47 cannot hold, don’t hesitate, jump off to stop the loss.
Suggested strategy:
• For holders:
• If the price strongly rebounds above 3.52 U, then observe;
• Otherwise, execute the stop loss directly, without hesitation.
• For those who haven’t entered:
• Don’t act impulsively, now is not the time;
• Wait for it to stabilize, for example around 3.40 U, and then see if there’s hope for a turnaround.
In summary:
The upward trend has broken, faith has shattered, don’t let your account go bankrupt as well.
May 2, 2025 Market Analysis
(For reference only, does not constitute investment advice)
SUI/U (1-hour chart)
To put the market trend bluntly: the bulls failed to push prices up and have been slapped in the face.
The price once surged along the rising trend line but turned down upon reaching the previous high, and the trend line was directly smashed through by a large bearish candle. It has now completely fallen below the trend line, and there's no way to pretend it’s not happening.
Key data at a glance:
• Current price: 3.5028 U
• Entry price: 3.508 U (which is your entry point)
• Take profit target: 3.5591 U
• Stop loss position: 3.4708 U
• Risk-reward ratio: 2.38 (looks good but lacks support)
My understanding can be summarized in one sentence:
You are now like sitting on an electric vehicle with a malfunctioning brake; if 3.47 cannot hold, don’t hesitate, jump off to stop the loss.
Suggested strategy:
• For holders:
• If the price strongly rebounds above 3.52 U, then observe;
• Otherwise, execute the stop loss directly, without hesitation.
• For those who haven’t entered:
• Don’t act impulsively, now is not the time;
• Wait for it to stabilize, for example around 3.40 U, and then see if there’s hope for a turnaround.
In summary:
The upward trend has broken, faith has shattered, don’t let your account go bankrupt as well.
See original
$ADA
Price Update and Current Status
• Current Price: 0.7153 USDT (Up +1.46%)
• Entry Price: Around 0.7115
• Target Price: 0.7216 (Potential Profit Approx. +1.42%)
• Stop Loss Price: 0.7051 (Risk Approx. -0.90%)
• Profit-Loss Ratio: 1.58, still within the ideal range
Technical Structure Continues to Hold
1. Price remains within the ascending channel and has not broken below the lower boundary;
2. Momentum Strengthening: Bullish momentum stable, EMA5 and EMA20 support effective;
3. Buy Support Strengthening: Current price close to the upper boundary of the channel, short-term fluctuations or slight pullbacks may occur.
Operational Suggestions (Based on Current Chart)
• For Holders: Can continue to hold, watch for price to break 0.7216; if volume supports, can move stop profit up or partially take profit to lock in gains.
• For Non-Entrants: It is recommended to wait for the price to pull back to the lower boundary of the channel or EMA support before considering entry, to reduce the risk of chasing highs.
• Risk Control Suggestions:
• If the price drops below 0.7051 with increased volume, can immediately stop loss;
• If the price breaks above 0.7216 and stabilizes, can add a portion to follow the trend.
Price Update and Current Status
• Current Price: 0.7153 USDT (Up +1.46%)
• Entry Price: Around 0.7115
• Target Price: 0.7216 (Potential Profit Approx. +1.42%)
• Stop Loss Price: 0.7051 (Risk Approx. -0.90%)
• Profit-Loss Ratio: 1.58, still within the ideal range
Technical Structure Continues to Hold
1. Price remains within the ascending channel and has not broken below the lower boundary;
2. Momentum Strengthening: Bullish momentum stable, EMA5 and EMA20 support effective;
3. Buy Support Strengthening: Current price close to the upper boundary of the channel, short-term fluctuations or slight pullbacks may occur.
Operational Suggestions (Based on Current Chart)
• For Holders: Can continue to hold, watch for price to break 0.7216; if volume supports, can move stop profit up or partially take profit to lock in gains.
• For Non-Entrants: It is recommended to wait for the price to pull back to the lower boundary of the channel or EMA support before considering entry, to reduce the risk of chasing highs.
• Risk Control Suggestions:
• If the price drops below 0.7051 with increased volume, can immediately stop loss;
• If the price breaks above 0.7216 and stabilizes, can add a portion to follow the trend.
See original
$SUI
Market Analysis on May 1, 2025: SUI/U (Not Investment Advice)
SUI/U (1-hour chart) quickly regained after breaking the ascending trend line and is currently in a key rebound confirmation phase. The strategy in the chart is to attempt a short position, with a high risk-reward ratio and a clear mindset.
【Market Structure】
• The price previously broke below the lower boundary of the ascending channel but did not continue to decline, instead quickly pulling back near the channel, showing some bullish resilience;
• The current position is a stabilization area after a retest of support, with slightly increased volume, indicating an attempt to rebound;
• The strategy is to go long near 3.487 U, with a stop loss below 3.449 U, targeting 3.578 U, with a risk-reward ratio of 2.31, a clear structure, and controlled risk.
【Support and Resistance】
• Support: 3.440～3.460 U (previous low + false breakdown reversal area);
• Resistance: 3.550～3.580 U (channel mid-axis + dense oscillation platform);
• If it strongly holds above 3.580 U, it is expected to return to the oscillation area above 3.70 U.
【Operational Suggestions】
• Currently suitable for light positions to go long with the trend, with strict stop loss control;
• If the price breaks below 3.440 U, the strategy will be invalid, and the market will need to be reassessed;
• If the rebound successfully breaks above the previous high of 3.58 U, consider adding to the position.
—— A false breakdown is a false move, a true signal is a real opportunity. Understanding the “counterattack” allows one to capture the second segment of profit.
Market Analysis on May 1, 2025: SUI/U (Not Investment Advice)
SUI/U (1-hour chart) quickly regained after breaking the ascending trend line and is currently in a key rebound confirmation phase. The strategy in the chart is to attempt a short position, with a high risk-reward ratio and a clear mindset.
【Market Structure】
• The price previously broke below the lower boundary of the ascending channel but did not continue to decline, instead quickly pulling back near the channel, showing some bullish resilience;
• The current position is a stabilization area after a retest of support, with slightly increased volume, indicating an attempt to rebound;
• The strategy is to go long near 3.487 U, with a stop loss below 3.449 U, targeting 3.578 U, with a risk-reward ratio of 2.31, a clear structure, and controlled risk.
【Support and Resistance】
• Support: 3.440～3.460 U (previous low + false breakdown reversal area);
• Resistance: 3.550～3.580 U (channel mid-axis + dense oscillation platform);
• If it strongly holds above 3.580 U, it is expected to return to the oscillation area above 3.70 U.
【Operational Suggestions】
• Currently suitable for light positions to go long with the trend, with strict stop loss control;
• If the price breaks below 3.440 U, the strategy will be invalid, and the market will need to be reassessed;
• If the rebound successfully breaks above the previous high of 3.58 U, consider adding to the position.
—— A false breakdown is a false move, a true signal is a real opportunity. Understanding the “counterattack” allows one to capture the second segment of profit.
See original
$ADA
Market Analysis on May 1, 2025: ADA/U (This does not constitute investment advice)
ADA/U (1-hour chart) is at a key position after a rebound, with bulls showing slight improvement, but overall it remains a weak oscillating structure. The strategy shown in the chart is "if a signal candlestick appears, go short."
【Trend Structure】
• The price has just experienced a strong decline and is currently in a rebound pullback phase;
• The EMA moving averages have not yet formed a bullish arrangement, and the trend is still bearish;
• Current proposed short position layout: entry price 0.6903 U, stop loss 0.6956 U, target 0.6750 U, with a profit-loss ratio as high as 2.89, making the risk-reward ratio very attractive, but confirmation of the signal candlestick is needed before entering the position.
【Support and Resistance】
• Upper resistance: 0.695–0.700 U (rebound suppression zone);
• Lower support: 0.6750 U; if it breaks below, it may test the 0.668 area;
• The sideways oscillation zone has repeatedly suppressed bullish attempts, and there are obvious signs of bearish control.
【Trading Suggestions】
• If the price shows typical "short signal candlesticks" such as long upper shadows and increased volume in the 0.690–0.694 U range, you can operate according to the chart's short position;
• Be cautious and observe when no signals appear; do not blindly chase the top;
• Strictly implement stop-loss to avoid being frequently stopped out in a volatile market.
—— No matter how high it rebounds, don't rush without a signal. A signal is an "activation," not a "prediction."
Market Analysis on May 1, 2025: ADA/U (This does not constitute investment advice)
ADA/U (1-hour chart) is at a key position after a rebound, with bulls showing slight improvement, but overall it remains a weak oscillating structure. The strategy shown in the chart is "if a signal candlestick appears, go short."
【Trend Structure】
• The price has just experienced a strong decline and is currently in a rebound pullback phase;
• The EMA moving averages have not yet formed a bullish arrangement, and the trend is still bearish;
• Current proposed short position layout: entry price 0.6903 U, stop loss 0.6956 U, target 0.6750 U, with a profit-loss ratio as high as 2.89, making the risk-reward ratio very attractive, but confirmation of the signal candlestick is needed before entering the position.
【Support and Resistance】
• Upper resistance: 0.695–0.700 U (rebound suppression zone);
• Lower support: 0.6750 U; if it breaks below, it may test the 0.668 area;
• The sideways oscillation zone has repeatedly suppressed bullish attempts, and there are obvious signs of bearish control.
【Trading Suggestions】
• If the price shows typical "short signal candlesticks" such as long upper shadows and increased volume in the 0.690–0.694 U range, you can operate according to the chart's short position;
• Be cautious and observe when no signals appear; do not blindly chase the top;
• Strictly implement stop-loss to avoid being frequently stopped out in a volatile market.
—— No matter how high it rebounds, don't rush without a signal. A signal is an "activation," not a "prediction."
See original
$BTC
Market Analysis on May 1, 2025 (Not Investment Advice)
BTC/U (1-Hour Chart) Current price is once again testing the previous high area, and the short-term is still at a critical point of bull-bear struggle. The rebound appears strong but has not yet broken through resistance.
【Trend Structure】
• The earlier rising trend line has been broken, and it is currently in the rebound testing phase against the original trend line resistance;
• The bullish counterattack is not weak, but it has not stabilized above the 95,000 U mark, and the bears may counterattack at any time;
• The current short logic is 'short on rebound encountering pressure', opening price at 94,800 U, stop loss at 95,051 U, target at 94,432 U, risk-reward ratio of 2.07, short strategy is clear.
【Support and Resistance】
• Resistance: 94,950～95,100 U, which is the area where several past highs have retreated;
• Support: 94,400～94,200 U, a key defensive zone in the short term;
• If it breaks below 94,200 U, it will test strong support around 93,600 U.
【Operational Suggestions】
• Currently suitable for attempting a light short position, relying on trend line resistance to create a 'false breakout' and build a risk-reward ratio;
• If the bulls strongly stand above 95,200 U, then the short strategy is invalid, and one should stop loss and exit;
• It is recommended to enter and exit quickly, avoiding getting caught in a consolidation and oscillation war.
—— A rebound does not equal a reversal; shorting should also be done with caution. The market gives you opportunities, but you must set your stop loss yourself.
Market Analysis on May 1, 2025 (Not Investment Advice)
BTC/U (1-Hour Chart) Current price is once again testing the previous high area, and the short-term is still at a critical point of bull-bear struggle. The rebound appears strong but has not yet broken through resistance.
【Trend Structure】
• The earlier rising trend line has been broken, and it is currently in the rebound testing phase against the original trend line resistance;
• The bullish counterattack is not weak, but it has not stabilized above the 95,000 U mark, and the bears may counterattack at any time;
• The current short logic is 'short on rebound encountering pressure', opening price at 94,800 U, stop loss at 95,051 U, target at 94,432 U, risk-reward ratio of 2.07, short strategy is clear.
【Support and Resistance】
• Resistance: 94,950～95,100 U, which is the area where several past highs have retreated;
• Support: 94,400～94,200 U, a key defensive zone in the short term;
• If it breaks below 94,200 U, it will test strong support around 93,600 U.
【Operational Suggestions】
• Currently suitable for attempting a light short position, relying on trend line resistance to create a 'false breakout' and build a risk-reward ratio;
• If the bulls strongly stand above 95,200 U, then the short strategy is invalid, and one should stop loss and exit;
• It is recommended to enter and exit quickly, avoiding getting caught in a consolidation and oscillation war.
—— A rebound does not equal a reversal; shorting should also be done with caution. The market gives you opportunities, but you must set your stop loss yourself.
See original
$SOL
Market Analysis on April 30, 2025: SOL/U (Not an Investment Advice)
SOL/U (1-hour chart) has temporarily broken below the rising trend line, and the price is currently in the pullback confirmation stage, with bears starting to take control; the strategy is bearish.
[Structural Analysis]
• The obvious rising trend line has been effectively broken, confirming bearish signals;
• Currently retracing to EMA20 (147.59 U) and near the broken support line, forming a typical 'break → pullback → confirmation' pattern;
• Current short entry point is at 146.71 U, with a stop loss set above 147.94 U, targeting around 144.80 U, achieving a risk-reward ratio of 2.38, making the strategy cost-effective.
[Key Levels]
• Resistance: 147.00–148.00 U (trend line resistance + EMA suppression);
• Support: 144.80 U (short-term target level);
• If it breaks below 144.50 U, bears may further push towards the 142 U region.
[Trading Suggestions]
• Currently a typical 'break and short' right-side trading opportunity;
• Light position, tight stop loss, to guard against pullback false breakouts;
• If the price stabilizes above 148 U again, the bearish case is invalidated, and the structure reverses.
—— The trend line is broken, the direction changes. Don’t cling to battles; following the structure is the instinct of trading.
Market Analysis on April 30, 2025: SOL/U (Not an Investment Advice)
SOL/U (1-hour chart) has temporarily broken below the rising trend line, and the price is currently in the pullback confirmation stage, with bears starting to take control; the strategy is bearish.
[Structural Analysis]
• The obvious rising trend line has been effectively broken, confirming bearish signals;
• Currently retracing to EMA20 (147.59 U) and near the broken support line, forming a typical 'break → pullback → confirmation' pattern;
• Current short entry point is at 146.71 U, with a stop loss set above 147.94 U, targeting around 144.80 U, achieving a risk-reward ratio of 2.38, making the strategy cost-effective.
[Key Levels]
• Resistance: 147.00–148.00 U (trend line resistance + EMA suppression);
• Support: 144.80 U (short-term target level);
• If it breaks below 144.50 U, bears may further push towards the 142 U region.
[Trading Suggestions]
• Currently a typical 'break and short' right-side trading opportunity;
• Light position, tight stop loss, to guard against pullback false breakouts;
• If the price stabilizes above 148 U again, the bearish case is invalidated, and the structure reverses.
—— The trend line is broken, the direction changes. Don’t cling to battles; following the structure is the instinct of trading.
See original
$SUI
April 30, 2025 Market Analysis: SUI/U (Not Investment Advice)
SUI/U is currently operating within a converging oscillation structure, with the ascending trendline support still in effect, and the market has not chosen a clear direction yet.
【Structural Analysis】
• The current candlestick is operating in the lower part of the channel and has not exited the oscillation zone;
• EMA5 and EMA20 are horizontally conjoined, lacking a clear short-term trend, leaning towards oscillation;
• The ascending support line at the bottom has effectively supported multiple dips, making it a key defensive level for bulls in the short term;
• EMA20 (3.5532 U) is slightly above the current price, constituting short-term resistance.
【Support and Resistance】
• Support: 3.500～3.510 U (ascending trendline);
• Resistance: 3.570～3.600 U area;
• If it breaks below 3.50 U with volume, the oscillation will turn downward;
• If it breaks above 3.60 U with volume, it is expected to test the previous high of 3.75 U.
【Operational Strategy】
• Currently suitable for a buy low, sell high strategy, light position shorting within the range;
• If approaching the 3.51 U area and a clear stop-loss signal appears, a small long position can be attempted;
• After breaking through or falling below the channel edge, increase positions in the direction of the trend, avoiding oscillation stop-losses.
—— If the trend hasn't come, don't guess the direction; if the oscillation hasn't broken, trade according to the oscillation.
April 30, 2025 Market Analysis: SUI/U (Not Investment Advice)
SUI/U is currently operating within a converging oscillation structure, with the ascending trendline support still in effect, and the market has not chosen a clear direction yet.
【Structural Analysis】
• The current candlestick is operating in the lower part of the channel and has not exited the oscillation zone;
• EMA5 and EMA20 are horizontally conjoined, lacking a clear short-term trend, leaning towards oscillation;
• The ascending support line at the bottom has effectively supported multiple dips, making it a key defensive level for bulls in the short term;
• EMA20 (3.5532 U) is slightly above the current price, constituting short-term resistance.
【Support and Resistance】
• Support: 3.500～3.510 U (ascending trendline);
• Resistance: 3.570～3.600 U area;
• If it breaks below 3.50 U with volume, the oscillation will turn downward;
• If it breaks above 3.60 U with volume, it is expected to test the previous high of 3.75 U.
【Operational Strategy】
• Currently suitable for a buy low, sell high strategy, light position shorting within the range;
• If approaching the 3.51 U area and a clear stop-loss signal appears, a small long position can be attempted;
• After breaking through or falling below the channel edge, increase positions in the direction of the trend, avoiding oscillation stop-losses.
—— If the trend hasn't come, don't guess the direction; if the oscillation hasn't broken, trade according to the oscillation.
See original
$ADA
Market Analysis on April 30, 2025: ADA/U (Not Investment Advice)
ADA/U (1-hour chart) has formed a typical 'downward consolidation' structure, with moving averages arranged bearishly, maintaining a high short-term bearish outlook.
【Current Structure】
• The price has been repeatedly blocked in the 0.703–0.705 U area, forming a clear top resistance;
• EMA5 has crossed below EMA20, and the candlestick is trading below both lines, confirming a weak pattern;
• Current short position opened at 0.6971 U, with a stop loss set at 0.7034 U, and a target at 0.6906 U, yielding a risk-reward ratio of 1.88, which is reasonable.
【Key Positions】
• Resistance: 0.703–0.705 U (previous high + EMA20);
• Support: 0.690–0.688 U range; if broken, it may trigger accelerated declines;
• The pivot point of the sideways consolidation is gradually moving downward, with the bearish trend still dominating the rhythm.
【Trading Suggestions】
• Suitable for small position shorting in line with the trend, with risk control set above EMA20 for greater stability;
• If the price strongly recovers above 0.705 U, the short strategy becomes invalid;
• Quick in and out on short-term trades to avoid getting caught in range oscillations.
—— Not falling hard but not rising either, just gradually moving down. Pay attention to the rhythm for stability.
Market Analysis on April 30, 2025: ADA/U (Not Investment Advice)
ADA/U (1-hour chart) has formed a typical 'downward consolidation' structure, with moving averages arranged bearishly, maintaining a high short-term bearish outlook.
【Current Structure】
• The price has been repeatedly blocked in the 0.703–0.705 U area, forming a clear top resistance;
• EMA5 has crossed below EMA20, and the candlestick is trading below both lines, confirming a weak pattern;
• Current short position opened at 0.6971 U, with a stop loss set at 0.7034 U, and a target at 0.6906 U, yielding a risk-reward ratio of 1.88, which is reasonable.
【Key Positions】
• Resistance: 0.703–0.705 U (previous high + EMA20);
• Support: 0.690–0.688 U range; if broken, it may trigger accelerated declines;
• The pivot point of the sideways consolidation is gradually moving downward, with the bearish trend still dominating the rhythm.
【Trading Suggestions】
• Suitable for small position shorting in line with the trend, with risk control set above EMA20 for greater stability;
• If the price strongly recovers above 0.705 U, the short strategy becomes invalid;
• Quick in and out on short-term trades to avoid getting caught in range oscillations.
—— Not falling hard but not rising either, just gradually moving down. Pay attention to the rhythm for stability.
See original
$BTC
Market Analysis on April 30, 2025 (Not Investment Advice)
BTC/U (1-Hour Chart) once again plays out the 'Bear Trap' scenario. The tug of war between bulls and bears is intense, and the price has fallen below the short-term uptrend line, with short-term bears slightly gaining the upper hand.
【Trend Structure】
• The bullish rhythm that was originally following the uptrend line has been broken;
• The current price is at 94,670 U, and the logic for going short is to short as the trend line breaks;
• Stop loss is set above 95,051 U, with the target looking towards around 94,183 U, with a risk-reward ratio of about 1.75;
• EMA20 provides no clear guidance, and the market has entered a phase of short-term direction selection.
【Support and Resistance】
• Upper resistance: 94,900 U ～ 95,000 U, which belongs to the area of multiple failed attempts to break higher;
• Lower support: 94,200 U～94,000 U, if broken, will open up downward space to 93,600 U;
• Further lower support remains at the lower edge of the channel, expected around 93,000 U.
【Operational Thoughts】
• Currently is a window for a bearish counterattack, with short strategies being dominant;
• If the price rises above the trend line again, the short position will be invalidated, and there will be a chance for the market to return to an upward trend;
• In a volatile pattern, it is not suitable to heavily chase positions; light short trades are more prudent.
—— Don't ask where the market is going, first see how the structure is moving. The chart has broken, and the direction has emerged.
Market Analysis on April 30, 2025 (Not Investment Advice)
BTC/U (1-Hour Chart) once again plays out the 'Bear Trap' scenario. The tug of war between bulls and bears is intense, and the price has fallen below the short-term uptrend line, with short-term bears slightly gaining the upper hand.
【Trend Structure】
• The bullish rhythm that was originally following the uptrend line has been broken;
• The current price is at 94,670 U, and the logic for going short is to short as the trend line breaks;
• Stop loss is set above 95,051 U, with the target looking towards around 94,183 U, with a risk-reward ratio of about 1.75;
• EMA20 provides no clear guidance, and the market has entered a phase of short-term direction selection.
【Support and Resistance】
• Upper resistance: 94,900 U ～ 95,000 U, which belongs to the area of multiple failed attempts to break higher;
• Lower support: 94,200 U～94,000 U, if broken, will open up downward space to 93,600 U;
• Further lower support remains at the lower edge of the channel, expected around 93,000 U.
【Operational Thoughts】
• Currently is a window for a bearish counterattack, with short strategies being dominant;
• If the price rises above the trend line again, the short position will be invalidated, and there will be a chance for the market to return to an upward trend;
• In a volatile pattern, it is not suitable to heavily chase positions; light short trades are more prudent.
—— Don't ask where the market is going, first see how the structure is moving. The chart has broken, and the direction has emerged.
See original
$SUI
April 29, 2025 Market Analysis: SUI/U (This does not constitute investment advice)
SUI/U has formed a standard pullback stabilization pattern on the 1-hour chart and is currently attempting to challenge the upper resistance again.
【Pattern and Structure】
• The price movement maintains a wide range of fluctuations, but the lows are gradually rising, presenting a relatively strong structure;
• The current opening price is around 3.5487 U, with a stop loss set at 3.3887 U and a target price near 3.7003 U, yielding a risk-reward ratio of 1.64, which belongs to a pullback long strategy;
• The EMA20 line is attempting to turn upward, with short-term support at 3.5067 U;
• The overall pattern favors buying on dips, continuing to go long on support.
【Key Level Observation】
• Upper resistance is concentrated in the 3.70–3.75 U range;
• Lower support is around 3.50–3.51 U, and caution is needed if it breaks below 3.50 U;
• If it strongly breaks through 3.70 U, there is a chance to challenge around 3.90 U afterward.
【Operation Suggestions】
• Try a small position for long trades, adding positions near 3.50 U on pullbacks;
• Strictly control the stop loss below 3.3887 U to prevent market fluctuations from washing out positions;
• Target profit first looks at 3.70 U, and can be adjusted upward for protection tracking after a breakout.
—— Keep positions light, maintain a steady mindset, and follow the market step by step; don't panic yourself.
April 29, 2025 Market Analysis: SUI/U (This does not constitute investment advice)
SUI/U has formed a standard pullback stabilization pattern on the 1-hour chart and is currently attempting to challenge the upper resistance again.
【Pattern and Structure】
• The price movement maintains a wide range of fluctuations, but the lows are gradually rising, presenting a relatively strong structure;
• The current opening price is around 3.5487 U, with a stop loss set at 3.3887 U and a target price near 3.7003 U, yielding a risk-reward ratio of 1.64, which belongs to a pullback long strategy;
• The EMA20 line is attempting to turn upward, with short-term support at 3.5067 U;
• The overall pattern favors buying on dips, continuing to go long on support.
【Key Level Observation】
• Upper resistance is concentrated in the 3.70–3.75 U range;
• Lower support is around 3.50–3.51 U, and caution is needed if it breaks below 3.50 U;
• If it strongly breaks through 3.70 U, there is a chance to challenge around 3.90 U afterward.
【Operation Suggestions】
• Try a small position for long trades, adding positions near 3.50 U on pullbacks;
• Strictly control the stop loss below 3.3887 U to prevent market fluctuations from washing out positions;
• Target profit first looks at 3.70 U, and can be adjusted upward for protection tracking after a breakout.
—— Keep positions light, maintain a steady mindset, and follow the market step by step; don't panic yourself.
See original
$ADA
April 29, 2025 Market Analysis: ADA/U (This does not constitute investment advice)
Currently, ADA/U has formed a head and shoulders top pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, indicating a temporary short signal. The trend has entered a critical verification phase.
【Pattern and Structure】
• The head and shoulders top has basically formed, and the right shoulder has not effectively made a new high;
• The current price is in the initial phase of "right shoulder breakdown," with short-term bearish momentum slightly dominating;
• The entry position is at 0.7004 U, with a stop loss above 0.7108 U, and the target looks towards 0.6856 U, with a risk-reward ratio of 1.42, which belongs to an attempt at a short position due to structural breakdown;
• EMA20 has not provided clear trend guidance, indicating weak market direction and susceptibility to fluctuations.
【Key Level Observation】
• Resistance above is concentrated in the 0.705–0.711 U range (head area);
• Support below is in the 0.685–0.690 U range (previous low + target area);
• If the price can effectively break below 0.690, then the pattern breakdown is confirmed, and the target may further drop to around 0.670.
【Operational Suggestions】
• Bears may consider participating in the pattern breakdown with a small position;
• Bulls should wait for stabilization before acting;
• Pay special attention to whether the resistance in the 0.705 U area holds.
—— The chart speaks, and the position listens; don’t rush the rhythm, just follow the structure.
April 29, 2025 Market Analysis: ADA/U (This does not constitute investment advice)
Currently, ADA/U has formed a head and shoulders top pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, indicating a temporary short signal. The trend has entered a critical verification phase.
【Pattern and Structure】
• The head and shoulders top has basically formed, and the right shoulder has not effectively made a new high;
• The current price is in the initial phase of "right shoulder breakdown," with short-term bearish momentum slightly dominating;
• The entry position is at 0.7004 U, with a stop loss above 0.7108 U, and the target looks towards 0.6856 U, with a risk-reward ratio of 1.42, which belongs to an attempt at a short position due to structural breakdown;
• EMA20 has not provided clear trend guidance, indicating weak market direction and susceptibility to fluctuations.
【Key Level Observation】
• Resistance above is concentrated in the 0.705–0.711 U range (head area);
• Support below is in the 0.685–0.690 U range (previous low + target area);
• If the price can effectively break below 0.690, then the pattern breakdown is confirmed, and the target may further drop to around 0.670.
【Operational Suggestions】
• Bears may consider participating in the pattern breakdown with a small position;
• Bulls should wait for stabilization before acting;
• Pay special attention to whether the resistance in the 0.705 U area holds.
—— The chart speaks, and the position listens; don’t rush the rhythm, just follow the structure.
See original
$BTC
Market Analysis on April 29, 2025 (Not Investment Advice)
BTC/U (1-hour chart) is currently still operating within a clear upward channel, with an overall bullish trend, but the rhythm is not urgent, belonging to a fluctuating upward structure.
【Formation and Structure】
• The price has just rebounded after receiving support at the lower edge of the channel, currently near the midline;
• EMA20 (94,517 U) currently forms short-term support;
• The current bullish entry point is around 94,668 U, with a stop loss set above 95,486 U, and the target is aimed down to 93,231 U, with a risk-reward ratio of about 2.32, which belongs to the logic of betting on a short position that “moves along the channel”;
• The pressure above is mainly concentrated in the range of 95,000–95,500 U;
• Support below looks at 93,600 U and near the lower edge of the channel.
Trading Signals
• From the current layout, this is a typical “pullback short” strategy in the middle of the channel;
• If the price strongly breaks through 95,000 U subsequently, the stop loss for this strategy will be triggered, and the market will turn to continue testing the upper track;
• If the resistance is effective, the price is expected to retest near the lower track (targeting the range of 93,200–93,600 U).
【Operational Suggestions】
• Aggressive traders can refer to the short position set in the chart;
• Conservative traders are advised to wait for the price to approach the upper and lower edges of the channel before looking for entry points, reducing interference from false signals in the fluctuation area;
• Currently, it is not advisable to chase the rise or blindly bottom-fish.
—— Understanding the market at your own pace is much more important than following the crowd.
Market Analysis on April 29, 2025 (Not Investment Advice)
BTC/U (1-hour chart) is currently still operating within a clear upward channel, with an overall bullish trend, but the rhythm is not urgent, belonging to a fluctuating upward structure.
【Formation and Structure】
• The price has just rebounded after receiving support at the lower edge of the channel, currently near the midline;
• EMA20 (94,517 U) currently forms short-term support;
• The current bullish entry point is around 94,668 U, with a stop loss set above 95,486 U, and the target is aimed down to 93,231 U, with a risk-reward ratio of about 2.32, which belongs to the logic of betting on a short position that “moves along the channel”;
• The pressure above is mainly concentrated in the range of 95,000–95,500 U;
• Support below looks at 93,600 U and near the lower edge of the channel.
Trading Signals
• From the current layout, this is a typical “pullback short” strategy in the middle of the channel;
• If the price strongly breaks through 95,000 U subsequently, the stop loss for this strategy will be triggered, and the market will turn to continue testing the upper track;
• If the resistance is effective, the price is expected to retest near the lower track (targeting the range of 93,200–93,600 U).
【Operational Suggestions】
• Aggressive traders can refer to the short position set in the chart;
• Conservative traders are advised to wait for the price to approach the upper and lower edges of the channel before looking for entry points, reducing interference from false signals in the fluctuation area;
• Currently, it is not advisable to chase the rise or blindly bottom-fish.
—— Understanding the market at your own pace is much more important than following the crowd.
See original
$TRUMP
April 28, 2025 TRUMP Market Analysis
(For reference only, not investment advice)
Current Price: 14.40 U
Trend Structure:
1. The upward trend line has been broken, short-term bias is bearish
TRUMP coin previously rose along the trend line, but the trend line has now clearly been broken, and the price has entered a weak sideways consolidation trend, with a risk of further decline in the short term.
2. Key Position Analysis:
• Upper Resistance: 15.17 U
• Lower Support: 13.23 U
The trend is currently dominated by bears, with short-term focus on weak consolidation.
Strategy Interpretation in the Chart:
• Entry Point: Around 14.40 U
• Stop Loss Level: 15.17 U
• Target Level: 13.23 U
• Profit-Loss Ratio: About 1.52
Current Short-term Logic: Break the trend line, lightly short with the trend, if it rebounds, do not exceed the resistance level to continue shorting.
Practical Suggestions:
• Bearish Operation Idea:
If it rebounds to the 14.8 U ~ 15.1 U area and faces resistance without breaking, a small position can be shorted, initially targeting 13.2 U;
• Defensive Strategy:
If it breaks and stabilizes above 15.2 U, long positions can be entered in the opposite direction, and short positions should be decisively stopped out;
Short-term trend is weak, position control + setting profit-taking and stop-loss must be strict to avoid being washed out by fluctuations.
April 28, 2025 TRUMP Market Analysis
(For reference only, not investment advice)
Current Price: 14.40 U
Trend Structure:
1. The upward trend line has been broken, short-term bias is bearish
TRUMP coin previously rose along the trend line, but the trend line has now clearly been broken, and the price has entered a weak sideways consolidation trend, with a risk of further decline in the short term.
2. Key Position Analysis:
• Upper Resistance: 15.17 U
• Lower Support: 13.23 U
The trend is currently dominated by bears, with short-term focus on weak consolidation.
Strategy Interpretation in the Chart:
• Entry Point: Around 14.40 U
• Stop Loss Level: 15.17 U
• Target Level: 13.23 U
• Profit-Loss Ratio: About 1.52
Current Short-term Logic: Break the trend line, lightly short with the trend, if it rebounds, do not exceed the resistance level to continue shorting.
Practical Suggestions:
• Bearish Operation Idea:
If it rebounds to the 14.8 U ~ 15.1 U area and faces resistance without breaking, a small position can be shorted, initially targeting 13.2 U;
• Defensive Strategy:
If it breaks and stabilizes above 15.2 U, long positions can be entered in the opposite direction, and short positions should be decisively stopped out;
Short-term trend is weak, position control + setting profit-taking and stop-loss must be strict to avoid being washed out by fluctuations.
See original
$DOGE
April 28, 2025 DOGE Market Analysis
(For reference only, not investment advice)
Current Price: 0.17655 U
Trend Structure:
1. Breaking below the trendline, short-term turning bearish
DOGE had been following an upward trendline, but it has now confirmed a break below the support line and is beginning to decline in volume, with the short-term structure weakening.
2. Key Level Analysis:
• Upper Resistance: 0.17985 U
• Lower Support: 0.17215 U
There is a risk of continuing to test around 0.1721 U or even lower in the short term.
Strategy Interpretation in the Chart:
• Entry Point: Around 0.17655 U
• Stop Loss: 0.17985 U
• Target Price: 0.17215 U
• Risk-Reward Ratio: About 2.26
Current Short-Term Logic: Follow the trend; after breaking below the support line, follow the bearish trend, if the rebound does not surpass the resistance level, continue shorting.
Practical Advice:
• Bearish Strategy:
After breaking the trendline, continue to short at highs, with the defensive level set above 0.1798 U, targeting lower to 0.1721 U and below;
• Defense Strategy:
If DOGE suddenly increases in volume and recovers above the trendline (large bullish candle returns), decisively cut losses and exit to avoid a reversal trend.
• Cautions:
Current volume has increased, making it prone to one-sided movements; short positions should carefully manage position sizes and take-profit strategies.
April 28, 2025 DOGE Market Analysis
(For reference only, not investment advice)
Current Price: 0.17655 U
Trend Structure:
1. Breaking below the trendline, short-term turning bearish
DOGE had been following an upward trendline, but it has now confirmed a break below the support line and is beginning to decline in volume, with the short-term structure weakening.
2. Key Level Analysis:
• Upper Resistance: 0.17985 U
• Lower Support: 0.17215 U
There is a risk of continuing to test around 0.1721 U or even lower in the short term.
Strategy Interpretation in the Chart:
• Entry Point: Around 0.17655 U
• Stop Loss: 0.17985 U
• Target Price: 0.17215 U
• Risk-Reward Ratio: About 2.26
Current Short-Term Logic: Follow the trend; after breaking below the support line, follow the bearish trend, if the rebound does not surpass the resistance level, continue shorting.
Practical Advice:
• Bearish Strategy:
After breaking the trendline, continue to short at highs, with the defensive level set above 0.1798 U, targeting lower to 0.1721 U and below;
• Defense Strategy:
If DOGE suddenly increases in volume and recovers above the trendline (large bullish candle returns), decisively cut losses and exit to avoid a reversal trend.
• Cautions:
Current volume has increased, making it prone to one-sided movements; short positions should carefully manage position sizes and take-profit strategies.
See original
$SUI
April 28, 2025 SUI Market Analysis
(For reference only, not investment advice)
Current Price: 3.5075 U
Trend Structure:
1. High-level consolidation after an uptrend
SUI entered a sideways consolidation after rising to 3.71 U, and is currently showing downward probing actions, with signs of weakening short-term bullish momentum.
2. Key support and resistance zones:
• Upper resistance: 3.5156 U ~ 3.6714 U
• Lower support: 3.4000 U ~ 3.2558 U
Short-term is near an important support zone, need to pay attention to the validity of the support.
Strategy Interpretation in the Chart:
• Entry Point: Near 3.5075 U
• Stop Loss: 3.6714 U
• Target Price: 3.2558 U
• Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1.67
Overall short-term logic is: If close to resistance without breaking, a light short position can be taken; if key support is broken, it will accelerate downward.
Practical Suggestions:
• Bearish Mindset:
If the price is pressured near 3.5156 U, a small short position can be taken, targeting the 3.40 U and 3.25 U areas;
• Defense Strategy:
If the price rebounds and strongly breaks above 3.6714 U and holds, long positions can be followed, while short positions need to stop loss and exit;
• Risk Warning:
Trading in a volatile range can easily lead to false breakouts, it is advised to operate with light positions, enter and exit quickly to prevent reversals.
April 28, 2025 SUI Market Analysis
(For reference only, not investment advice)
Current Price: 3.5075 U
Trend Structure:
1. High-level consolidation after an uptrend
SUI entered a sideways consolidation after rising to 3.71 U, and is currently showing downward probing actions, with signs of weakening short-term bullish momentum.
2. Key support and resistance zones:
• Upper resistance: 3.5156 U ~ 3.6714 U
• Lower support: 3.4000 U ~ 3.2558 U
Short-term is near an important support zone, need to pay attention to the validity of the support.
Strategy Interpretation in the Chart:
• Entry Point: Near 3.5075 U
• Stop Loss: 3.6714 U
• Target Price: 3.2558 U
• Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1.67
Overall short-term logic is: If close to resistance without breaking, a light short position can be taken; if key support is broken, it will accelerate downward.
Practical Suggestions:
• Bearish Mindset:
If the price is pressured near 3.5156 U, a small short position can be taken, targeting the 3.40 U and 3.25 U areas;
• Defense Strategy:
If the price rebounds and strongly breaks above 3.6714 U and holds, long positions can be followed, while short positions need to stop loss and exit;
• Risk Warning:
Trading in a volatile range can easily lead to false breakouts, it is advised to operate with light positions, enter and exit quickly to prevent reversals.
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