憨憨的领航员
公众号：加密策略工坊
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As long as you keep compounding, even if it's just ten dollars, it will eventually turn into twenty million!
Many people in the crypto world spend their lives not understanding this; shall we do the math?
You invest 1 million, rise by 100%, it becomes 2 million, but then drops by 50%, returning to square one.
You invest 1 million, drop by 50%, it becomes 500,000, then rises by 50%, becoming 750,000, mysteriously losing 250,000.
Forget these two examples; they illustrate that controlling drawdowns in trading cryptocurrencies is always the top priority.
In the practical world of cryptocurrency trading, there are indeed people who can achieve doubling profits in a very short time. However, if we extend the timeline, once faced with a 50% drawdown, previous efforts are almost rendered futile. Therefore, pursuing short-term high profits is by no means a wise move; only long-term stable returns are the way to survive.
You invest 1 million, rise by 100%, it becomes 2 million, but then drops by 50%, returning to square one.
You invest 1 million, drop by 50%, it becomes 500,000, then rises by 50%, becoming 750,000, mysteriously losing 250,000.
Forget these two examples; they illustrate that controlling drawdowns in trading cryptocurrencies is always the top priority.
In the practical world of cryptocurrency trading, there are indeed people who can achieve doubling profits in a very short time. However, if we extend the timeline, once faced with a 50% drawdown, previous efforts are almost rendered futile. Therefore, pursuing short-term high profits is by no means a wise move; only long-term stable returns are the way to survive.
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The Wild West of the Cryptocurrency Market
Mikami Yua was born on August 16, 1993, in Nagoya, Aichi Prefecture, Japan. Her entertainment career began in an idol group. In 2009, she joined SKE48 under the stage name Kito Momona, officially stepping into the entertainment industry. During her time in SKE48, she experienced ups and downs, being demoted to a trainee due to a scandal involving secret meetings with fans, but she later successfully regained her status.
In 2013, she won first place in a photo princess selection contest and appeared on the covers of Playboy Weekly and Young Jump. In 2014, she graduated from SKE48, and the following year she changed her name to 'Mikami Yua' and officially entered the AV industry. Since then, she quickly rose to fame in the adult film industry, joining Ebisu Muscats in 2016, where she won the DMM Adult Award for Best New Actress, and in 2017, she won the DMM Adult Award for Best Actress.
In 2013, she won first place in a photo princess selection contest and appeared on the covers of Playboy Weekly and Young Jump. In 2014, she graduated from SKE48, and the following year she changed her name to 'Mikami Yua' and officially entered the AV industry. Since then, she quickly rose to fame in the adult film industry, joining Ebisu Muscats in 2016, where she won the DMM Adult Award for Best New Actress, and in 2017, she won the DMM Adult Award for Best Actress.
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4.30 Pancake Market Analysis
Recently, prices have fluctuated around EMA(144), EMA(169), and EMA(200), with the overall trend in a consolidation state and no clear direction. Prices oscillate repeatedly between 92 and 96, and the MACD and RSI indicators show a balanced market strength, indicating a consolidation behavior.
In the short term, the market is in a consolidation state, and the appearance of top and bottom formations may lead to a short-term reversal. Key resistance and support levels are relatively close, and the market may continue to oscillate, waiting for other factors to drive a breakout. Recommendation: Due to the current unclear trend, it is advised to remain on the sidelines; the key support at 93518.3 and resistance at 95443.9 act as a watershed, looking for a breakout trend. If prices break upwards through the resistance level, consider a small position entry; if they fall below the support level, be cautious about reducing positions to prevent risks. Observe subsequent changes in trading volume and indicators to further confirm the trend direction.
#币安Alpha上新
Recently, prices have fluctuated around EMA(144), EMA(169), and EMA(200), with the overall trend in a consolidation state and no clear direction. Prices oscillate repeatedly between 92 and 96, and the MACD and RSI indicators show a balanced market strength, indicating a consolidation behavior.
In the short term, the market is in a consolidation state, and the appearance of top and bottom formations may lead to a short-term reversal. Key resistance and support levels are relatively close, and the market may continue to oscillate, waiting for other factors to drive a breakout. Recommendation: Due to the current unclear trend, it is advised to remain on the sidelines; the key support at 93518.3 and resistance at 95443.9 act as a watershed, looking for a breakout trend. If prices break upwards through the resistance level, consider a small position entry; if they fall below the support level, be cautious about reducing positions to prevent risks. Observe subsequent changes in trading volume and indicators to further confirm the trend direction.
#币安Alpha上新
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Goddess of Enlightenment, Teacher San Shang issues currency.
Why only export and not sell domestically?
Does this mean Japanese people don't exploit other Japanese people?😂
#Strategy增持比特币
Why only export and not sell domestically?
Does this mean Japanese people don't exploit other Japanese people?😂
#Strategy增持比特币
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Those who have coins should think carefully, especially about altcoins in the secondary market.
There is a high probability that the U.S. will face a black swan in the second half of the year, and only then will large-scale monetary easing begin.
This time, the easing will definitely be of a massive scale, as a small amount won't save the Westerners.
In my view, May-June is just the last opportunity to escape the peak.
#Strategy增持比特币
There is a high probability that the U.S. will face a black swan in the second half of the year, and only then will large-scale monetary easing begin.
This time, the easing will definitely be of a massive scale, as a small amount won't save the Westerners.
In my view, May-June is just the last opportunity to escape the peak.
#Strategy增持比特币
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Trump's First 100 Days in Office: The Crypto Market Has Already Vaporized $537 Billion in Market Value——
#加密市场反弹
#加密市场反弹
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Analysis of the Big Pancake Market on April 29
On the global financial market chessboard, on April 29, traditional financial markets presented a complex situation. European and American stock markets showed mixed results the previous day, with the German DAX index slightly up by 0.13%, the NASDAQ down by 0.10%, the Dow Jones up by 0.28%, and the NASDAQ Golden Dragon Index up by 0.68%. Meanwhile, crude oil prices fell by 2.03%, gold rose by 0.74%, and copper prices remained basically flat, only slightly down by 0.01%. The dollar index slipped by 0.46%, and the offshore price of the dollar against the yuan also fell by 0.05%. In the A-share market, major indexes were weak and fluctuated downwards yesterday, with transaction amounts shrinking, significant outflows of northbound funds and main funds, and over 70% of individual stocks declining, resulting in a notable loss effect.
Such a macro environment has a subtle influence on the cryptocurrency market. The volatility of traditional financial markets can alter investors' risk preferences. When the stock market performs poorly, some funds may flow into the cryptocurrency market in search of new investment opportunities, and vice versa. For example, if the stock market continues to be sluggish, investors may withdraw some funds from the stock market and invest in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, hoping for higher returns, thereby providing support for Bitcoin prices.
Recently, Bitcoin prices have been trapped in a fluctuation range, approximately between 92935.08 and 95674.04. From a short-term perspective, the market is in a typical consolidation phase. During this phase, the forces of bulls and bears are relatively balanced, and a clear one-sided trend has yet to form. Prices fluctuate frequently within this range, reflecting significant divergence among market participants regarding the future trend of Bitcoin, with both bulls and bears waiting for clearer signals to launch their offensive.
On the global financial market chessboard, on April 29, traditional financial markets presented a complex situation. European and American stock markets showed mixed results the previous day, with the German DAX index slightly up by 0.13%, the NASDAQ down by 0.10%, the Dow Jones up by 0.28%, and the NASDAQ Golden Dragon Index up by 0.68%. Meanwhile, crude oil prices fell by 2.03%, gold rose by 0.74%, and copper prices remained basically flat, only slightly down by 0.01%. The dollar index slipped by 0.46%, and the offshore price of the dollar against the yuan also fell by 0.05%. In the A-share market, major indexes were weak and fluctuated downwards yesterday, with transaction amounts shrinking, significant outflows of northbound funds and main funds, and over 70% of individual stocks declining, resulting in a notable loss effect.
Such a macro environment has a subtle influence on the cryptocurrency market. The volatility of traditional financial markets can alter investors' risk preferences. When the stock market performs poorly, some funds may flow into the cryptocurrency market in search of new investment opportunities, and vice versa. For example, if the stock market continues to be sluggish, investors may withdraw some funds from the stock market and invest in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, hoping for higher returns, thereby providing support for Bitcoin prices.
Recently, Bitcoin prices have been trapped in a fluctuation range, approximately between 92935.08 and 95674.04. From a short-term perspective, the market is in a typical consolidation phase. During this phase, the forces of bulls and bears are relatively balanced, and a clear one-sided trend has yet to form. Prices fluctuate frequently within this range, reflecting significant divergence among market participants regarding the future trend of Bitcoin, with both bulls and bears waiting for clearer signals to launch their offensive.
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The Ups and Downs of the Crypto Industry and My Personal Insights
Looking back from 2019 to 2024, the crypto industry resembles a grand epic full of suspense, experiencing astonishing rapid development in just a few years.
From foundational public chains like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) to rising stars in the storage sector like Filecoin (FIL) and Chia; from the hot buzz of Swarm (BZZ) to the successive rise of emerging concepts like NFT, Gamefi, and the Metaverse, followed by the inscription craze and the Aleo project of 2023, every year brings forth new concepts, technologies, and projects that emerge like mushrooms after rain.
However, these new phenomena are often like dazzling fireworks; they shine brilliantly when they burst, but leave a mess behind once extinguished. After the market's heat fades, chaos often ensues. My connection with the crypto industry was established as early as 2017 when I first encountered Bitcoin and was attracted to this decentralized digital world. By 2019, I formally delved into this field filled with opportunities and challenges.
From foundational public chains like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) to rising stars in the storage sector like Filecoin (FIL) and Chia; from the hot buzz of Swarm (BZZ) to the successive rise of emerging concepts like NFT, Gamefi, and the Metaverse, followed by the inscription craze and the Aleo project of 2023, every year brings forth new concepts, technologies, and projects that emerge like mushrooms after rain.
However, these new phenomena are often like dazzling fireworks; they shine brilliantly when they burst, but leave a mess behind once extinguished. After the market's heat fades, chaos often ensues. My connection with the crypto industry was established as early as 2017 when I first encountered Bitcoin and was attracted to this decentralized digital world. By 2019, I formally delved into this field filled with opportunities and challenges.
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How to Determine the Starting Point of a Bull Market
The starting point of a bull market is often difficult to predict accurately due to the complex interplay of macroeconomic factors, market sentiment, and capital flow. In the cryptocurrency market, especially in the field of digital currencies represented by Bitcoin, determining the starting point of a bull market is particularly challenging. However, we can still enhance our ability to anticipate the starting point of a bull market through the following key elements.
1. Macroeconomic and Policy Environment
1. Macroeconomic Situation
The global economic recovery trend is an important basis for determining a bull market. When global GDP growth rebounds, unemployment rates decline, corporate profits increase, and consumption and investment markets are active, a positive real economy will drive capital inflows into financial markets.
1. Macroeconomic and Policy Environment
1. Macroeconomic Situation
The global economic recovery trend is an important basis for determining a bull market. When global GDP growth rebounds, unemployment rates decline, corporate profits increase, and consumption and investment markets are active, a positive real economy will drive capital inflows into financial markets.
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Countdown! Pantera heavily invested 28.5 million in the Mezo mainnet, catch this last train to wealth with Bitcoin L2
#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
In 2025, competition in the Bitcoin ecosystem will shift towards innovation in economic models. Mezo stands out with its 'Bitcoin Economic Layer' design, securing $28.5 million in funding and being regarded by top institutions as a 'nuclear-level Bitcoin L2 project'.
Mezo directly addresses pain points in the Bitcoin ecosystem: it pioneers the 'Bitcoin Economic Layer', allowing holders to stake BTC and earn profits through the Proof of HODL mechanism; as the first EVM-compatible Bitcoin L2, it supports the migration of Ethereum dApps; its Gas fees are paid in BTC and burned, creating a deflationary mechanism.
Its dual-spiral economic model is highly attractive: HODL points support BTC staking for points, with longer lock-up periods yielding higher bonuses, and points can be exchanged for MEZO tokens; MEZO tokens have governance, secure staking, and Gas subsidy functions, binding ecological value.
Market expectations for Mezo are high, with four major catalysts: liquidity overflow after Bitcoin halving brings asset demand; EVM compatibility promotes ecosystem migration, with testnet TVL reaching $750 million; institutional cooperation expands; deflationary models create scarcity premiums.
However, the project also harbors risks: there is a risk of staking runs, technical implementation falling short of expectations, and regulatory recognition as unregistered securities.
For investors, attention can be paid to indicators such as staking unlock rates, developer growth rates, and BTC burn data to assess project potential.
The launch of the Mezo mainnet is a significant transformation in the Bitcoin ecosystem, and its long-term value depends on whether it can become the 'settlement layer' of the Bitcoin ecosystem.
#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
In 2025, competition in the Bitcoin ecosystem will shift towards innovation in economic models. Mezo stands out with its 'Bitcoin Economic Layer' design, securing $28.5 million in funding and being regarded by top institutions as a 'nuclear-level Bitcoin L2 project'.
Mezo directly addresses pain points in the Bitcoin ecosystem: it pioneers the 'Bitcoin Economic Layer', allowing holders to stake BTC and earn profits through the Proof of HODL mechanism; as the first EVM-compatible Bitcoin L2, it supports the migration of Ethereum dApps; its Gas fees are paid in BTC and burned, creating a deflationary mechanism.
Its dual-spiral economic model is highly attractive: HODL points support BTC staking for points, with longer lock-up periods yielding higher bonuses, and points can be exchanged for MEZO tokens; MEZO tokens have governance, secure staking, and Gas subsidy functions, binding ecological value.
Market expectations for Mezo are high, with four major catalysts: liquidity overflow after Bitcoin halving brings asset demand; EVM compatibility promotes ecosystem migration, with testnet TVL reaching $750 million; institutional cooperation expands; deflationary models create scarcity premiums.
However, the project also harbors risks: there is a risk of staking runs, technical implementation falling short of expectations, and regulatory recognition as unregistered securities.
For investors, attention can be paid to indicators such as staking unlock rates, developer growth rates, and BTC burn data to assess project potential.
The launch of the Mezo mainnet is a significant transformation in the Bitcoin ecosystem, and its long-term value depends on whether it can become the 'settlement layer' of the Bitcoin ecosystem.
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4.28 Bitcoin Market Analysis
Recent price trend analysis and trading strategy
Recently, the overall market prices have shown a fluctuating downward trend, but prices have consistently maintained above the EMA moving average system, indicating that the current market is still in a bullish pattern, although there is significant pullback pressure. The MACD indicator has released signals of weakening bearish strength, while the death cross formation suggests a risk of trend reversal in the market, with evident characteristics of long and short battles. From a short-term perspective, the market is likely to continue its fluctuating adjustment trend, with downward risks still present. The MACD indicator has formed a death cross, and the emergence of bearish K-line patterns during this period further exacerbates price pullback pressure. Based on the current market environment, the following operational suggestions are given: holders may moderately reduce their positions to lock in profits; short-term traders should pay close attention to the performance of the EMA support line area. If prices gain effective support in this area and start to rebound, they may attempt to go long in the short term; if prices break below the support level, caution should be exercised regarding increased downward risks. Additionally, the breakthrough of the resistance level at 95758.04 can serve as an important basis for judging the strength of the short-term market.
Recently, the overall market prices have shown a fluctuating downward trend, but prices have consistently maintained above the EMA moving average system, indicating that the current market is still in a bullish pattern, although there is significant pullback pressure. The MACD indicator has released signals of weakening bearish strength, while the death cross formation suggests a risk of trend reversal in the market, with evident characteristics of long and short battles. From a short-term perspective, the market is likely to continue its fluctuating adjustment trend, with downward risks still present. The MACD indicator has formed a death cross, and the emergence of bearish K-line patterns during this period further exacerbates price pullback pressure. Based on the current market environment, the following operational suggestions are given: holders may moderately reduce their positions to lock in profits; short-term traders should pay close attention to the performance of the EMA support line area. If prices gain effective support in this area and start to rebound, they may attempt to go long in the short term; if prices break below the support level, caution should be exercised regarding increased downward risks. Additionally, the breakthrough of the resistance level at 95758.04 can serve as an important basis for judging the strength of the short-term market.
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BlackRock Group has once again purchased $240 million worth of Bitcoin.
100,000 BTC is just a matter of time.
#加密货币总市值重回3万亿
100,000 BTC is just a matter of time.
#加密货币总市值重回3万亿
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TRUMP Coin Team Denies $300,000 Dinner Rumor
Justin Sun surpassed competitors with $14 million worth of TRUMP tokens, as meme coin holders focused on Trump's exclusive dinner.
Rumors suggest that participants need to hold at least $300,000 worth of TRUMP tokens to qualify for the 'Dinner with President Trump' event. Subsequently, the team behind the TRUMP meme coin quickly clarified misunderstandings about the event.
Meanwhile, Tron founder Justin Sun has become the undisputed leader, amassing $14 million worth of meme coins, surpassing other competitors in this high-stakes competition for a chance to meet Donald Trump.
Rumors suggest that participants need to hold at least $300,000 worth of TRUMP tokens to qualify for the 'Dinner with President Trump' event. Subsequently, the team behind the TRUMP meme coin quickly clarified misunderstandings about the event.
Meanwhile, Tron founder Justin Sun has become the undisputed leader, amassing $14 million worth of meme coins, surpassing other competitors in this high-stakes competition for a chance to meet Donald Trump.
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4.26 Pancake Market Analysis
Recently, prices have oscillated and adjusted, with previous upward trends stagnating. Prices are above EMA(144), EMA(169), and EMA(200), but short-term moving averages show a bullish arrangement and signs of convergence. The MACD indicator shows weakening upward momentum.
In the short term, prices may continue to fluctuate between the key resistance level of 95758.04 and the potential support level of 93995.50. Due to the emergence of a 'bearish engulfing' pattern, a top formation, and a flat top pattern, there is a risk of downward movement in the short term.
Suggestions: The current market is in a stage of oscillation and adjustment. It is recommended that investors remain cautious and monitor whether the resistance level of 95758.04 can be broken. If it cannot break through, short-term selling may be considered. If prices continue to find support near the support level, one may remain on the sidelines and wait for further trend confirmation before taking action. Close attention should be paid to changes in the MACD indicator for updates on market trends.
K-line Patterns: Important patterns include 'bearish engulfing' and 'top formation,' indicating potential signs of market adjustment; pay attention to the subsequent price changes.
EMA: Current prices are above EMA(144), EMA(169), and EMA(200), indicating that the market remains strong, and the bullish arrangement of short-term moving averages suggests sustained upward momentum.
MACD: The DIF and DEA lines are close to horizontal, and the decreasing red histogram indicates that market buying momentum is weakening, while sideways consolidation reflects confirmation of demand at high levels.
Potential Buy and Sell Points
Buy Point: 93995.5 USDT (close to the potential support level, may form short-term support, rebound opportunities may arise near the EMA moving averages)
Long Stop Loss Point: 93000 USDT (breaking below the recent key support area indicates strengthening bearish pressure, and the trend may reverse)
Sell Point: 95758.04 USDT (approaching the daily high resistance level, strong selling pressure may exist, and the pattern also shows top signals)
Short Stop Loss Point: 96000 USDT (once breaking through the key resistance range, it will indicate continued bullish movement and a break of the top formation) #币安Alpha上新
#加密货币总市值重回3万亿
Recently, prices have oscillated and adjusted, with previous upward trends stagnating. Prices are above EMA(144), EMA(169), and EMA(200), but short-term moving averages show a bullish arrangement and signs of convergence. The MACD indicator shows weakening upward momentum.
In the short term, prices may continue to fluctuate between the key resistance level of 95758.04 and the potential support level of 93995.50. Due to the emergence of a 'bearish engulfing' pattern, a top formation, and a flat top pattern, there is a risk of downward movement in the short term.
Suggestions: The current market is in a stage of oscillation and adjustment. It is recommended that investors remain cautious and monitor whether the resistance level of 95758.04 can be broken. If it cannot break through, short-term selling may be considered. If prices continue to find support near the support level, one may remain on the sidelines and wait for further trend confirmation before taking action. Close attention should be paid to changes in the MACD indicator for updates on market trends.
K-line Patterns: Important patterns include 'bearish engulfing' and 'top formation,' indicating potential signs of market adjustment; pay attention to the subsequent price changes.
EMA: Current prices are above EMA(144), EMA(169), and EMA(200), indicating that the market remains strong, and the bullish arrangement of short-term moving averages suggests sustained upward momentum.
MACD: The DIF and DEA lines are close to horizontal, and the decreasing red histogram indicates that market buying momentum is weakening, while sideways consolidation reflects confirmation of demand at high levels.
Potential Buy and Sell Points
Buy Point: 93995.5 USDT (close to the potential support level, may form short-term support, rebound opportunities may arise near the EMA moving averages)
Long Stop Loss Point: 93000 USDT (breaking below the recent key support area indicates strengthening bearish pressure, and the trend may reverse)
Sell Point: 95758.04 USDT (approaching the daily high resistance level, strong selling pressure may exist, and the pattern also shows top signals)
Short Stop Loss Point: 96000 USDT (once breaking through the key resistance range, it will indicate continued bullish movement and a break of the top formation) #币安Alpha上新
#加密货币总市值重回3万亿
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The threshold for Alpha IPOs is rising, how many opportunities are left for ordinary people? Recently, a harsh reality is unfolding in the Alpha IPO circle: the threshold for participating in IPOs is like a constantly rising ladder, making it increasingly difficult for ordinary people to reach. Now, ordinary people can only earn a maximum reward of 9 points in a day with all their efforts, while capital players can easily obtain high ratings of 4.3.2.1 points, which is astonishing.
Looking at the current trend, the requirements for future IPOs will only become more stringent. Once capital begins to exert its influence, the survival space for ordinary people will be severely squeezed, and it’s possible that the daily IPO threshold will turn into '9 + 2', or even more stringent '9 + 3'.
Just thinking about it is thrilling. Fortunately, these past few days I have been gritting my teeth, working day and night to earn points; otherwise, with a daily balance increase of only 3 points, there would be no chance to participate in quality projects. In this fiercely competitive field, it is indeed only those who give their all that can share in the dividends; if one does not strive harder, they might not even get a taste of the soup!
#币安Alpha上新
Looking at the current trend, the requirements for future IPOs will only become more stringent. Once capital begins to exert its influence, the survival space for ordinary people will be severely squeezed, and it’s possible that the daily IPO threshold will turn into '9 + 2', or even more stringent '9 + 3'.
Just thinking about it is thrilling. Fortunately, these past few days I have been gritting my teeth, working day and night to earn points; otherwise, with a daily balance increase of only 3 points, there would be no chance to participate in quality projects. In this fiercely competitive field, it is indeed only those who give their all that can share in the dividends; if one does not strive harder, they might not even get a taste of the soup!
#币安Alpha上新
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