加密战略-老k

Flight $BTC Departure #BTC重返12万

BTC Sunday Market Analysis
1. Hourly Level Range Convergence, Directional Choice Imminent Key Points: The current 1-hour candlestick range has contracted to 290 points (about 30% less than the previous day), and the technical pattern is showing a triangle consolidation at its end, requiring close attention to directional breakout signals.

Operational Advice: After a breakout, follow the trend based on the direction; maintain a wait-and-see approach before a breakout to avoid chasing highs and cutting losses.

2. Four-hour Support System Analysis Support Level Types and Specific Point Effectiveness Explanation Buffer Support 107,200 rebounded after testing yesterday, which provides short-term buffering effect. Bottom Support 107,100 is the lower boundary of the four-hour range; breaking this will open up downward space. Strong Support Threshold 106,200 is the dividing line between bulls and bears; losing this could trigger a trend decline.

3. Key Thresholds for Bullish and Bearish Breakouts Upward Resistance Level: 108,400 (hourly level downtrend line resistance point) Breakout Condition: Closing price stays above 108,400 with trading volume increasing by more than 1.5 times compared to the previous period, confirming a reversal of the four-hour downtrend. Downward Support Level: 106,200 (round number + previous low resonance) Breakout Risk: If effectively breaking below 106,200, the next bearish target will point to 104,500.

4. Liquidity Risk Warning Core Logic: Market liquidity usually decreases by 30%-50% on Sundays, and the following phenomena should be noted: Large single orders causing price flash crashes / surges (historical data shows that volatility increases by 40% during low liquidity periods); order slippage expands (it is recommended to use conditional orders rather than market orders).

5. Tonight's Market Driving Predictions News Driven: Pay attention to the 20:00 US Non-Farm Employment Data Preview Report (expected value + 225,000); if the data exceeds expectations, it may strengthen the US dollar index, necessitating caution against passive selling of BTC. Technical Driven: If the 1-hour closing price breaks above 108,400 for two consecutive candlesticks or falls below 106,200, it can be regarded as a trend establishment signal.

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Following yesterday's profitable short position
#美国加征关税

Follow the meat-eating brothers and like the comment section 👍#BTC重返11万

Brothers continue today's strategy to short on the rise
#币安Alpha上新

Morning Profit Short Position

#美股代币化

Today, short at highs. Limited upside potential, unlimited downside potential.
#美股代币化

$BTC

The big pie has made a V-shaped return, and the recent market cannot have too much structure; once there is a structure, profits will be missed. However, the rebound has provided an opportunity to short.

Above is the area of concentrated positions + trend line resistance. The intraday rebound is without volume, and it is crucial not to chase the rise, but to wait for the exhaustion of momentum and continue to short from a high position.

#特朗普马斯克分歧

106.5 broke down directly to 105.1. Currently, the bulls have intervened, and prices are starting to rise, but we can't expect it to go too high. For this wave, first look at 107-107.5. Up to here, we will only pay attention to pullbacks. The probability is high for up and down spikes. The lower target is 104.5.

#加密市场回调

Today BCH short position take profit
#Strategy增持比特币

The structure of Ethereum is actually clearer than Bitcoin. It has repeatedly faced pressure from high-level consolidation areas, with too many trapped positions above. The ideal scenario is for it to continue to decline here, which would create a structure of false breakout -> true breakout -> failed retracement.

The fundamentals of Ethereum still lack any narrative; whether for hedging or risk attributes, Bitcoin takes priority. This round of market action, led by institutions, is a local bull market for Bitcoin, where altcoins can only hold on for a while, with weakness being the norm.

The strategy for Ethereum is consistent with Bitcoin, primarily focusing on short positions, unless Bitcoin continues its bullish trend, in which case we would consider abandoning the short strategy.

#Strategy增持比特币

6.30 Evening BTC, ETH Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions

Market Analysis
From a daily perspective, the upward trend is still stable. Although there has been a short-term pullback, it hasn't formed a sustained decline, and the overall 'momentum of the rise' hasn't changed. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the price is fluctuating at a high level, and neither side can maintain an advantage to push the market continuously. However, after the price dropped to a low in the morning, it began to rebound, and this rebound momentum is still continuing. Therefore, in the short term, the focus is on how strong the rebound is; tonight's trading should be 'buy low and go long'.

Trading Suggestions
BTC: Go long around 107300, initially targeting 108800. If it breaks through, then look towards 109800.
ETH: Go long near 2450, initially targeting 2550, and if it breaks through, look towards 2600.
#币安Alpha上新
#币安Alpha上新

BTC is finally no longer lying flat and has started to surge upwards. The timing is pretty much what we guessed before (you'll understand if you look at what was written last week at around 0:50 today). However, there's a difference this time; the price increase is not due to technical reasons but rather driven by an 'unexpected event'.
Now the position at 108900 is quite interesting. Although the price has broken through, it hasn't continued to test that number. Let's see if tonight, after the US stock market opens, it can take the price to try and break through this level!

#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC

A chance to buy the dip on the large pancake. Brothers, if you miss it, just watch others profit
#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC

Currently, Bitcoin oscillated in the range of 1075-1085 yesterday. If it can stabilize at 109, it is expected to break the new high.

#币安Alpha上新

Pancake breaks 108 Next, look at the 11M resistance level

#币安Alpha上新

"TRM Cryptocurrency Crime Report": In the first half of 2025, cryptocurrency theft cases are frequent, with 2.1 billion dollars stolen, surpassing the 2022 record

#币安Alpha上新

Pancake longs and shorts are hunting The resistance level is still at 108 Currently, there are more short positions Focus on the next movement after breaking the 108 resistance

#币安Alpha上新

The pancake is oscillating in the range of 1063-1078 as expected. This afternoon, I will share a short position near 1075. Although both long and short positions are currently in a contest phase, I still personally remain optimistic about the short position.

#币安Alpha上新