比特老马正主

Recently, my social media feed is filled with promotions for a celestial exchange. The person behind this celestial exchange is named Yu Lingxiong, and his reputation as a fraudster has long been known. How come so many people are still helping him promote and support him? It can only be said that, in the face of money, morals and conscience really mean nothing.

This guy previously ran a Wanxiang Exchange, under the guise of some Wanxiang Laboratory, and created a bunch of messy coins—like Lucky Chain, Wanxiang Coin, Car Chain, Gold Coin, and Spinach Coin. He harvested billions and tricked a large number of people, then ran off to Cambodia, relying on Hun Sen and the local military for support.

Just a few years later, he pops up again with new tricks, boasting even more than before. I estimate that the money he scammed before has either been gambled away, squandered, or controlled by people over there, coming out as a puppet to continue deceiving others.

Some people are still thinking about getting his money for free, believing they can take advantage of him. Wake up! Where does free pie fall from the sky? In front of such a cunning person, can you outsmart him? Don’t be delusional. In the end, there’s an 80% to 90% chance he’ll set up a trap for you, like requiring you to recharge first to unlock withdrawals; you won’t even get your money back, and instead, you’ll fall deeper into the pit.

Moreover, KYC—submitting your ID and phone number—packages user information from hundreds of thousands to millions and sells it to fraud groups. That’s his big business. When the time comes, not only will you not make any money, but you might also end up putting yourself and those around you at risk of being targeted by scams.

I advise everyone not to touch what he’s offering. Don’t sacrifice yourself for those seemingly tempting small profits and drag those around you down with you. Trust me, run away quickly; if you must be greedy for small gains, then just wish yourself good luck.

The rallies on weekends over the past two weeks have been quite intense, those who went long have been making consistent profits.

The approach is still to remind everyone to focus on buying low, don’t think about shorting in a bull market.

Market sentiment has reached a level of extreme greed, so stick to your trading plan strictly.

Taking profits on multiple trades is the safest strategy, securing profits is the most reliable.

Additionally, I’ve summarized some major new public chain ecological tokens.

If you think the public chain tokens have risen too high and are hesitant to buy, you can consider their ecological tokens, which definitely have more room for growth than the public chain tokens, but of course, opportunities and risks coexist.

SOL ecosystem: BOME RAY JUP JTO PYTH WIF

SUI ecosystem: SSWP CETUS MAVI

TON ecosystem: NOT CATI DOGS HMSTR

AVAX ecosystem: JOE

ETH ecosystem: ENA ETHFI NEIRO ZK

Old Ma wishes everyone to earn more in the bull market!

#BTC

TON has explained to you before that it is estimated that the goods can be received around 6.3. In the short term, the low point of 6.45 is basically established. The small cycle continues to run above the upward trend line. The position has continued to decline during this week's shock. The car is light and the pull-up is not far away.

The 6.8-6.9 range is the previous gap pressure. Now there are two ways to get on the car: one is to wait for the trend line 6.64-6.7 to get on the car at a low level; the other is to wait for the pressure range 7.1 to break through and make a breakthrough order to enter the market

1. The cryptocurrency market is an unordered and unrestricted market, with more than half of the liquidity serving HH products and XQ. Many things are difficult to characterize and trace.

2. The cryptocurrency market is an emerging product, with fast iteration of information mode and gameplay, and anyone has the opportunity to crush others with cognition and information.

3. It is easy to defeat the opponent. There are too many retail investors in the cryptocurrency market, and retail investors have very limited cognition, just like a child carrying gold in a chaotic world, and being emptied in minutes.

In the A-share market or US stocks, retail investors cannot be emptied at one time. Retail investors can only eat a few limit downs at most, and they can find people if they lose money. The regulators send inquiry letters every day.

In the cryptocurrency market, it is okay to directly withdraw the market, issue additional shares to smash the market, or directly put it in a bad state, and finally have a young model in front of retail investors.

If you are long, you will prefer ETH for several reasons. First, the ETF is now confirmed to be launched on July 23, so there will definitely be an independent rebound during this period.

The source of selling pressure is also BTC. In contrast, ETH has fallen much less. After the German government completed the liquidation on July 13, BTC rebounded by 14% in three days, and ETH rebounded by 15%.

Technically, it is also stronger than BTC, with large volume and short-term V-reversal. In a strong unilateral trend, a pullback represents a trading opportunity. In the short term, pay attention to the two support levels of 3300-3200 and arrange spot in batches.
#ETH

The position of Bitcoin 64000 is very important. It started three phased plunges here. The lowest price was 56550 on May 1, 60100 on May 11, and 53500 on July 5.

The recovery here is the focus now. The 4-hour RSI has reached the oversold zone and may usher in a small adjustment. If it continues to recover strongly, it will form a strong support.

Don't actively chase it here. Wait for the callback below 62500 to re-attack and then enter the market. If it can stand firm at 64000, it will form the third round of daily level rise.

#BTC

After BTC broke through and stabilized at $60,000, it rushed all the way to the high point of 63,200. The weekly line closed positively and stabilized at the M top. The pressure on bulls was relieved due to various favorable reasons.

At present, the top divergence of the 12-hour and daily lines has not yet formed. The weekend's rally and news are likely to have ETF funds inflow after the opening of the U.S. stock market in the evening. Short-term bulls are relatively strong, and the temporary operation strategy is mainly to buy on dips.

Now all kinds of indicators are obviously dominant. After the end of the European Cup, funds have also flowed back to the currency circle. Various institutions have begun to increase their holdings. Trump's survival this time is also equivalent to a positive for the currency circle. In the near future, the market may continue to strengthen due to the listing of ETFs.

Generally, the probability of a second wave of callback rebound is very high. The first one is relatively stable, but the subsequent callback must pay attention to the upper 63,700-64,000 pressure level. If it breaks through with strong volume, pay attention to the 66,500-67,500 range. First, it is the chip pressure zone, which is actually the reverse suppression of the upward trend. If there is no rapid breakthrough again, you must pay attention to the gap of about 59,000 below that needs to be filled.

#BTC

The 59400-60000 position has been basically cleared, and the short position 59000 pressure level has also reached the lowest level of 58100. After the market has risen for two or three consecutive days, the fear and greed index is still at a low level of 33. Most retail investors have not kept up with this wave of gains.

The view remains unchanged. The short position is the 60000-62000 range. This is chosen because of the FVG area (low liquidity area). Secondly, the retracement on the daily line has not yet been completed. The analysis point of view on the 10th is that after the high retracement, the area will take the low point on Friday. Personally, I tend to think that this may be the starting point of the next wave of decline.

Many people say that BTC is currently bullish. The biggest problem is still the selling pressure in Mentougou. Retail investor sentiment will be affected in the short term, and this news is completely silent. No matter what you think about the interest rate cut, the election is similar, these are all expectations, and these are the support of the market. The short-term market in Germany has been digested, and it will not end before the Mentougou selling is finished.

Some people will ask why this wave will rise? There are several main reasons for this:

1. CPI slowed down, and the expectation of interest rate cut was advanced from December to September

2. Spot ETF continued to buy

3. Germany's sell-off was completed

4. Spot ETF is expected to be officially approved for listing next week

5. Technical stage bottom

Technically, the liquidation space of 56000-56800 below BTC has a callback demand, which can be regarded as mid-line support. If there is an opportunity, you can enter the long position. At present, the 4-hour has also broken through the EMA100 pressure. After waiting for another wash, the moving average will diverge upward and there will be room for operation. The operation of short orders is recommended to refer to 60500 during the day, and the short-term support is 59000

#BTC

Germany holds 60,000 BTC, and now only has 13,000 after continuous selling. If the budget reserves BTC, then this negative news will be digested this week. The next question is whether Mentougou is a smokescreen or will it be compensated.

As long as the price of Mentougou is unlocked, it will start to fall. This is a potential black swan. Don't treat it as a small negative news that will trigger a sell-off and stampede. This market is driven by emotions. The liquidity of the market itself is poor. If the compensation selling is implemented, it will drive the overall market down. While rising strongly, there is also a risk of news-drawing gates. Long-term trend orders are still not recommended to enter the market.

Technically, you can see yesterday's triangle. It has broken through the convergence and the double bottom at the 4-hour level. It will continue to be bullish in the short term. The daily level is now near the central axis of the channel. The next pressure level of the daily line that needs to be paid attention to is 61,500. The volume distribution chart also shows that the chips are concentrated here, which is a potential target for long orders.

For intraday operations, refer to the short-term support of 58,000. If the pullback is significantly weakened, the possibility of breaking through and rising will increase. The probability of breaking through 60,000 in the short term will increase. Consider shorting at the pressure level of 61,000-62,000.
#BTC

I'll give you a shot in the arm. Since entering the correction period on April 1, it has been three months since the current position. Except for the mainstream, almost all cottages have returned to the starting point of the bull market or the new low position, including the recent negative selling in Germany, the United States, and Mentougou. It can be said that the current sentiment in the currency circle has reached a low point, and the profit effect of the primary and secondary markets is very poor.

I have talked about my views on the market before. There is no market that has been rising all the time, nor has there been a market that has been falling all the time. It went sideways in June, cleared leverage in July, and gradually released good news in August to start pulling up the market. It took off in September. In my opinion, this cycle law may be advanced. The market will naturally pull up when it is clean and the car is light.

Remember the current negatives and don't forget the subsequent positives. Ethereum ETF will be launched on the 15th at the latest. If it passes today, it will go through the final review process. It has basically been approved. There is also a one-year interest rate cut, the US election, and Bitcoin funds. All kinds of long-term positives

In fact, the current position is close to the point where it can't fall any further. Why does it maintain a volatile + induce more declines? It's nothing more than absorbing chips to prepare for the subsequent pull-up. Everyone can buy low-priced chips, so why not? As long as there is a positive release in the bull market, funds will enter the market. Ethereum ETF may be the detonation point, or it may be the starting point

#eth

The German government address transferred 1,000 BTC, equivalent to about 55.76 million US dollars. Be careful of selling pressure (balance 38.826K BTC). Thanks to the German government for letting me buy cheap Bitcoin

Germany transfer address:
https://platform.arkhamintelligence.com/explorer/entity/germany…

#BTC

Don't guess the bottom easily at the current position. The German police's BTC sales are currently only 10,000, with hundreds and thousands each time, and more than 40,000 are waiting to be sold. Mentougou still has 140,000 BTC, which are currently transferred in batches and sold irregularly. These are a sword hanging over the head of the currency circle.

The unemployment rate is 4.1%, and the non-agricultural is 20.6. The neutral result has little impact on the market. The current Mentougou impact is far greater than the Fed's interest rate cut expectations. Remember the continuity of the market, and remember that it is mainly short before it is implemented.

The advice I can give you now is that there is no risk of liquidation in the spot. If you want to buy the bottom, you can wait until it is below 52,000, and then go with the trend to do contracts after the market picks up. If the second phase of Mentougou compensation begins, the news will definitely continue to fall. If you don't understand how much selling pressure there is, refer to the last Grayscale crash.

It has no significant effect in the short term technology. The distribution of chips is relatively important for the pure market crash. The long orders are liquidated at 52000 below the liquidation chart. 51500 is the price in the period with the highest trading volume after consolidation. There are a lot of chips in the middle, and the previous low can be stepped back.

It is recommended to refer to the 56000 pressure level for intraday operations. This is also the position of the support and resistance conversion. The short-term support level can be placed at 52500 and 50000. It is still the same view. Before the implementation of things like Germany, miners, the United States, and Mentougou, long orders can only do short-term small rebounds. The main direction is empty.
#BTC

BTC challenged 63800 and then made a false breakthrough. The large level returned to the downward trend as last time. The weekly and monthly lines trended downward. The daily line returned to the downward trend after the false breakthrough of the last trend line.

The long-short ratio also reached 4:2. There was little liquidity left below the liquidation chart. The liquidation intensity was 1:10. The main reason for this round was the selling pressure caused by the superposition of Germany, the United States, Kuanggong, and Mentougou. Germany had 40,000, Kuanggong had 50,000, and Mentougou had 140,000, measured in Bitcoin.
In theory, the S&P and Nasdaq rose, and the US dollar The decline of the index should be able to drive the rise of the cryptocurrency market, indicating that this round of decline is intentional. Institutions and dealers want to absorb funds in advance. The premium of BTC is too high, and the interest rate cut node is approaching, so they will pick up low-priced chips after the price drops to a certain level.

The pressure level during the day can refer to around 58,000. At present, the volume continues to decline, and the strength is still very weak. During the decline, if you pay attention to the continued trend after the volume K-line entry, the entry position of long orders is recommended to be below 56,000, and the medium-term support is 53,000.
#BTC

Ethereum needs to be focused on:

There are several reasons. First, Ethereum has not broken a new high this year. Second, the correction shown in the chart is very healthy. It hit the Fibonacci 0.618 position accurately and then quickly recovered. The overall market has a strong consensus on the price of Ethereum.

Although the Ethereum ETF has been postponed recently, the market expects the SEC to pass. The main players are now in the stage of increasing their holdings, including Justin Sun. From the last decline, we can see that the lowest price was only 3200, and there was no large-scale selling. Mt. Gox affected Bitcoin, and Ethereum led the decline.

In the short term, it is also a retracement to 3450 after the breakthrough. This position is also a short-term resistance and support exchange position. Ethereum below 3400 can be deployed. After passing, there is a high probability that there will be a rebound like 5.20.

The daily line has a long upper shadow cross star, and the trading volume has increased but the price has not followed. This is favorable for the bulls in the past few days. These days are also the first time that a large positive line has appeared since mid-June. The 10-day moving average and the 5-day moving average have turned upward, which is more favorable for the bulls.

The on-chain data also shows that in the range of 61000-62600, there are 237,000 addresses buying, and the ETF has also been in a net inflow state since the 25th. If you observe carefully, you will find that Bitcoin is now equivalent to a branch of the US stock market. The net outflow of the ETF means a fall, and the inflow means an increase.

For intraday operations, you can refer to the short-term support of 61800-62200. The support at 62500 has completed the support-resistance conversion. The resistance level still refers to the range of 64000-65000. The overall market still maintains a rebound. Don't be overly bullish. Treat it with a shock rebound idea in the short term.

#BTC

The holiday market is boring. The Bollinger Bands on the hourly chart narrowed yesterday morning, and the price fluctuation range gradually increased. There was a small pull-up in the afternoon, but the market is still in the consolidation stage. The opportunity to choose the direction needs to wait for the situation on Monday.

The liquidation chart shows that the cluster near the short position of this afternoon's pull-up has also been knocked down, and many short orders have been withdrawn. Today's weekly and monthly closings and the opening of the US stock market may lead to a double kill of long and short positions. In addition, the Ethereum ETF has been postponed and may be listed on the Nasdaq in mid-July. The postponement will not have a big impact and will increase the speculation space for the market.

There are only two ways to go in the future. The next step is to hit the position near 55,000 and then start to be bullish. Second, take a long low-level adjustment, repeatedly test the support to cheat the chips and bring them up in one stroke. It should be noted that the market in the past two weeks has been adjusted with shrinking volume on weekends. It fell on Monday. Those who have orders in hand need to pay attention to risk control

In the absence of negative news, it is difficult for Bitcoin to fall sharply in a short period of time. Minor adjustments are all to repair the market. The current prices are far away from the channel state. In addition, the weekend starts today, and the probability of reversal in a short period of time will not be too great. Overall, Bitcoin is still oscillating around the 60,000-62,500 range mentioned many times. The liquidity above is around 63,000. Even if it does not reverse, it is likely to clear a wave of shorts and hunt for liquidity. If it can break through in large volume, then the market may reverse and start a new trend. Then we will make adjustments. In terms of operation, it stands firm at 62,000 in 4 hours and chases more with the target near 63,000. The intraday support can refer to around 61,200. You can directly operate at low prices here, and the target can be set at the high point of 62,500.

Ethereum ETF will still be hyped up, the time to buy is coming soon! The sharp drop last week has made Ethereum adjust moderately, and the Ethereum series has basically returned to the starting point of the rise when the Ethereum ETF news was announced. What are you waiting for if you don’t enter the market this time? It will be very crazy when it is hyped up again!

There is a high probability that the CPI and interest rate data on Wednesday will have a market trend. In the short term, we can see that there is liquidity to be cleared below, and a retracement is likely to occur.

From the daily line, it just retraced to 0.618. In the near future, pay attention to the second retracement. As long as it does not break the new low and retrace to near 3600, you can add positions in batches. The short-term retracement space is limited. After adjusting and accumulating momentum, it is expected to hit the 4000 mark again
#ETF

The current direction of Bitcoin has been very clear. The analysis shows that the highest price is 70,500 and the highest is 71,800, with a space of 1,300 points. This wave of rise also verifies the secondary bullish market mentioned in the group. The price has not continued to break upward.

Looking at the picture, today's idea is that as long as it stays above 70,000, there will be opportunities to verify the support level below many times, including ETH. The overall market is still in the rising stage.
Hold it firmly before the trend changes. Yesterday, 71,700 touched the upper edge of the rising channel and began to fall back slightly. If you didn't get on the train, don't hesitate to get on the train if the retracement gives you a second chance to 70,500 again. Look forward to the TP of 72,000.