The 4-year cycle theory itself, I believe is not fundamentally based on calendar months or dates ā itās driven by the recurring emotional patterns of market participants, from euphoria and panic to regret and eventually FOMO once again.
Losers are the happiest to say that other people's fortune is due to luck / chance / being fortunate, while winners hate being called lucky / fortunate / having good luck.
Do you think @Cristiano became like that just because of luck? He works hard, boss.