比特币三姐

Sister San didn't manage the Binance Square much before, and as a result, her explanation videos on other platforms were taken to the square by someone 😡 A big man, openly stealing, which is a bit embarrassing 😓 He took Sister San's videos as his own and even changed the voice 😢
Outrageous 🤧

今日主流幣走勢分析：

#Btc因為消息面的原因導致價格快速反抽，在伊朗和以色列宣佈挺火的同時價格開始加速反抽，截止目前價格站上105000上方，不過這波走的有點急，所以可能觸及壓力線後回調一波

其次消息面可能會出現幺蛾子，包括雖然戰爭暫時停火了，可能川普又要搞事情了，比如關稅等，這波收益最大的無疑是川普，那麼根據盤面來看，關注上方106400附近，也是壓力線位置，小級別有點次高點的意思，所以到這個位置出現收針我會考慮進場做空吃一波回調

行情瞬息萬變，具體以實際盤面為準，切記做好風控#BTC☀️

以色列和伊朗确认停火，美联储“嘴替”表示7月可能降息，幸福来的太突然😄

Bitcoin Falls Below $100,000, Is the Rebound an Illusion? My Judgments
1. Short-Term Trend: False Breakdown May Reoccur
Bitcoin briefly fell below $100,000 early in the morning but quickly rebounded, resembling this year's January 'false breakdown.' However, the current market sentiment and fundamentals are vastly different now, so we should cautiously view the rebound in the short term.
2. Medium to Long-Term Expectation: Mostly Bearish
The current macro environment is weakening, and the likelihood of breaking through the early year's high is low. The author remains mostly bearish in the long term while being optimistic about attempting short positions near $103,000; if it rebounds to $106,000, it will also be an opportunity to short.
3. Altcoins Weaker: Spot Prices Plummeting
Small coins are performing worse, with PEPE dropping to 0.08 and SUI nearly halving. It reminds investors that escaping high positions earlier was key; otherwise, leveraged users face significant losses.
4. Bottom Prediction: May Appear in July-August
Currently, it is still a downward consolidation period, and the true bottom requires time to be confirmed. It is advisable to rationally accumulate at the bottom and gradually allocate positions.

The current market situation of Bitcoin is
similar to the conditions before the parabolic run in 2020.

Praying for a new all-time high🚀

ETH price remains stable around $1,800, with short-term momentum starting to recover. Currently, the price is consolidating between $1,800 and $1,850. If it can stabilize effectively, it is expected to challenge the $2,000 level further, and even target the technical goal of $2,250. However, the medium-term trend remains bearish until it breaks through $2,104.

On-chain data shows a clear divergence in the behavior of large holders. On April 29, a whale address bought nearly 15,000 ETH in a short period, and then quickly sold some of its holdings, indicating that market sentiment is still fluctuating. However, from a longer-term perspective, the number of wallets holding between 1,000 and 10,000 ETH continues to rise, increasing from 5,432 on the 15th to 5,460, setting a new high since August 2023, reflecting that large holders are steadily accumulating.

At the same time, ETH is accelerating its outflow from exchanges. This is partly due to a large number of tokens flowing into long-term holding addresses, and partly due to the continuous inflow of funds into ETH spot ETFs. On May 1 alone, Fidelity's ETH ETF recorded a net inflow of $5.8 million. This not only reflects the bullish expectations of institutional funds but also quietly reduces the selling pressure in the market.

The Changelly platform expects ETH prices to fluctuate between $1,586 and $2,696 in May, with an average price expected around $2,140. Beyond the technical fundamentals, it is worth noting the upcoming Pectra upgrade for Ethereum on May 7. This upgrade will further optimize Layer 2 data processing efficiency, potentially reducing gas fees while increasing network throughput, providing more real value support for ETH.
In summary, although the current Ethereum price is at a relatively low level, the three factors of on-chain behavior, ETF inflows, and network upgrades are gradually constructing a mid-term upward structure. If it can break through key resistance in the short term, ETH may restart a new round of market trends. Whether to choose to lay out at this time depends on your confidence judgment regarding the technical and financial aspects.

If BTC breaks through the 98,000 USD mark this time, it will march towards 102,000. Currently, the BTC balance in exchange wallets continues to decrease; the amount of stablecoins continues to increase. If nothing unexpected happens, the charge upwards has likely been sounded! Please cherish the big pie below 190,000 USD!
From a technical perspective, the trend has also turned positive, with all moving averages now beneath our feet!
Just closed a position, now opening a new one! Let's get rich together in this bull market!

ETH is currently fluctuating around $1,800. Technical analysis shows that ETH is consolidating between $1,800 and $1,850, with short-term momentum turning positive, but the medium-term trend remains bearish until a breakout above $2,104. 
• Short-term forecast: If ETH can hold above $1,800, it may challenge the resistance level at $2,000, with a further target of $2,250.

From a technical perspective, SOL has been on a three-line multi-row for about ten days. Yesterday, it broke below the 5-day and 10-day lines, ultimately finding support at the quarterly line. Today, it has risen by 4.5%. If it can effectively stabilize above 146, it will advance to 154. It is showing an upward 📈 trend.
On the fundamental side, according to Cointelegraph, Bloomberg
Intelligence has raised the probability of Solana ETF being approved in 2025 to 90%. The approval probabilities for other altcoin ETFs, such as XRP and Dogecoin, have also been increased.
As of April 30, six asset management companies, including Grayscale, VanEck, and 21Shares, are waiting for the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to approve the Solana ETF. The ETFs for XRP and DOGE are also awaiting approval.
Since taking office in January, U.S. President Donald Trump has been working to ease the SEC's regulatory stance on cryptocurrencies. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange has listed Solana futures contracts, indicating that the approval of the Solana ETF may be imminent.
Therefore, SOL should have an exciting performance coming up!

BTC Outlook～

The balance of Bitcoin on exchanges continues to decline, indicating that investors are more inclined to transfer assets to self-custody wallets. This phenomenon is generally seen as a bullish signal, reflecting an increased willingness among investors to hold Bitcoin for the long term.

Additionally, the number of wallet addresses holding large amounts of Bitcoin has increased, showing heightened activity among large investors. These trends may drive prices up in a supply-constrained environment.

With strong on-chain data and institutional participation supporting it, Bitcoin's price could reach a range of $102,000 to $140,000 by mid-2025. Some optimistic forecasts even suggest that the price could break through $180,000, especially with the push of national-level adoption.

However, technical analysis also indicates that if Bitcoin's price falls below the critical support level of $92,000, a 'head and shoulders' pattern may form, leading to a price correction to the range of $80,000 to $70,000.

Let’s settle part of it first. Although ETH has broken through the oscillation area, it is still suppressed by the quarterly line above, so we still need to observe the direction.

The stock market performed well today, and the cryptocurrency market is expected to welcome a golden weekend.