小欣论趋势

Diligent people will always have good luck!

Looking back at the market, Bitcoin didn't have much fluctuation overnight. The previous low was not broken, and there was a minor rebound at a smaller level. Currently, it is consolidating at the 4-hour level, so today we should pay attention to the top and bottom of the consolidation zone. If it goes up, watch the top of the consolidation zone at 948, and if it goes down, the bottom is at 935. If the top and bottom can't be broken, there will be wide fluctuations at a smaller level. The daily MACD for Bitcoin has already fallen below the 0 line, and the 3-day line is about to form a death cross. Many people are starting to look for a pullback, so pay attention to the bottom of the consolidation zone; if it breaks, a new wave of decline will begin. Those looking to short can choose other coins for a rebound short.
Today's market analysis
📌 Bitcoin's rebound today should focus on the 948 level. If it can't hold above this level, it may continue to retest. The key support below to watch is at 93445; if it doesn't break, it will still rebound. If it breaks, pay attention to the support levels around 92720-91620-90455! Today, only if it stabilizes above 94800 will the market continue to rise. The resistance levels above to watch are around 95666-96450-97300.
📌 The first support level provided by Auntie last night has broken, and it has now fallen back to the bottom of the consolidation zone. Today, pay attention to the 1813 level; only if it stabilizes above this level can the smaller level move upwards. Then watch the top of the consolidation zone at 1830; if it can't break through, it will retest. If it breaks, pay attention to the resistance levels around 1848-1872! If it cannot hold above 1813 at the 1-2 hour level today, then pay attention to the bottom of the consolidation zone at 1791; if it doesn't break, it will rebound, and if it breaks, then watch the levels around 1780-1762-1730.

Night Navigation Analysis
📌 Good evening, brothers. Bitcoin has not seen much of a rebound, and it finally reached 94,700 but couldn't go higher. The current small-level rebound has ended, and we will first look for support in the vicinity of 92,700 and 91,700. A pullback to this range can allow for a small long position, with a good stop loss in place. If it breaks 91,700, exit the position. The resistance for rebound remains at 95,000. If the daily line cannot break above 95,000, the market will look for a pullback. If it can reach this resistance area at night, we can also try a short position again. Only if the daily line stabilizes above 95,000 will the market turn bullish. For the short term, we can pay attention to the support and resistance areas within this range.
📌 During the day, Yitai reached just the right resistance position near 1,825. Unfortunately, Bitcoin lacked momentum and was also brought down. Currently, the small-level trend is a downward fluctuation. The small-level rebound resistance tonight will first look at 1,815. If this resistance can be broken, there is a chance to push up to the range of 1,830-1,850. If it cannot break above 1,815, the market will continue to look for lower target support at 1,780 and 1,750, with a stop loss at 1,730. Long positions can be monitored in the range of 1,750-1,730.

A major drop is coming
On May 8th, Powell is likely to make hawkish remarks!
Now the media is spreading that Powell is going to 'hawk', and the market is likely to start dropping early; it may begin to fall on Tuesday or Wednesday, and could drop the most on Thursday during the press conference.
Moreover, recently the U.S. employment data has been relatively stable, with the unemployment rate and non-farm data not showing major issues.
After the last speech, the U.S. stock market fell by 2%.
This time, Bitcoin could drop by $2000-3000, falling to around $93,000 - $94,000, with a limit of around $82,000 - $86,000.
Currently, it seems very likely that the Federal Reserve will announce an interest rate cut in September this year.
The probability of a rate cut in September is higher than in May and June.
Old Powell will not step down before September; gold will enter a volatility range from May to September.
Cutting rates too quickly may not be a good thing, so a rate cut does not equal a rise! Because cutting rates too quickly can cause inflation problems.
If you're interested, you can check out my previous posts.
Thoughts shared before Powell's speech on May 8th.
Around $94,700-$95,000; if it holds steady,
it won't drop further and will start to rebound, making it a good entry point for buying.
Wait until it rises above $97,000, then sell to short, operating back and forth in this range to capture the price difference during the volatile market.

Intraday Market Analysis
📌 Good afternoon, brothers. The May Day holiday is about to end, and a new week has begun. Today marks the beginning of a new weekly chart. Last week's overall trend did not show strong upward momentum; it first surged and then oscillated downward. Today, we have just broken through the daily support level, which means we cannot make a second attempt to break above 95,000 today. This upward movement on the daily level can be considered complete, and the market is likely to undergo a daily-level correction. The first support target for the pullback is 92,873-91,600. If these two positions are broken, we will see a second phase of decline, targeting around 870-880. For intraday trading, pay attention to the resistance in the 950-960 range; if there is a rebound in this range, consider short positions, with a stop loss at 963.
📌 Currently, Auntie (referring to a trading asset) has also just broken the daily level. Watch for rebound resistance above at 1807 and 1824. If a rebound occurs in this range, you can try short positions, with a stop loss: if the four-hour closing breaks 1824, exit manually. The support for the daily-level pullback is around 1735; if broken, we will look at a second phase of decline to 1665 and 1640. Of course, if the four-hour closing breaks 1824 today, there will still be a chance for the market to reverse and continue to push towards the resistance around 1870, with the market turning bullish again.

Brothers, focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision at 2 AM on May 8. There are basically two scenarios:
1: No rate cut in May, which the market has long anticipated, leading to a correction in Bitcoin.
2: A direct rate cut in May, causing Bitcoin to soar.
Currently, market institutions are frantically buying. Once Bitcoin surpasses 100,000, the 3 billion dollars from our compatriots will instantly disappear. This is a juicy target that the market manipulators are drooling over. The recent market trend is particularly evident; the daily highs become the lows after a few days. The K-line continues to rise slowly, and the trapped shorts are sinking deeper. I believe the market manipulators will not easily crash the market, allowing them to enjoy their gains.

Night Market Analysis:
📌 Pay attention to the position of 956 during the night for Bitcoin. Only if the 1-hour level stabilizes above this position can it start to rebound. The resistance levels above to watch are around 964-973-978. If the 1-hour level cannot stabilize above 956 at night, it indicates that the rebound lacks strength. Continue to monitor the previous low of 951, and if it breaks below, then look at the support levels around 950-937-928. If it breaks below 95, the daily level will start to adjust, and there will be opportunities for long positions at the next two support levels.
📌 After hitting the first support level during the day, Ethereum rebounded. Currently, it is consolidating sideways at the 4-hour level. Pay attention to the position of 1833 at night; only if the 4-hour level stabilizes above this position can this pullback be considered over, and the market will continue to approach the top of the consolidation range. The resistance levels above to watch are around 1848-1872-1903! If the 4-hour level cannot stabilize above 1833 at night, it indicates that it still cannot rise and will continue to consolidate at the bottom. If it declines, monitor the support levels around 1815-1792-1762!

The market has been declining steadily at a small level, and today there was no support from the bulls. The short-term situation has not stabilized, so for now, do not enter long positions or spot trading.
If the U.S. stock market experiences another pullback tomorrow, then perhaps a sharp drop is on the way.
There is no trend that only rises without falling, and there is also no market that only does not rise. However, this pullback will not be too deep. The Federal Reserve should confirm interest rate cuts in July.
Trump has also stirred things up enough; it's time to sit down and have a good talk with China.
You really think it can keep rising all the way through May? That's impossible. I think there might still be one more 10,000-point plunge, which would satisfy the larger trend.
They all say this large cycle is upward; BTC could reach 150,000. Well, maybe there really is such a possibility.

On May 4, President Trump stated that he does not expect a third presidential term. He also noted that small businesses in the United States will not need any exemptions.

Today's Market Analysis
📌 Bitcoin pay attention to the position of 96460 today. Only if the 4-hour level stabilizes above this position, will this wave of 4-hour level correction be considered over, and the market will continue to rise. The upper pressure levels to watch are around 97300-97865-98495! If today the 4-hour level cannot stand above 96460, it indicates that the market will continue to correct. First, observe the bottom of the sideways area at 958, and if it breaks down, then look at the positions around 95000-94110-92848!
📌 Ethereum rebounded after breaking the first support level last night. Today, pay attention to the position of 1835. Only if the 4-hour level stabilizes above this position will this wave of correction be considered over, and the market will continue to rise. The upper pressure levels to watch are around 1854-1872-1903! If today the 4-hour level cannot stand above 1835, it indicates that it still cannot rise, and will continue to consolidate at the bottom. If it falls, the lower support levels to watch are around 1815-1792-1762!

Another drop? Want to go short?
​I can only say that the technical analysis has already been drawn out and shared with you
​Whether you understand it or believe it is up to you.

Night Market Analysis：
📌 The major currency is currently undergoing a 4-hour pullback. Pay attention to the position of 965 during the night; only if it stands above this position on the 4-hour chart will this pullback be considered over, and the market will continue to rise. The resistance levels above to watch are around 973-978-984! If it cannot stand above 965 during the night on the 4-hour chart, it indicates that it still cannot rise, continuing to consolidate at the bottom. If it drops, the support levels to watch below are around 958-948-941!
📌 The altcoin is currently undergoing a 4-hour pullback. Pay attention to the position of 1835 during the night; only if it stands above this position on the 4-hour chart will this pullback be considered over, and the market will continue to rise. The resistance levels above to watch are around 1854-1872-1903! If it cannot stand above 1835 during the night on the 4-hour chart, it indicates that it still cannot rise, continuing to consolidate at the bottom. If it drops, the support levels to watch below are around 1815-1792-1762!

Night Market Analysis
📌Good evening, family. After a small retracement and consolidation in the afternoon, Bitcoin is continuing to climb tonight, currently reaching the weekly resistance near 885. The high-level resistance has been reached, so we will see if it can break through again. If it can break through, a move towards 910-930 is still possible. Note that this is a resistance level, which does not mean it will reach there immediately; it may not even reach it. In the short term, we still look at the pressures of 885, 895, and defending 905. These resistance levels can still be used to try to catch pullbacks. Manage your positions well, as I mentioned to everyone last week that 885 is an important support and resistance level. Currently, the market has just reached 885, and today is only Monday. The weekly level hasn’t stabilized yet, which means we can try short positions above the resistance levels this week. Until it stabilizes, there could be pullbacks at any time, so brothers, don’t blindly look for a bull market to start or anything like that. At the very least, we need to wait for this week to finish. Next Monday, if the weekly stabilizes at 885, then we can consider that the weekly level correction is complete and the weekly bullish trend has started. The small-level support for the night is at 875, 867, and 860. As long as the four-hour close does not break 860, this wave of upward movement is not considered over.
📌The aunt is still soft and fluffy. Continue to pay attention to the support levels below at 1620, defending 1607. As long as it doesn’t break the defensive support at 1607, the market can continue to look for a rebound. The rebound resistance above is at 1660 and 1690. If the four-hour close falls below the defensive support at 1607, we can abandon long positions and directly look at the support levels below at 1565, 1538, and 1505.

Intraday Market Analysis:
Brothers, good afternoon! A few days ago, I paid attention to the consolidation range of Bitcoin; it will continue to rise only after breaking the top. The top has now been broken, looking up to 885. If it doesn't break around 885, it will still retrace a bit. This is the top of the previous daily consolidation range. Currently, the entire market is basically following Bitcoin's rhythm for a wave. The smaller levels are starting to consolidate at the top. If you don't have a long position, wait for a pullback to the support level before entering. Don't chase it; where can you find something that only goes up without going down? There needs to be a pullback!
📌 Bitcoin's recent rise has just reached near the third resistance level, and now the 15-minute level is preparing to pull back. Today, pay attention to the lower support levels around 866-858-851! If it continues to rise, watch for the upper resistance levels around 876-885-898!
📌 Ethereum is really too weak. It just broke through the first resistance level, and now the smaller levels are starting to pull back. Today, pay attention to the 1610 position. As long as it pulls back without breaking this position, it will still go up after a pullback. The upper resistance levels to watch are around 1645-1661-1690. If it pulls back and breaks below the 1610 position today, then this wave of 4-hour level rebound will end. The lower support levels to watch are around 1585-1565-1538!

Today's Market Analysis:
Bitcoin made a small upward movement last night and then came back down. Today, pay attention to the 84800 position. As long as it doesn't drop below this level on the 4-hour chart, a small pullback will still lead to an upward trend. Keep an eye on the resistance levels around 85465-86100-87260-88500! If Bitcoin drops below 84800 today, the 4-hour chart will begin to correct, and support levels to watch are around 84320-83720-83000-81500!
Ethereum also made a small upward movement last night and then came back down. Today, pay attention to the 1600 position. As long as it doesn't drop below this level on the 4-hour chart, a small pullback will still lead to an upward trend. Keep an eye on the resistance levels around 1632-1661-1690! If Ethereum drops below 1600 today, the 4-hour chart will begin to correct, and support levels to watch are around 1582-1562-1538!

Night Market Analysis
Good evening, brothers. Currently, the four-hour support at 845 has broken, so let's watch the support area of 837-830. If we can test this range, we can consider opening long positions with a stop loss at 820. After all, the daily support at 820 is still in play, so if tomorrow's daily close dips below 820, we can exit manually.
For the altcoin, let's consider going long once the four-hour chart stabilizes at 1590. Until it stabilizes, the bulls are not strong, and we should first look for support around 1550. If that breaks, we should pay attention to the two levels around 1505 and 1470. Long positions are recommended to be monitored around these two levels, and if the four-hour chart stabilizes at 1590, the four-hour rebound strength will be stronger, with upward target pressures at 1610, 1660, and 1690.

Intraday Market Analysis
📌 There was a disruption in updates around the Tomb-Sweeping Day due to personal reasons, but it has now returned to normal. Please base your references on actual conditions. Strategies are time-sensitive, so do not follow blindly. If you can't grasp the situation, feel free to come and discuss together!
Market Review
Yesterday, Bitcoin maintained a consolidation phase with a healthy trend. Recent attention should be on the tariff process and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. The 4-hour level has consumed a lot of downward momentum, and there is potential for an increase today. Light follow-up is advisable. The long-term trend needs adjustment; we should wait for confidence to restore.
Ethereum followed Bitcoin's consolidation, and the trend is expected to return to health. Pay attention to Bitcoin's upward movement today, as Ethereum may rise in sync with Bitcoin. You can consider a small position to follow along, entering in batches, while large positions should be patiently awaited for stabilization.
Today's Operation Suggestions
Bitcoin's 1-hour and 4-hour levels have returned to healthy levels, but the daily line is below the 📎 healthy level. A slight increase is expected today, with support at 835-840 and resistance at 860-870.
📎 Ethereum's 1-hour and 4-hour levels have returned to healthy levels, but the daily line is below the healthy level. A slight increase is expected today, with support at 1530-1580 and resistance at 1670-1720.

The morning fourth road has been verified
​Ying Li will arrive shortly!

Monday Market Suggestion
After a surge, the price of the coin has returned to the evening's starting point, experiencing another roller coaster movement. After reaching the resistance at the 855 level, the price fell back. In the morning, there was another breakout, and it is currently hovering around 855. It goes up as it goes down. The pressure in the 855 area still exists.
Currently, in terms of rhythm, Bitcoin is in a sideways oscillation range, but the persistence is not strong. Up and down cross needles v-reverse, returning to the weak zone for operation, the overall trend shows a downward oscillation, slowly making new lows after repeated adjustments. The trend is downward, and the rhythm is oscillating downwards. Short-term operations should still be treated with a bearish outlook.
From a technical structure perspective, on the daily level, after competing in the middle track area, the price crashed through the lower track, forming a weak downward status in the running channel. The short-selling volume shows a solid arrangement, and the moving averages are consistently turning downward, clearly skewed towards bearish trends, forming an extremely weak state.
Personal trading suggestion for Bitcoin: Short around 85600, target at 84600-83600!
Personal trading suggestion for Ethereum: Short around 2000, target at 1950-1920!

Intraday Market Analysis
Good afternoon, brothers. Over the weekend, there was less than a thousand-point fluctuation. A lot of meaningless talk was said, but there has been no fluctuation at all. However, overall, the bullish pattern is still intact. The support level below is in the range of 835-830. As long as the price retraces and does not break below these two levels, the bullish pattern remains valid. If it retraces to these two levels, one can enter long positions with a light position size and set a stop-loss, with the initial target resistance at 848. At this level, one can reduce position size or exit. Only a breakthrough of this resistance will allow the market to continue to push towards 860.875.
Currently, Auntie has a rebound trend on the four-hour level, with support at 1980 below and defense at 1930. As long as the four-hour closing does not fall below 1980, the bullish pattern is still in place. The target resistance above is near 2070; if it breaks, we can look for around 2150. If the four-hour closing today falls below 1980, the market will test the final defense support at 1930. Tomorrow, the daily line needs to break this position for the rebound to be considered over. If it can retrace down before the daily line change at eight o'clock tomorrow morning, one can attempt to take long positions. If the daily line change breaks, exit manually.