Abđullah Hùssain
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In August 2025, the 30-day change in Bitcoin futures Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) hit its highest level in five years, surpassing the +0.4 mark.
This reflects a rapid, large-scale influx of leveraged positions in the futures market while BTC remains near its all-time highs, a setup historically linked to heightened volatility and an increased risk of sharp liquidations.
#BTC
This reflects a rapid, large-scale influx of leveraged positions in the futures market while BTC remains near its all-time highs, a setup historically linked to heightened volatility and an increased risk of sharp liquidations.
#BTC
According to the Bitcoin Cycle Model, the real move is just beginning. Q4 could be where things get exciting.
#BitcoinCycle
#BTC
#BitcoinCycle
#BTC
BREAKING:🚨
$151M in Ethereum liquidated in the past 24 hours, with $93M from shorts and $58M from longs.#ETH4500Next?
#Ethereum
#Liquidations
$151M in Ethereum liquidated in the past 24 hours, with $93M from shorts and $58M from longs.#ETH4500Next?
#Ethereum
#Liquidations
🚨 FED RATE CUT BETS SURGE AFTER JULY CPI DATA
Following the latest July inflation report showing US consumer prices rose 0.2% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year—slightly below expectations—and core CPI rose 0.3% M/M and 3.1% Y/Y, traders have sharply increased their bets on a Fed rate cut in September.
According to Kalshi data, the probability of a 25bps rate cut now stands at 80%, while only 14% expect the Fed to maintain rates and 6% predict a cut larger than 25bps.#CPIWatch
Following the latest July inflation report showing US consumer prices rose 0.2% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year—slightly below expectations—and core CPI rose 0.3% M/M and 3.1% Y/Y, traders have sharply increased their bets on a Fed rate cut in September.
According to Kalshi data, the probability of a 25bps rate cut now stands at 80%, while only 14% expect the Fed to maintain rates and 6% predict a cut larger than 25bps.#CPIWatch
$ETH.D
After recovering and retesting the resistance, ETH dominance now seems to be looking for a reason to push toward the next resistance zone at 14.2–14.4%, which is roughly a 1% move from the current level.
If we assume the total crypto market cap stays constant at $3.89T (which realistically it won’t, since inflows will occur), ETH hitting 14.2% would require an additional $35B of market cap flowing into ETH. That would put ETH’s price around $4537.
Is this possible? Absolutely, no question there. The real unknown is when. But as long as prices keep climbing, timing becomes less important, because patience always rewards more than impatience.
Right now the chart is at double top type resistnace, which it has to invalidate to acheive the desired outcome.
#Crypto #ETH #BTC #altcoins
After recovering and retesting the resistance, ETH dominance now seems to be looking for a reason to push toward the next resistance zone at 14.2–14.4%, which is roughly a 1% move from the current level.
If we assume the total crypto market cap stays constant at $3.89T (which realistically it won’t, since inflows will occur), ETH hitting 14.2% would require an additional $35B of market cap flowing into ETH. That would put ETH’s price around $4537.
Is this possible? Absolutely, no question there. The real unknown is when. But as long as prices keep climbing, timing becomes less important, because patience always rewards more than impatience.
Right now the chart is at double top type resistnace, which it has to invalidate to acheive the desired outcome.
#Crypto #ETH #BTC #altcoins
$USDT.D
Reading the structure alone isn’t enough, you need to factor in the complications tied to it.
In my last update, I said USDT.D was due for a retracement, but that the resistance must hold. The likely path? A drop to the lower level first, then a retrace, preserving the structure without breaking it. And that’s exactly what happened. That’s market understanding, not just chart reading.
Right now, USDT.D is consolidating. With CPI data dropping in a couple of hours, and expectations leaning higher than prior, if the data comes in hot, we could see a spike above resistance. The key will be the 4H close (150 minutes after release):
• Above = bullish for USDT bearish for Crypto
• Below = bearish for USDT bullish for Crypto
#USDT #Crypto #CPI #Inflation
Reading the structure alone isn’t enough, you need to factor in the complications tied to it.
In my last update, I said USDT.D was due for a retracement, but that the resistance must hold. The likely path? A drop to the lower level first, then a retrace, preserving the structure without breaking it. And that’s exactly what happened. That’s market understanding, not just chart reading.
Right now, USDT.D is consolidating. With CPI data dropping in a couple of hours, and expectations leaning higher than prior, if the data comes in hot, we could see a spike above resistance. The key will be the 4H close (150 minutes after release):
• Above = bullish for USDT bearish for Crypto
• Below = bearish for USDT bullish for Crypto
#USDT #Crypto #CPI #Inflation
$BTC profit realization by long-term holders (7D SMA) has slowed in August after a July run consistently above $1B/day - one of the largest profit-taking periods on record.
Unlike the Nov/Dec ‘24 peaks dominated by 6–12m holders (early spot Bitcoin #ETF buyers), the latest wave is led by 3–5y holders - investors from the prior cycle realizing gains.
Unlike the Nov/Dec ‘24 peaks dominated by 6–12m holders (early spot Bitcoin #ETF buyers), the latest wave is led by 3–5y holders - investors from the prior cycle realizing gains.
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