資訊小能手

#美联储利率决议
Currently, most small coins are showing a situation of bullish divergence
Bullish divergence means that the price is making new lows
But the technical analysis indicators are not making new lows
In this situation, the price usually experiences a rebound
It is recommended to take a small position for a short-term long, and the stop-loss won't hurt as much
Below are the small coins I've entered, for reference

ADA: Entry price 0.7561-0.776
Stop-loss price 0.75
Take profit: 0.805

DOGE: Entry price 0.21749-0.22304
Stop-loss price 0.21425
Take profit: 0.23276

SUI: Entry price 3.74-3.815
Stop-loss price 3.71
Take profit: 4

SUI
The triangle convergence at the daily level has effectively broken through, with resistance around 4-4.4.
Let's see if it can follow the 123 pattern: break through > pull back > rise again.
According to the proportional symmetry of the triangle pattern, it could reach 8 (just for reference).
Even if you buy spot, there will be double the income.
However, if the breakthrough fails and returns to the triangle consolidation area,
then we need to pay attention to how the support level at 3.5 behaves.

It's been a while since I updated everyone, because I've been busy lately. Now I'll share some of my personal thoughts with you #BNB创新高 #ETH重返3800
1.BTC
If we estimate where BTC will rise the most
Using technical analysis - the symmetrical pattern of a bull flag, it's about 147000 (just for reference)

Now let's take a look at the Chicago futures, there are two that are relatively close
One is 118505-120335
The other one I mentioned before is 114300-115630 (I entered a long position here, but couldn't hold it and took a small profit)
However, BTC has not fully filled the gap
Previously, it filled up to 114760, which is still a bit away from the low of 114300
We still need to observe whether it will be obstructed again at 120000
Staying in this range of oscillation

2.ETH
I previously mentioned that it would rise more aggressively than BTC; I remember when I last wrote, ETH was 3165
Now it is 3880, let's take a look at the weekly level
I believe it has formed a W double bottom
Although it's a bit ugly, using a symmetrical pattern to estimate
The highest I can see is around 6630 (just for reference)
Currently, as long as it doesn't fall below 3675, I believe the recent target will reach 4048

3.ALGO
The largest position I hold is still ALGO
From the weekly level
In July 2023, it broke and rose 200% to 0.33
In October 2024, it broke and rose 300% to 0.6
So I reasonably estimate that with the interest rate cuts, this time it might rise 400% to 1, which shouldn't be too much to ask haha

4.DOGE
Looking at the daily level, it has also formed a W bottom
The pattern is at least much better looking than ETH
0.25 is the key level, because it is the neckline of the W bottom
As long as it closes above 0.25, the next position will be around 0.31~0.32
Then it will be 0.45

5.SOL
The pattern is quite similar to SUI
Looking at the daily level, we need to first aim to recover 200
Only then can we pull back and attack upwards at the key level of 216

I think algo

If speculation fails, become a chicken

How nice not to have a contract 😂

#美国加征关税
Last time I mentioned that U.S. stocks might experience an epic crash
As expected, U.S. stocks have indeed returned to the yellow zone
Even deeper, they fell back to the 0.618 spike, which is crucial
If it holds, there could be a nice rebound
In contrast to BTC, unfortunately, BTC has not yet returned to 0.618, where I mentioned the lottery ticket

Now let's take a look at NASQ Nasdaq
Although U.S. stocks have recovered, NASQ is still a bit short
Coinciding with the 9th is the tariff implementation day; if it completes smoothly and rebounds, that would be perfect

BTC is now to observe the 73900-70650 0.618 lottery ticket zone
If there is a spike recovery, this area is worth entering a long position
As ETH/BTC is about to reach 0.017
If the key support effectively bounces, we will first observe that BTC has a segment of its own market
Then we can shift some positions to altcoins
(Of course, this description needs to align with the Federal Reserve's indication of interest rate cuts to start)

In view of the previously strong employment data, the Federal Reserve believes the economy is still doing well
Why lower rates? Therefore, if Trump messes up the market and tariffs,
It's to push the Federal Reserve to tighten the balance sheet and cut rates early, to see if your employment data still performs well

Indeed, the market is not good right now, but thinking positively
It's like the market has given you another chance to buy low
Originally scheduled for June to lower rates, let's see if there’s a chance to do it in May

#美国加征关税
4/2 Trump has already announced a large-scale reciprocal tariff plan in advance
Whales on the blockchain have already fled
The news aspect stops here

Looking at the BTC market, it aligns with the previously mentioned third point
After the short position triggered by breaking the upward trend line, it has now
At least made a profit of 5000-6000 points, taking partial profits here is very reasonable
I still see if there is a quick recovery action around 78150
If so, it would be a good opportunity to enter long

Additionally, the gap represented by the yellow line below the US stock market has been mentioned long ago and remains unfilled
If the tariff news continues to cause panic
A historic crash down to the gap is not out of the question
In comparison to BTC, it is similar to the lottery position I suggested for everyone to hang on to, which is also around #加密市场回调

F*ck, this is not what he said.

On Thursday, the Federal Reserve will hold an interest rate meeting. Anyway, there will definitely be no rate cut, and the earliest possibility will be in June. Therefore, the market during this period will remain as it is. I actually think that now is a good time to do grid trading.

Let's look at the BTC market, which mainly has three points.
First, can it break through 86500? If it breaks through, then we will look at the resistance situation in the 89200-91500 range.

Second, if it can't even reach 86500, then we need to check the support situation at 78150. If it holds, we can go long.

Third, if 78150 doesn't hold, then I will be looking at the drop towards 72335, which is the lottery zone. I still have my order hanging.

Therefore, the strategy is very simple: wait for support to go long at the positions I mentioned above, short at resistance, and it's easy to set stop losses.

#CPI数据来袭
BTC previously mentioned the pink gap was almost filled
This time it has been completely filled
The current gap is between 82400-85900
This means it will inevitably rise to fill the green gap
Currently, all US stocks are still falling
Seeing the yellow box below the SP500 indicates there is also a gap waiting for US stocks to fill
Moreover, compared to BTC, I actually think US stocks are falling harder than BTC
Looking at the 1-hour level, there is a brief framework shift
But in the big picture, I still see it as a rebound
If we pull a Fibonacci 0.618, although there is a brief pullback
It hasn't fully retraced
If this time it can dip deeper to the range of 79346 to 78259 without breaking
I will re-enter to go long here
The stop loss can be set just a little below at #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批 #加密市场反弹
Once again, don't forget to place a lottery order at the lower position of 72335
The Fibonacci 0.618 at the daily level and filling the vacuum area
It's possible that US stocks continue to fall and suddenly reach this level.

#美国加征关税 #美国加密战略储备
Last night, everyone was advised to pay attention to the direction of the US stock market after it opens (don't forget there is a gap below in the US stocks)
BTC later dropped to fill the gap
Even though it was stated yesterday that BTC was 91655
In the end, it still fell to around 86000, allowing for a gain of 5600 points
This morning, the gap in the green box has been completely filled

Currently, we can see that BTC is still under pressure from the descending trend line
High points are getting lower, and low points as well
There is no bullish trend in the short term
If we want to change the current trajectory
We must close above 84690 to bounce back (blue arrow)
Only then will I consider the market to have reversed

Previously, the pink gap was still a little bit away from being filled
If this time it really comes down to completely fill it
It's worth paying attention to the possibility of a huge spike
As for the approximate position of the spike
I also draw Fibonacci from the starting point on the daily level
It's around 72300
You can place a lottery ticket around this area, it won't be a loss

#美国加密战略储备
Trump said a phrase, technical analysis is all crap
SOL/XRP/ADA/ETH/BTC and others benefit
Just take a look at BTC's chart

I believe that if the daily close is above the deep pink at 89256, it would signify a short-term trend change
Although the white downward trend line has still not been broken
But consolidating in the yellow resistance area is considered a strong performance

The current movement follows script 2, first dropping to the pink CME gap
But it's still just a bit short of being filled, and then starting to fill the yellow CME (DONE) gap
Here's the key point, everyone take a look at the CME Bitcoin futures
After Trump spoke last night, although there was a big surge
BTC left a huge gap on the daily level (green)
About 86000-93000 or so
This means that one day it will drop to fill it
Friends who fell asleep yesterday and missed this wave shouldn't FOMO too much
Tonight, take a look at the US stock market trends to see if it will fill this gap

First of all, the S&P 500 in the US stock market has already filled the gap, but the CME Bitcoin futures still have a bit to go. It is estimated that it will continue to go down to completely fill the gap. If there is no liquidity during the holiday and whales are allowed to manipulate, there is a high probability that it will be filled over the weekend. Here, we need to see if there is support after it's filled. I think it's better to set stop losses when trying trades in the pink area, which is also the right entry strategy. If it really goes down, it’s okay to place the stop loss just a little bit below the pink area. #美SEC：Meme币非证券 #比特币价格走势分析 #美联储降息预期

#你看好哪一个山寨币ETF将通过？ must algo

1.BTC
From a weekly perspective, it forms a head and shoulders top (bearish) pattern.
Regardless of whether there is support or not, the decline from head to neckline must meet 1:1
The white line will just fall to the CME gap, which is quite magical.
I'm not saying it will definitely fall like this.
The most important thing now is to pay attention to the second yellow dotted line 90535, which is whether the neckline can be supported.
If it falls below, only the square blue area will remain, with support around 85,000-90,000.
If it falls below 100% again, the decline will accelerate, because there are almost no chip transactions here during the rise.

The spot operation is to place orders in both the blue zone and CME.
It is also possible to hang the neckline, but the chips must be divided into blue and CME in batches.
To do the action of flattening the position
Because if you don’t come down, you will miss this increase.
I suggest you just observe the contract part first.

2.ETH
The status of Doomsday Chariot ETH is stronger than BTC. Before the altcoins took off, I had the impression that ETH would be stronger than BTC, right?
The weekly level is completely opposite to the big brother, forming a head and shoulders bottom (bullish)
If we still use 1:1 to meet the growth pattern, it will reach 7200
It’s no exaggeration, this is a large-scale situation at the weekly level.
But it is also possible that the right shoulder will rise if it fails to form.

Because look at the daily level
Currently forming an ascending triangle with a flat top and higher and higher lows.
As long as it does not fall below the triangle, there is a high probability of a breakthrough.
If it falls below, I will start to think that it is a head and shoulders bottom at the weekly level. #BTC挖矿难度创新高 #ETH #山寨

The last bull market in 2020 had a significant price increase during the week of Christmas.
First, let's take a look at BTC.D; this is the chart I created showing BTC's halving after 224 days.
This coincides with the time when altcoins typically start to rise.
The yellow vertical line marks December 21st, after which BTC.D's market share began to decline rapidly.
In its place, the market share of altcoins increased.
For instance, on December 21st, various altcoins like ALGO/ADA/SOL/DOGE, etc., all began a wave of upward momentum.

It’s not to say that Christmas is directly related to the rise of altcoins,
but we can look at historical data to anticipate the possibility of a one-sided market.

Earlier, on December 12th, I mentioned that BTC would have a significant rise this week,
and it indeed surged to nearly 110,000.
The timing for entry has been previously highlighted for everyone to pay attention to.
Given BTC's recent drop, I believe there is no reason to hesitate in entering the market.
Capital tends to rotate, and the upward movement is coming soon.

1.BTC
After such a long wait, this week BTC continuously breaks new highs.
The daily MACD crossover signals bullish momentum, and I believe there's a high probability it will reach 120,000.
Additionally, the U.S. stock market opened high and is likely to fill the gap.
However, I strongly suggest that if BTC pulls back during the filling, it would be a good opportunity to increase positions and enter the market.

2.XRP
On 12/18, Ripple's RUSD will go live on upload, providing a 5% reward to the XRP community.
This is positive news; looking at the current market, it has faced resistance multiple times at 2.49, but the lows are getting higher.
There is a chance to break the resistance in the 2.66 range.
Basically, any pullbacks provide an entry point.

3.ALGO
Relative to XRP/DOGE, it is somewhat weaker, but since 12/4, it has been accumulating after falling.
It has formed a 4-hour converging triangle.
If it breaks out, there is a chance it could reach 0.7.

4.DOGE
Formed a converging triangle on the 4-hour level.
The best entry point has already been reported in the entry call.
If entering now, I suggest only chasing after a triangle breakout.
I am also paying attention to the weekly resistance at 0.45 upon breakout.

5.ADA
Under pressure from a 4-hour descending trendline to the end.
It could technically be drawn as a converging triangle, but it looks quite ugly.
I think leverage should not be too high.
Entering above 1 is feasible for a swing trade or buying in spot.
Breaking through 1.2 is only a matter of time.

6.SOL
Weak like ALGO.
However, it can be expected to have a big wave like DOGE.
This is because both DOGE and SOL have been consolidating here for about 30 days.
If it breaks below 213, I believe it will return to support around 200.
If it holds, I will first watch if it can return to 222.

PS
On 12/19 at 3 AM, FOMC interest rate forecast #加密用户突破1800万 #比特币冲向11万？ #algo #ada未來 #BTC再创新高

1.BTC
Still unable to break through 10199 and fell back
Take a look at the POC at 99340, there should be buying volume to support here
If it holds, there is a chance to challenge 10199 again
If not, I will change the framework to see BTC as a consolidation in a large fluctuation between 94500 and 10199

2. ALGO
After being blocked and falling back, it perfectly retraced to 0.42
At the same time, this is an important POC position, if it holds here there is a chance to challenge 0.456 again

3.XRP
The bull flag channel is moving very beautifully
Even if it hasn’t broken through yet, there is no doubt from the trend that it is a strong coin
Currently it is retracing around 2.36 as mentioned yesterday
Additionally, 2.49 is mentioned as a very important position
This is a support and resistance exchange area
If it breaks through, it will see the blue resistance area
For those without positions wanting to try
I would suggest chasing after 2.49 breaks
Setting the stop loss just slightly below 2.49 is enough

4.DOGE
Unable to climb the rising trend line, but still maintaining strength
Fell back to around 0.398 as I mentioned
Since it climbed to 0.37 in early November, it has consolidated for a month until now
So we can expect a rise
If it starts to rise and breaks through the 0.45 weekly resistance
The next resistance I see is 0.56

5.ADA
As long as it is above 1, it shows bullish performance
If it doesn’t retrace too deeply, it indicates a lot of high-level buying
Once it breaks through and stabilizes at the 1.13-1.15 resistance, it will aim for POC 1.2
If it goes up, I will look at 1.5#美联储12月降息预期上升

6.SOL
The trend is not as strong as XRP and has touched the upper edge of the bull flag channel
But as previously mentioned, in the short term, I still see it at 246 then retracing to 236
The current support is approximately at 222
As long as it holds, I still see a bullish trend