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Canal del Trading

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Occasional Trader
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The mistake that costs you moneyLet's be honest. You're an experienced trader. You've seen markets rise, fall, you've won, you've lost. But how many times has an analyst's recommendation led you astray from your own plan? How many times have you entered a trade based more on the "authority" of another than on your own rigorous analysis? If you're here, you probably know something's off about that dynamic. Today we're not going to talk about basic technical analysis or miracle strategies. We're going to dissect why blindly following analysts, even the most reputable ones, is a dangerous trap for your capital and, above all, for your development as an independent trader. Forget pats on the back; this is about critical thinking and taking responsibility.

The mistake that costs you money

Let's be honest. You're an experienced trader. You've seen markets rise, fall, you've won, you've lost. But how many times has an analyst's recommendation led you astray from your own plan? How many times have you entered a trade based more on the "authority" of another than on your own rigorous analysis?
If you're here, you probably know something's off about that dynamic. Today we're not going to talk about basic technical analysis or miracle strategies. We're going to dissect why blindly following analysts, even the most reputable ones, is a dangerous trap for your capital and, above all, for your development as an independent trader. Forget pats on the back; this is about critical thinking and taking responsibility.
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As always, experience rules. Buffet has been in cash for a long time waiting for exactly this. Sniper mentality and a lesson for those looking for market timing. TIP: "Trade long-term and you will live much longer".
As always, experience rules. Buffet has been in cash for a long time waiting for exactly this.
Sniper mentality and a lesson for those looking for market timing.

TIP: "Trade long-term and you will live much longer".
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Bullish
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In the end, #Bitcoin has held up quite well against the Wall Street crash. The current price represents a good buying level for the crypto.
In the end, #Bitcoin has held up quite well against the Wall Street crash. The current price represents a good buying level for the crypto.
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I like pessimistic comments; they usually herald a change in trend.
I like pessimistic comments; they usually herald a change in trend.
Mr Perfect929
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Truth is here
You might not like what I’m about to say, but here’s the hard truth:

If you hold any cryptocurrency other than Bitcoin ($BTC)—whether it’s Ethereum, Solana, or any other altcoin—you’re setting yourself up for failure.

Here’s why:

There won’t be an altseason.

The project you’re passionately defending isn’t going anywhere.

You’ve already lost money.

The success of a cryptocurrency depends on decentralization—that’s what sets it apart from fiat-based projects. If you’re looking to invest in technology, the stock market is the place to be.

Any crypto project aiming for global success needs a CEO, corporate funding, and marketing—making it centralized. It’s a never-ending cycle, and the market has already caught on.

The golden era of making fortunes with altcoins is over. Sure, a handful may surge, but at that point, it’s no different from gambling. The altcoin market is turning into a betting game, and the sooner you accept that, the less money you’ll lose.

Meanwhile, influencers will keep promoting projects—not for your benefit, but to minimize their own losses.

Bitcoin ($BTC ) remains king.
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2 fundamental aspects to succeed in the marketsIt is clear which 2 aspects are paramount to succeed in financial markets: Capital: The greater the amount of money in the account, the better the availability to correctly manage the money while limiting risk to the maximum and with controlled leverage. The more capital you have, not only will you be able to cover a greater number of markets (and I'm not talking about diversification but about accessing those that require more money to open a position) but you will also be able to afford to fail without that capital being affected.

2 fundamental aspects to succeed in the markets

It is clear which 2 aspects are paramount to succeed in financial markets:

Capital:

The greater the amount of money in the account, the better the availability to correctly manage the money while limiting risk to the maximum and with controlled leverage.

The more capital you have, not only will you be able to cover a greater number of markets (and I'm not talking about diversification but about accessing those that require more money to open a position) but you will also be able to afford to fail without that capital being affected.
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The problem is whether you would be able to endure so many years without materializing the benefits.
The problem is whether you would be able to endure so many years without materializing the benefits.
Almitwally
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Bullish
If you invested $5,000, here's how long it would take to become $1 million:

- Bitcoin: 9 years
- Nvidia: 10 years
- Tesla: 14 years
- Netflix: 16 years
- Apple: 20 years
- Amazon: 20 years
- Starbucks: 32 years
- Microsoft: 33 years
- Costco: 35 years

Believing in something early can really pay off. Which one surprised you the most?

$ETH
yes, 70,000
yes, 70,000
Canal del Trading
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$BTC Stop is in 70,000$
So, why isn't BTC going up?
So, why isn't BTC going up?
Yardo77
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Over the last 30 days, whales have accumulated more than 65,000 BTC, indicating strong pressure from major network participants, according to analysts at CryptoQuant🐋
$BTC Stop is in 70,000$
$BTC Stop is in 70,000$
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Why is it often harmful to do Trailing Stop?When your trading strategy is based on cutting losses and letting profits run, and you do not seek for your operations to close after having set a target, you will have to face various situations, not technical ones, but mental ones so that the final balance of your operation grows as much as it needs to grow. What I have clear is that by trading with targets I have never managed at any moment to achieve the profits I have achieved by letting them run. That said, it is not easy to do. Let's see why:

Why is it often harmful to do Trailing Stop?

When your trading strategy is based on cutting losses and letting profits run, and you do not seek for your operations to close after having set a target, you will have to face various situations, not technical ones, but mental ones so that the final balance of your operation grows as much as it needs to grow.
What I have clear is that by trading with targets I have never managed at any moment to achieve the profits I have achieved by letting them run.
That said, it is not easy to do. Let's see why:
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It's useless to complain. While you complain, you are losing money.
It's useless to complain. While you complain, you are losing money.
Usain Boltz
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The one with 350 billion makes the market go down and up whenever he wants.
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Why is the successful trader a lone wolf?Much has been said about the need to isolate oneself to conquer the market. Rumors, gossip, predictions, etc. have caused a lot of harm to the accounts of many traders throughout the history of the markets. But more than isolating oneself from rumors, the successful trader goes further, isolating themselves from everything that does not relate to the markets. Why? Any topic that does not relate to the market will undoubtedly keep you away from it, both in occupation and thought, and the trader must spend most of the day thinking about their goal.

Why is the successful trader a lone wolf?

Much has been said about the need to isolate oneself to conquer the market. Rumors, gossip, predictions, etc. have caused a lot of harm to the accounts of many traders throughout the history of the markets.
But more than isolating oneself from rumors, the successful trader goes further, isolating themselves from everything that does not relate to the markets.
Why?
Any topic that does not relate to the market will undoubtedly keep you away from it, both in occupation and thought, and the trader must spend most of the day thinking about their goal.
See original
Warren Buffet currently has about 350 billion dollars in cash. Money that he has been accumulating for quite some time waiting for a major market correction that seems to be near, and as he says: "When the markets go down, it's like going to sales" But what I want to highlight is the following: 1°. The sell signal that he has been giving to all investors for a long time. 2°. How difficult it is, even for one of the best in the world, to follow the market timing, since even though he sensed that the market was going to drop, he did not know exactly when it would happen. But by acting this way, without wanting to take the last dollar from the market, along with great patience (markets are not for hyperactive people) is how large amounts of capital are amassed. People are in a hurry to get rich, and this bias works against them. Who knows if the longevity of W. Buffet and his partner Charlie Munger (who passed away at almost 100 years old) is due to that long-term vision they have... 😀
Warren Buffet currently has about 350 billion dollars in cash.

Money that he has been accumulating for quite some time waiting for a major market correction that seems to be near, and as he says: "When the markets go down, it's like going to sales"

But what I want to highlight is the following:

1°. The sell signal that he has been giving to all investors for a long time.

2°. How difficult it is, even for one of the best in the world, to follow the market timing, since even though he sensed that the market was going to drop, he did not know exactly when it would happen.

But by acting this way, without wanting to take the last dollar from the market, along with great patience (markets are not for hyperactive people) is how large amounts of capital are amassed.

People are in a hurry to get rich, and this bias works against them.

Who knows if the longevity of W. Buffet and his partner Charlie Munger (who passed away at almost 100 years old) is due to that long-term vision they have... 😀
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It should be noted that when there is uncertainty, as in these times, the market tends to decline because investors retreat and do not want to expose their money. It is when the situation is calm and there is confidence that money returns to the markets like snails to the sun after the ⛈️
It should be noted that when there is uncertainty, as in these times, the market tends to decline because investors retreat and do not want to expose their money.

It is when the situation is calm and there is confidence that money returns to the markets like snails to the sun after the ⛈️
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Bearish
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Notice how in recent weeks certain events have marked market sentiment, considering that sentiment is shaped by the collective of traders and investors participating in it. Trump, as a pro-crypto president, caused the market to rise almost vertically. Then it was not so significant and the supposed creation of a Bitcoin reserve disappointed investor expectations, leading to another decline. The tariffs are not bode well for future economic prospects, which means we need to drop again. And if that weren't enough, Trump announces that the US is going to go through a "small" depression. The declines deepen. And in the background, the resentment of seeing how the Chinese (DeepSeek) dealt a lethal blow to the 7 magnificent (the 7 largest tech companies) that in recent years have been driving the North American stock market upwards. Come on, we can be as optimistic as we want, but the great overbought situation affecting the North American stock market, due to the pernicious stock buybacks (the cause of the 1929 crash), and remember, with a high correlation to cryptocurrencies, and the enormous global debt, does not bode well.
Notice how in recent weeks certain events have marked market sentiment, considering that sentiment is shaped by the collective of traders and investors participating in it.

Trump, as a pro-crypto president, caused the market to rise almost vertically. Then it was not so significant and the supposed creation of a Bitcoin reserve disappointed investor expectations, leading to another decline.

The tariffs are not bode well for future economic prospects, which means we need to drop again.

And if that weren't enough, Trump announces that the US is going to go through a "small" depression. The declines deepen.

And in the background, the resentment of seeing how the Chinese (DeepSeek) dealt a lethal blow to the 7 magnificent (the 7 largest tech companies) that in recent years have been driving the North American stock market upwards.

Come on, we can be as optimistic as we want, but the great overbought situation affecting the North American stock market, due to the pernicious stock buybacks (the cause of the 1929 crash), and remember, with a high correlation to cryptocurrencies, and the enormous global debt, does not bode well.
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They say that money doesn't disappear, it simply moves from one market to another in search of profitability. But where is it and where could it be headed? Money is clearly in the stock market, in a market at historical highs surrounded by uncertainty and to which, as always, interest rate cuts favor. Moreover, the sharp drop in oil somewhat curbs inflation, so for now, there should be no fear of an interest rate hike in the short and medium term. It is said and confirmed that tariffs and the abandonment of globalization do increase inflation, but in the U.S., they are seen more as a threat to achieving goals than as a true desire to maintain them. There doesn't seem to be much problem then from this side. Money is also in gold and, paradoxically, this is indeed rare because it usually doesn't stay so strongly in two places at once. It shouldn't be long before changes are seen, either in the stock market or in gold. We have said where the money is, and we still need to say where it is leaving. It is clearly leaving fixed income (interest rates are falling) and oil (the market is flooded). Therefore, and although overbought, the stock market remains a priority, gold as a safe haven asset, and cryptocurrencies (at the pace set by their correlation with the stock market) as a long-term bet (buy and hold the most capitalized cryptocurrencies) since the future demands greater adoption of them. I could also talk about currencies, but they are very controlled by central governments and their movements are marked by changes in their policies. Strength of the Yen due to the rise in inflation in Japan. After that, not much more, in the medium term the Euro should appreciate against the Dollar. The most concerning and potentially destabilizing factor for the markets that could generate great opportunities: The massive existing global debt. This should be the scenario that investors should be most vigilant about right now.
They say that money doesn't disappear, it simply moves from one market to another in search of profitability.

But where is it and where could it be headed?

Money is clearly in the stock market, in a market at historical highs surrounded by uncertainty and to which, as always, interest rate cuts favor.

Moreover, the sharp drop in oil somewhat curbs inflation, so for now, there should be no fear of an interest rate hike in the short and medium term.

It is said and confirmed that tariffs and the abandonment of globalization do increase inflation, but in the U.S., they are seen more as a threat to achieving goals than as a true desire to maintain them.

There doesn't seem to be much problem then from this side.

Money is also in gold and, paradoxically, this is indeed rare because it usually doesn't stay so strongly in two places at once. It shouldn't be long before changes are seen, either in the stock market or in gold.

We have said where the money is, and we still need to say where it is leaving. It is clearly leaving fixed income (interest rates are falling) and oil (the market is flooded).

Therefore, and although overbought, the stock market remains a priority, gold as a safe haven asset, and cryptocurrencies (at the pace set by their correlation with the stock market) as a long-term bet (buy and hold the most capitalized cryptocurrencies) since the future demands greater adoption of them.

I could also talk about currencies, but they are very controlled by central governments and their movements are marked by changes in their policies. Strength of the Yen due to the rise in inflation in Japan. After that, not much more, in the medium term the Euro should appreciate against the Dollar.

The most concerning and potentially destabilizing factor for the markets that could generate great opportunities: The massive existing global debt. This should be the scenario that investors should be most vigilant about right now.
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Advantages of Living from TradingWaking up at whatever time you wish or when you hear the dog stretching. Starting work today at 10, tomorrow at 11:30, the day after at 8:00, and the following day from 5:00 PM to 8:00 PM. Flexible schedule. Taking a break at any moment to stretch your muscles and take a stroll to the fridge to see what's there.Not hearing the voice of the tyrant boss or being on alert for where they might appear.Having breakfast, lunch, and dinner with your family.Going down to the school for a moment to see what the little one is doing in the yard.

Advantages of Living from Trading

Waking up at whatever time you wish or when you hear the dog stretching.

Starting work today at 10, tomorrow at 11:30, the day after at 8:00, and the following day from 5:00 PM to 8:00 PM. Flexible schedule.
Taking a break at any moment to stretch your muscles and take a stroll to the fridge to see what's there.Not hearing the voice of the tyrant boss or being on alert for where they might appear.Having breakfast, lunch, and dinner with your family.Going down to the school for a moment to see what the little one is doing in the yard.
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Diversification in trading makes no senseWhat do you achieve by diversifying? Answer to the question: nothing, when you exceed 5 or 6 assets. Clarifying: it depends on what you want to achieve, but here we are talking about making money with trading. If you want to diversify, you are not a trader, you are an investor. If you want to diversify, it is better to buy shares in an equity fund that replicates the Index. The result will be the same or better, and you will save on commissions. But if you are a trader and really want to make money, once you have confirmed that you put a stop-loss on each of your trades without skipping it, then diversification makes no sense for you.

Diversification in trading makes no sense

What do you achieve by diversifying?
Answer to the question: nothing, when you exceed 5 or 6 assets.
Clarifying: it depends on what you want to achieve, but here we are talking about making money with trading.
If you want to diversify, you are not a trader, you are an investor.
If you want to diversify, it is better to buy shares in an equity fund that replicates the Index. The result will be the same or better, and you will save on commissions.
But if you are a trader and really want to make money, once you have confirmed that you put a stop-loss on each of your trades without skipping it, then diversification makes no sense for you.
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Impressive display of resistance by #Bitcoin on the weekly chart. You can see how the threatening double top bearish pattern is resolved with the retraction of 2 large shadows on the last 2 candles. This is a sign of great bullish strength that keeps its price within the drawn support and resistance zones. The truth is that the price has gone to seek the first Fibonacci support located around 75,000, and without touching it, it has rebounded strongly.
Impressive display of resistance by #Bitcoin on the weekly chart.

You can see how the threatening double top bearish pattern is resolved with the retraction of 2 large shadows on the last 2 candles.

This is a sign of great bullish strength that keeps its price within the drawn support and resistance zones.

The truth is that the price has gone to seek the first Fibonacci support located around 75,000, and without touching it, it has rebounded strongly.
See original
I was starting to doubt the market. Yesterday's increases were not normal for some simple statements without any confirmation. Many people trapped at the day's highs. Many traders who took advantage of the increases to close positions at a loss. The cryptocurrency market is no longer the same. At first, the chart was empty, but now it is increasingly filled with supports and resistances that will help temper the large volatilities of this market. Be very careful with FOMO because while it is true that you do not lose as long as you do not sell, it may take you many months, even years, to recover your investment, or you may run out of liquidity to continue trading. #fomo
I was starting to doubt the market. Yesterday's increases were not normal for some simple statements without any confirmation.

Many people trapped at the day's highs. Many traders who took advantage of the increases to close positions at a loss.

The cryptocurrency market is no longer the same. At first, the chart was empty, but now it is increasingly filled with supports and resistances that will help temper the large volatilities of this market.

Be very careful with FOMO because while it is true that you do not lose as long as you do not sell, it may take you many months, even years, to recover your investment, or you may run out of liquidity to continue trading.

#fomo
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