熬鹰资本克隆
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Even the most difficult market has good strategies, doesn't it? Push: X Aggregation Community
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Reform and innovation for the first time, believe that Binance will get better and better, keep it up, brush for 16 points every day! #BinanceAlphaNew #BinanceWalletTGE
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#CPI数据来袭
Analysis of the Impact of US CPI Data on Bitcoin Price
Today is June 11, 2025, and the US is about to release May CPI data (previous value 2.3%, expected 2.5%). The following are predictions of Bitcoin trends under three scenarios:
Actual CPI lower than expected (e.g., 2.3%-2.4%)
• Short-term impact: High probability of triggering a rapid rise in Bitcoin. The market will interpret this as a signal of cooling inflation, strengthening bets on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, leading to a weaker dollar and increased attractiveness of risky assets.
◦ Technical aspects: If it breaks through the recent resistance level (such as $94,000), it may quickly impact the $100,000 mark; if the data is significantly lower than expected, it may reproduce the short-term rebound after the April 2025 CPI data (when BTC rose by 8%).
◦ Capital flow: Institutions may accelerate inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs (refer to the case of net inflows of over $5 million for 4 consecutive days after the April CPI release).
• Long-term logic: Continued cooling of inflation may consolidate BTC's safe-haven attribute as "digital gold", coupled with policy support such as the US "digital gold strategy", strengthening the long-term bullish trend.
Actual CPI meets expectations (2.5%)
• Short-term impact: The market has already digested expectations in advance, and there may be volatile market conditions. It is necessary to judge in conjunction with core CPI data:
◦ If core CPI is still higher than 3%: The Federal Reserve may maintain a hawkish stance, and Bitcoin may retest the lower edge of the $83,000-$94,000 volatile range.
◦ If core CPI falls simultaneously: Technical aspects may dominate the trend. If BTC stands firm at the $100,000 support level, it may continue to consolidate at a high level waiting for new catalysts (such as ETH technical upgrades and institutional holdings news).
• Market sentiment: On-chain data shows that BTC continues to flow out of exchanges (current balance of 2.177 million, a weekly decrease of 10,000), long-term holders lock up chips, and short-term selling pressure is limited.
Actual CPI higher than expected (e.g., 2.6%+)
• Short-term impact: Bitcoin is highly likely to be under pressure and fall. Rising inflation will strengthen the Federal Reserve's expectation of raising interest rates or delaying interest rate cuts, and a stronger dollar will suppress risky assets.
◦ Historical reference: After the unexpected 0.5% increase in the CPI in February 2025, Bitcoin fell by 3% in a short period of time, and panic caused a surge in long orders liquidation (similar to the current fragile structure of 67% long orders across the network).
◦ Key support: Need to pay attention to $83,000 (strong technical support in June 2025), if it falls below, it may trigger algorithmic trading sell-offs and further explore $75,000.
Analysis of the Impact of US CPI Data on Bitcoin Price
Today is June 11, 2025, and the US is about to release May CPI data (previous value 2.3%, expected 2.5%). The following are predictions of Bitcoin trends under three scenarios:
Actual CPI lower than expected (e.g., 2.3%-2.4%)
• Short-term impact: High probability of triggering a rapid rise in Bitcoin. The market will interpret this as a signal of cooling inflation, strengthening bets on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, leading to a weaker dollar and increased attractiveness of risky assets.
◦ Technical aspects: If it breaks through the recent resistance level (such as $94,000), it may quickly impact the $100,000 mark; if the data is significantly lower than expected, it may reproduce the short-term rebound after the April 2025 CPI data (when BTC rose by 8%).
◦ Capital flow: Institutions may accelerate inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs (refer to the case of net inflows of over $5 million for 4 consecutive days after the April CPI release).
• Long-term logic: Continued cooling of inflation may consolidate BTC's safe-haven attribute as "digital gold", coupled with policy support such as the US "digital gold strategy", strengthening the long-term bullish trend.
Actual CPI meets expectations (2.5%)
• Short-term impact: The market has already digested expectations in advance, and there may be volatile market conditions. It is necessary to judge in conjunction with core CPI data:
◦ If core CPI is still higher than 3%: The Federal Reserve may maintain a hawkish stance, and Bitcoin may retest the lower edge of the $83,000-$94,000 volatile range.
◦ If core CPI falls simultaneously: Technical aspects may dominate the trend. If BTC stands firm at the $100,000 support level, it may continue to consolidate at a high level waiting for new catalysts (such as ETH technical upgrades and institutional holdings news).
• Market sentiment: On-chain data shows that BTC continues to flow out of exchanges (current balance of 2.177 million, a weekly decrease of 10,000), long-term holders lock up chips, and short-term selling pressure is limited.
Actual CPI higher than expected (e.g., 2.6%+)
• Short-term impact: Bitcoin is highly likely to be under pressure and fall. Rising inflation will strengthen the Federal Reserve's expectation of raising interest rates or delaying interest rate cuts, and a stronger dollar will suppress risky assets.
◦ Historical reference: After the unexpected 0.5% increase in the CPI in February 2025, Bitcoin fell by 3% in a short period of time, and panic caused a surge in long orders liquidation (similar to the current fragile structure of 67% long orders across the network).
◦ Key support: Need to pay attention to $83,000 (strong technical support in June 2025), if it falls below, it may trigger algorithmic trading sell-offs and further explore $75,000.
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Why are so many people in the crypto space losing money? Because you don’t study and have a strong gambling mentality. Research the big players in the crypto space one by one; since you can’t achieve it yourself, just hold onto their legs tightly. Don't doubt, don't be overly concerned about gains and losses. #BTC #熬鹰资本
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