财经探长

Brothers, hold the seeds steady! This morning BTC was like it was on ecstasy, with BlackRock shouting out $530 million to sweep up, stacking 5,613 BTC directly into a mountain. As a result, the bears quickly pulled out 100,000 short positions to smash the price down, forcibly bringing it back to around 102,000. This maneuver was faster than a Sichuan opera face change!
BTC first broke 100,000, ETH 4,000
BTC second broke 100,000, ETH 3,900
BTC third broke 100,000, ETH 3,700
BTC fourth broke 100,000, ETH 3,400
BTC fifth broke 100,000, ETH 3,100
BTC sixth broke 100,000, ETH 2,700
BTC seventh broke 100,000, ETH 1,900
Come on, we all have a bright future!
Don't be fooled by this fake strong trend! The major coin price is stuck in a key daily resistance zone, and after three consecutive highs, it has been knocked down each time. This is not a normal rise; it is clearly a ploy to raise the price for selling! The operators are holding the price up just to trick retail investors into buying. Don't believe the nonsense about breaking new highs; if it can't break through, it's a trap for cutting leeks!

#特朗普就职百日 Trump's policies and performance 100 days after his inauguration in 2024 can be analyzed from multiple aspects:
Economic Policy
During his first 100 days in office, Trump signed 142 executive orders, setting a record in modern history. He implemented radical tariff policies, imposing a universal 10% tariff on all imported goods and levying high reciprocal tariffs on several trading partners. These policies led to poor performance in the U.S. stock market, with critics blaming his trade policies for undermining economic stability. Nevertheless, Trump remained confident, believing these policies would usher in a "new economic golden age" for America.
Approval Ratings and Public Opinion
Trump's approval ratings significantly declined after his first 100 days in office. A Reuters/Ipsos poll showed that only 42% of respondents approved of his performance, while 53% disapproved. His economic management approval also dropped to the lowest level in this or the previous term, at only 36%. Despite this, Trump still referred to his first 100 days as the "most successful in American history".
Foreign Policy
In foreign affairs, Trump emphasized the "America First" policy, repeatedly mentioning China and stating that he would no longer prioritize China. He also addressed the Israeli-Palestinian issue in the Middle East, claiming he would be a "peace maker", but the actual results were not significant.
Immigration Policy
Trump's immigration policy remained simplistic and harsh, abolishing "birthright citizenship" and conducting large-scale sweeps to capture and deport illegal immigrants. These measures sparked widespread controversy and criticism.
Political Opponents and Criticism
At the 100-day rally, Trump harshly criticized former President Biden and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, condemning their economic policies and personal performances. He also mocked Biden's appearance and policy mistakes.

Musk May Resign in May
Trump revealed that Musk's term as head of the Government Efficiency Department will end in May, and he will return to companies like Tesla. His reforms have sparked controversy, putting pressure on Tesla's stock price, and the independence of DOGE has become a hot topic.
DOGE's Reversal Diverges from Tesla
On April 9, DOGE surged 10% in 24 hours, reclaiming $0.15, while Tesla's market value evaporated by over $160 billion due to tariff disputes. The divergence in the trends of DOGE and Tesla suggests it may be breaking free from Musk's influence.
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The US stock market and the cryptocurrency sphere are both surging, and all of this is because Trump made concessions three times in a row at midnight, 1 AM, and 5 AM.
US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin first jumped in to say that the trade war with China can't continue, and the situation will soon ease.
Immediately after, Trump himself also spoke: "A 145% tariff is too high; tariffs on China must be significantly reduced, and China will definitely be satisfied, and the US and China will cooperate well together."
He also mentioned that although he is not satisfied with the speed of the Fed's interest rate cuts, he has no plans to fire Powell.
Even more explosive, Trump also stated that a peace plan for Russia and Ukraine will be announced within three days.
Previously, the behavior of US Treasury bonds was abnormal, and the East University also took a strong counterattack, with Powell publicly singing a different tune, all these signs indicate that the wind is about to change.

Since its establishment in 1913, the Federal Reserve has relied on the independence of monetary policy as its foundation, with a decision-making mechanism insulated from short-term political pressures to ensure that interest rate policies serve long-term economic stability. However, today, political interference in the Federal Reserve has become increasingly evident. Historically, both the Johnson and Nixon administrations pressured the Federal Reserve Chairman to maintain low interest rates, disregarding price stability, which ultimately led to high inflation. Now, Trump is continuously urging the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to stimulate the economy and enhance his re-election prospects, which undoubtedly poses a challenge to the Federal Reserve's independence.
From an economic perspective, if the Federal Reserve succumbs to political pressure and adjusts interest rates arbitrarily, it will render monetary policy incapable of being flexibly adjusted based on economic data, undermining economic stability. For instance, cutting interest rates during high inflation will further drive up prices and disrupt economic order. From the perspective of financial markets, once the Federal Reserve loses its independence, public confidence in it will significantly diminish, triggering extreme fluctuations in financial markets, and investors may massively sell off dollar assets in favor of safe-haven assets.
Currently, the international situation is complex, with ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and between Israel and Palestine, and the global economy is fraught with uncertainty. As one of the most important central banks in the world, the Federal Reserve's policy direction can have far-reaching consequences. If its independence is compromised, global financial markets will be affected, and the debt risks of emerging market countries will also intensify.

Trump fiercely criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, accusing him of "playing politics" and wanting to fire him early, but he doesn't have that power. Powell's term lasts until May 2026, and a successor is typically determined in the second half of 2025. Powell is clearly more aligned with the Democratic Party, using the excuse of independence, and has not been favorable towards Trump. Before Biden's campaign, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates twice, actively supporting the stock market. Now that the campaign is over, the stock market has dropped significantly, and there is considerable pressure on U.S. bonds, yet interest rates are not being lowered. The U.S. is currently facing a triple threat in stocks, bonds, and currency. Although it cannot be said that it has collapsed, the patterns do indicate something is amiss. The dollar index has fallen below 100, a support level that has existed for many years, indicating a potential weakening. While Trump claims he wants a weaker dollar to enhance manufacturing competitiveness, the manufacturing sector has not yet recovered. If the dollar weakens rapidly, it will not be a good thing. This indicates that capital is avoiding the dollar, exchanging it for euros and yen, steering clear of the U.S. capital markets rather than investing in U.S. manufacturing or buying American products. U.S. bonds are also attracting significant attention now. A major issue since 2020 has been the continually rising interest rates on U.S. bonds, which show no signs of coming down. The interest on U.S. bonds has surpassed a trillion, and Trump will need to issue new debt to pay the interest.

On April 16, 2025, the world's first spot Solana (SOL) exchange-traded fund (ETF) was launched, marking its continued leadership in the cryptocurrency financial products sector. Approved ETFs and issuing institutions
- The Ontario Securities Commission (OSC) in Canada approved applications from four asset management companies on April 14, including Purpose Investments, Evolve ETFs, CI Global Asset Management, and 3iQ. These ETFs were listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange on April 16, with the ticker symbol SOLQ
- This is the world's first spot ETF that directly holds SOL tokens and allows staking, in stark contrast to the only futures-based Solana ETF in the United States.
The Solana ETF in Canada not only provides a compliant entry channel for institutional investors but also promotes the integration of cryptocurrency and traditional finance. However, the actual scale of market demand and whether the SOL price can continue to break through resistance will become key focus areas moving forward.

#比特币与美国关税政策 The United States is anxious because China is one of the largest aviation markets in the world, with nearly a quarter of Boeing's planes originally sold to China. This halt may lead to competition between European Airbus and Chinese domestic large aircraft for market share.
Trump retaliated with tariffs within 24 hours.
The next day (April 16), the United States immediately announced a tariff increase on China to 245%, citing "China's lack of cooperation."
But anyone with common sense can see that this is purely a numbers game—originally, the tariff was already absurdly high (104%), and increasing it to 245% would make it impossible to sell, which is completely for the sake of appearances.
The underlying game logic:
Why is China playing the Boeing card?
The United States has always used high-end products such as chips and airplanes to strangle China. This time, China’s counterattack on Boeing is to tell the United States: we can also counter your high-tech industry! With frequent accidents in Boeing in recent years, China is just seizing the opportunity to support domestic large aircraft and Airbus.

Trump's Crypto Gamble: The Financial Shadow War Behind Tariff-Buying Coins!
The White House has played its cards beautifully, using collected tariff money to buy the dip on Bitcoin?
If this news is true, the crypto market is likely to experience a crazy roller coaster ride.
Trump's move is clearly aimed at putting Bitcoin in the 'national reserve' yellow robe, standing shoulder to shoulder with gold.
This is far more impactful than El Salvador's approach to legal tender, directly overturning the table and redefining global financial rules.
Supporters applaud: The credibility of the dollar is shaking, with Bitcoin's hard cap of 21 million coins right there, isn't this a natural safe-haven artifact?

💰💰#Bitcoin #BTC Trading Strategy for April 15

🤔Market Analysis: Yesterday, Bitcoin faced significant short-term resistance and experienced wild fluctuations. Currently, the technical outlook remains bullish, so pay close attention to the resistance and be flexible in entering the market.
🤔Trading Plan:
1. Monitor the resistance around 84700—85500, and buy on a breakout.
2. Pay attention to the support around 83500—83000, and consider going long if it stops falling.

On April 13, 2020, U.S. President Donald Trump announced the initiation of a 'Section 232' national security investigation into imported semiconductor products, which could result in tariffs of up to 25% or more on related products within the next year. Although previous tariff exemptions on electronic products such as smartphones, computers, and chips provided temporary relief, U.S. Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross made it clear that these exemptions are temporary, and related products will be included in the new semiconductor tariff scope within one to two months.
This move aims to reduce dependence on chips from East Asian countries (such as Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, and China) and promote the development of domestic manufacturing in the United States. However, frequent and uncertain tariff policies have raised widespread concerns in the market. Investors and businesses feel confused by the policy reversals, and critics point out that this strategy may undermine market confidence and increase the risk of economic recession.
In the context of a highly interconnected global technology supply chain, the repeated adjustments to semiconductor tariff policies not only affect the production costs of domestic U.S. companies but may also impact the global technology industry chain. Investors and businesses need to closely monitor policy trends and cautiously assess potential risks.

Brothers brought good news back from Hong Kong, let's eat meat together! We will get rich together in the future! Everyone remember to follow my account...

#币安安全见解 Binance implemented a series of security measures in April 2025 to ensure the safety of user assets. Here are some key security insights and measures:
1. Risk Management Tools: Binance offers a range of robust risk management and control features, including customizable risk management tools, fraud detection and prevention tools, and a dedicated Risk Sniper system, all designed to protect users' cryptocurrency transactions .
2. User Safety Measures: Binance CEO Richard Teng announced on Twitter on April 3 that user safety has always been the top priority for the exchange, even in regions without established regulations. This statement included an introduction to the SAFU (Secure Asset Fund for Users) insurance fund, which aims to protect users and their funds in the event of security breaches .
3. Security Reviews and Audits: Binance regularly conducts security reviews and audits to ensure the platform's security. These reviews include staying updated on the latest trends in cyber threats and taking corresponding protective measures .
4. Two-factor Authentication and Withdrawal Whitelists: Binance implements various security measures, including two-factor authentication and withdrawal whitelists, to prevent unauthorized access and transactions .
5. User Feedback and Improvements: Binance's customer service team is often online seeking user feedback and has stated that they will continue to iterate and optimize products and operations to enhance user experience and security .
6. Security Incident Response: In the first quarter of 2025, Binance and other cryptocurrency platforms experienced multiple hacking incidents, resulting in significant financial losses. Binance gained experience from these incidents and strengthened its security measures to prevent similar occurrences in the future .
In summary, Binance took multiple security measures in April 2025, including risk management tools, user safety measures, security reviews and audits, two-factor authentication, and withdrawal whitelists, to ensure the safety of user assets. At the same time, Binance actively listens to user feedback and continuously improves its security measures and services.

There is a simple and efficient method for trading cryptocurrencies that almost guarantees profit! The assets of fans who have used it have already surpassed seven figures!
My cryptocurrency trading strategy consists of only four steps, which are very simple yet yield amazing results.
Step 1: Choose the cryptocurrency Open the daily chart and only select cryptocurrencies with a MACD golden cross, prioritizing those with a golden cross above the zero axis, as this condition has the highest success rate!
Step 2: Buy Signal Switch to the daily chart and focus on one moving average—the daily moving average. The rules are simple:
Holding on the line: Buy and hold when the price is above the daily moving average,
Selling below the line: Sell immediately when the price falls below the daily moving average.
Step 3: Position Management After buying, observe the price and trading volume:
1. If the price breaks above the daily moving average, and the trading volume is also above the daily moving average, buy with full position.
2. Selling strategy: · If the price rises more than 40%: sell 1/3 of the position. · If the price rises more than 80%: sell another 1/3 of the position. If it falls below the daily moving average: liquidate all remaining positions.
Step 4: Strict Stop-Loss The daily moving average is our core operation. If the price suddenly falls below the daily moving average the next day, for any reason, you must sell all positions without hesitation!
Although the probability of falling below the daily moving average is low with this screening method, we must still maintain risk awareness. After selling, just wait for the price to stabilize above the daily moving average again, and you can buy back.
This method is simple to learn and very suitable for investors who want stable profits. Remember, the key to success lies in strictly executing each step and not being swayed by emotions!
On the day Trump made his call, a fan contacted me and I directly advised her to go in more.
She made over 2000 USDT in one night.

OMG Binance is giving away money again!
The Binance HODLer airdrop episode 14 is officially here~ This time the star is the super trendy newcomer Babylon (code name: BABY)!
How to participate in the airdrop?
From 3/7 at 8 AM to 3/13 at 7:59 AM (UTC+8), as long as you use BNB to subscribe to Binance's principal-protected earning products (either fixed or flexible), or on-chain earning products, you will qualify for the airdrop!
And! The airdropped BABY tokens will be sent to your spot wallet at least 1 hour before trading opens~ So considerate!
When does trading start?
On 4/10 at 6 PM (UTC+8), BABY will officially go live! Trading pairs with USDT, USDC, BNB, FDUSD, and TRY will be available! It also carries a seed tag, indicating that this is an early-stage project.
A little reminder:
The deposit channel for BABY will open 6 hours before the listing, so make sure to grab the timing if you want to secure a spot! The current price is approximately 0.073u.

How do you view Trump's announcement to impose an additional 50% tariff on China and to terminate the US-China negotiations?
A 100% tariff essentially means a complete economic decoupling. It is basically impossible to resolve peacefully.
There is nothing much to say. The domestic characteristic is that they can take soft measures but not hard ones; if no face is given, compromise is impossible.
Economic decoupling will inevitably lead to political and military issues.
Next, refer to the prelude to the Pacific War; there are essentially three diplomatic steps left.
Will there really be a war? Under the current circumstances, there are three preliminary steps.
First, both countries freeze and confiscate each other's domestic national assets.
Second, the United States declares a targeted default on Chinese holdings of US debt, and China significantly reduces its dollar holdings to purchase gold.
Third, the United States demands that all countries except Russia impose an embargo on oil and natural gas to China.
So regardless of whether you support the war, you should observe whether these three steps will occur.
When they happen is a very clear time point.
When it hasn’t happened, fantasizing about war happening soon is self-deception; when it has happened, fantasizing that it will never happen is also self-deception.
In the crypto world, life and death are within 48 hours! Trump's tariff blade is about to drop tonight—either there will be rivers of blood, or there will be violent surges!
Those who are waiting for China to back down can go wash and sleep; when two hard bones collide, blood is bound to be shed!
Remember three iron rules: 1. If it drops to 77,000, close your eyes and buy BTC. 2. If ETH drops to 1,500, go all in. 3. On the 9th, when bad news is fully released, it is the moment to throw knives!
Last night I accurately escaped at 1,638 and caught the knife at 1,556, this morning I perfectly took profits at 1,618. If you can't catch this wave of money-making, I suggest you uninstall the app!
Now the big players are just waiting for retail investors to cut losses; if they dare to crash the market tonight, it’s giving away money, and if they dare to raise it tomorrow, it’s giving out red envelopes!
Here’s the lifeline for you: if BTC breaks 77,000, go all in; if ETH hits 1,500, double your position!
Remember the mantra: the tariff drop is a golden pit, trade war panic is a money-giving signal, and the stronger the sideways movement, the more violent the surge!
Are you stuck? When to buy the dip? It’s still the same saying: if you feel confused and helpless and don’t know what to do, click on my profile and comment. I need fans, you need references.
So recently, I’ve set up for a big surge in spot trading!

Tariff Increase Targeting China: Is the Trade War Rekindled?
Trump publicly declared that if China does not withdraw its 34% retaliatory tariffs, the U.S. will retaliate strongly by raising tariffs on Chinese goods to 50%. This is not just a simple negotiation tactic, but a clear message to the world: U.S.-China trade relations have entered a new phase of confrontation.
Meanwhile, Trump also announced the termination of all trade negotiations with China and will shift the trade focus to other countries. This posture of 'complete disconnection' has almost compressed diplomatic flexibility to zero, which is significant.
U.S. and China Reveal Their Hands: Who is Hurt More?
For the U.S., consumer goods prices are bound to rise, affecting everything from clothing and toys on supermarket shelves to tech products like smartphones and computers, leading to a surge in inflationary pressure.
For China, exports to the U.S. will be hampered, especially for manufacturing and export-oriented enterprises. However, compared to the past, China's dependence on the U.S. has been decreasing year by year, with domestic demand and other export markets becoming a buffer.
For the world, supply chains are torn apart, potentially giving rise to a new round of global economic slowdown or even recession.
Crypto Market: Safe Haven or Whirlwind?
Historical experience shows that during periods of geopolitical economic instability, cryptocurrencies are often regarded as one of the safe-haven assets. The uncertainty of the trade war may drive more investors toward digital assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum to evade traditional market risks.
However, at the same time, the drastic fluctuations in the market may increase the instability of the crypto market. The direction of policies is unpredictable, and regulatory rhetoric may escalate at any time. The crypto market could rise due to safe-haven demand or be affected by liquidity tightening.
How Should Investors Respond?
Closely monitor the developments: Details of tariffs and trends in trade negotiations are important signals affecting the market.
Diversify asset allocation: Seek a balance between traditional and crypto assets to avoid excessive concentration of risk.
Pay attention to changes in market sentiment: Fluctuations in traditional markets often signal a shift in crypto market sentiment.
Prepare for volatility: The market will enter a news-driven period, making flexible responses particularly crucial.

1.4 billion people in China are afraid of you, Trump! China will accompany you to the end!

I have a senior around me who used to run an online store. Later, he got involved in the cryptocurrency circle and started to seriously study trading coins. Unexpectedly, he ultimately achieved a turnaround in life through this method, and his assets are now in the 8-digit range!
His method is particularly simple, just 4 steps: from selecting coins, buying, position management to selling, each link is clear and straightforward. Next, I'll tell you in detail how he specifically does it.
First step, selecting coins. Open the daily chart and focus on the coins that have a MACD golden cross at the daily level. It's best to select those that have a golden cross above the zero axis, as these coins are more likely to rise and perform better.
Second step, check the daily moving average. Switch to the daily level and look at one moving average, which is the daily moving average. Remember a principle: if the coin price is above the daily moving average, hold on to it; if it falls below the daily moving average, sell it quickly without hesitation.
Third step, buying. Once you've selected the coins, wait for the coin price to break through the daily moving average, and at the same time, the trading volume is also above the daily moving average; then buy in fully. At this point, it is highly likely to rise, and you must seize the opportunity.
I have been accurately in the cryptocurrency circle for 10 years, and I want to tell everyone that if you want to change your fate, you must try the cryptocurrency circle. If you can't make money in this circle, ordinary people may really have little opportunity in their lifetime.
1. Enter the market at the end of September, clear the position by the end of November.
2. Enter the market before the Spring Festival, clear the position in April.
3. Execute these two iron rules, of course, individual small-cap stocks' short-term operations are not included here.
4. Next, you need to learn how to find hundredfold coins and achieve wealth during a bull market. Stick to these ten principles when trading coins, and you will surely reap a bountiful harvest.
Market trading principles:
1. Don't easily let go of low-priced chips: stay firm in your beliefs to prevent manipulators from driving the prices down.
2. Chasing highs and killing lows, going all in and out is always a big taboo: Under favorable trends, accumulating positions in batches during declines is lower risk, lower cost, and greater profit compared to chasing highs.
By following these principles, combined with the cyclicality of the market and reasonable capital management, I believe you will gain something in the cryptocurrency circle. Remember, opportunities and risks coexist in the cryptocurrency circle; only by mastering the right methods and mindset can you stand undefeated in this turbulent market.

BTC was brought down this morning when the Nasdaq futures opened down about -4%, falling below 81000. I told my friends yesterday that if it breaks 81000, it can't stop at 79500, and it directly hit 77300. So, is 77300 the bottom? I think, for now, it's likely still not; be prepared for a drop to 70000 tonight. The logic has three points:
1. Chip distribution (daily level): In such extreme market conditions, we need to look at the daily level chip structure. Downward, 77300 is a small support, with the real major support at 70000, and upward, 84000 becomes a resistance.
2. Nasdaq: In February-March 2020, it dropped from a high of 9838 to a low of 6631, a decline of 32.6%. This round's Nasdaq high is 20204.58. If we calculate using 32.6%, it could potentially reach 13618. As of Friday, the point was 15587, leaving a space for a drop of 12.6%. Considering this morning, Nasdaq futures have already dropped 4%, bringing BTC down to around 77300, which is a preemptive exhaustion of the drop. This means there might still be 8% space for Nasdaq to drop, corresponding to BTC, calculating roughly a 10% drop, which would be around 70000. Here, the combination of daily structure chips provides strong support.
3. Estimated liquidation: If it drops to around 75500, it could trigger 360 million liquidation, while pulling up to 90000 could trigger 3 billion. This means there isn't much left to liquidate downwards, and instead, upwards is more favorable for the main force, with a high payout.
Although it's very tough recently, looking at it rationally and objectively, during every term of Trump, whether it's the US stock market or BTC, there are historical-level crashes. However, many people only remember the 312 crash and forget that after 312, BTC quickly rebounded violently from the bottom of 3621 to 6960, and after that, it consolidated and rose steadily, increasing 20 times to 64986. I have a few friends who entered at that bottom, achieving financial freedom in their lives. Therefore, I really don't see it as bearish; cherish the opportunity brought by the crash.