The upward elasticity of BTC is good, let's try a little more. However, if Trump does not show a easing attitude towards the tariff war this weekend, and countries strengthen their countermeasures, we should still pay attention to the possible crash of the US stock market next Monday, and be ready to hedge BTC at any time. I recommend everyone to learn about the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act during the Great Depression in the United States in the last century. In the short term, BTC has not followed the US stock market's plunge and even shows signs of rebound. In the long term, with the ongoing tariff and trade wars, the credit of the US dollar will gradually weaken and, in extreme cases, may even collapse. Therefore, as countries learn from the history that is happening, the next international reserve currency will definitely not be another credit currency. Perhaps BTC will have a strong competitive position as an international reserve.
It needs to be explained that, for me, the current risk-reward ratio of the market is not attractive. Aside from a small amount of long BNB, I have basically liquidated everything else, and the BTC positions shown in the asset portfolio are mostly used for arbitrage.
After BNB changed its automatic buyback model, is the current buyback too low? @Yi He As a BNB holder, I compared the buyback data of BNB and OKB. It is well known that due to a lack of public disclosure, it is difficult to estimate the income of major exchanges, which makes it hard to know whether their buyback commitments for platform tokens are fully met. According to public data, the destruction amount of OKB in the past year was nearly 60 million, and currently, there are about 160 million remaining, with a destruction rate of 27.3%. The destruction amount of BNB in the past year was about 7.5 million, and currently, there are about 146 million remaining, with a destruction rate of 4.89%. Of course, due to the different prices of the two, the different destruction rates can be understood. But looking at the most recent quarter, OKB destroyed 18 million, with a total value of about 900 million USD, while BNB destroyed 1.77 million, with a total value of about 1.07 billion USD. Whether from market share or industry position, OKX's revenue should be much lower than Binance's, yet the current buyback amount is close, which is somewhat incredible! BNB initially promised to use 20% of its revenue to buy back BNB, stopping after destroying 100 million, and later changed to an automatic buyback model; OKB promised to use 30% of its revenue to buy back OKB, with no buyback limit. From the model, it seems that OKB is more sincere? I don't quite understand why BNB would set a buyback limit, what is the motivation behind it? It is understandable that BNB adopts an automatic buyback to avoid the intention of insider trading. But now, with the significant difference in industry status between the two, and the buyback amounts of BNB and OKB being close, should we consider whether the parameters of BNB's automatic buyback model are unreasonable? Is it close to the standards that BNB initially promised? Should we consider increasing the buyback? At the current buyback speed of BNB, it is estimated that in about 5 years, the BNB buyback will terminate; should we consider the rationality of setting a buyback limit? It should be emphasized that I did not take into account BNB's launchpad and holder airdrops; in the past year, there has almost always been a return on investment exceeding 1% in each period, and there have been so many periods. If this part is included, BNB's return is also very high.
If you hold for the long term, it is best to use a delivery contract, as its overall long-term cost is the lowest; you can periodically roll over to the next month.
四方
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Brothers, I would like to ask If I want to take a long-term low-leverage long position, is it better to use leverage or open a contract? Will the leverage charge you a funding fee every day like a contract?
A-shares now also have a meme tendency. For example, previously there was speculation about Chuanda Zhisheng, the 'Oriental' concept, and digital trends. This time, with the Korean martial law farce, are they going to speculate on Han Jianhe Mountain?
1. Graham bottom-picked in 1931 after the stock market bubble burst in 1929, but ended up going bankrupt (reason for failure: bottom-picking)
2. Cao Renchao was bearish at 1,200 points before the Hong Kong stock market crash in 1972, and fell sharply after the Hong Kong stock market reached 1,773 points in 1973. It fell to 400 points in 1974, avoiding the big bear and gaining confidence. After the Hong Kong stock market fell to 290 points in July 1974, he thought it was time to bottom-pick. Hutchison Whampoa fell from 43 yuan in the stock market bubble in 1973 to 5.8 yuan. Cao Renchao bought all the stocks. As a result, the Hong Kong stock market fell to 150 points again in the next five months. Hutchison Whampoa fell to 1.1 yuan. (reason for failure: bottom-picking with all the stocks)
3. Fisher bottom-picked and bought what he thought were cheap stocks after the stock market bubble burst in 1929, but he didn't expect there would be hell, and he lost millions in a few days. (Reason for failure: bottom fishing)
4. The general manager of a fund management company in Shanghai entered the Taiwan stock market when it was over 1,000 points, and continued to reach 10,000 points. The 500,000 yuan she invested in the market grew to 80 million yuan. When it was 10,000 points, she sold all her stocks and had only cash. In the end, the Taiwan stock market rose to over 12,000 points, and the value increased by 160 times in more than three years, but the final outcome was still tragic. When the Taiwan stock market fell from 12,000 points to 7,000 points, it had fallen by more than 5,000 points. It should have rebounded, but she entered again. The stock index fell another 5,000 points, and she had to accept the loss and liquidate all her positions. Three years of wealth turned to ashes again. (Reason for failure: betting on a rebound, trading in waves)
Suing the SEC remains the fastest route to an ETH ETF
Binance News
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Grayscale believes spot Ethereum ETF will be approved in May
According to Odaily Planet Daily, despite recent news that the US SEC has “lack of contact” with applicants, Grayscale believes that the spot Ethereum ETF will be approved in May. Grayscale Chief Legal Officer Craig Salm posted on the was approved.” Salm explained that many common issues with the spot Ethereum ETF were “solved” in the months leading up to the spot Bitcoin ETF’s approval, such as details of the creation and redemption procedures, cash and physical models , asset protection, loss prevention and custody, etc. According to previous news, Grayscale Chief Legal Officer Craig Salm posted on the
"Kong Yiji" Kong Yiji is the only person who is bullish on $BTC in the long term and is short. He has a large position; his face is pale and pale, and there are often scars between the wrinkles; he has a messy gray beard. Although the clothes I wore were Archaeopteryx, they were dirty and worn. It seemed that they had not been mended or washed in more than ten years. When he talks to people, he always talks about FED interest rate cut options, teaching people half-understanding. Because his surname was Kong, others nicknamed him Kong Yiji based on the semi-understandable words "Trader Kong Yiji" in the portrait. As soon as Kong Yiji came to Twitter, all the long and Hodl people looked at him and laughed, and some shouted, "Kong Yiji, you have added a new liquidation short order to your position!" He did not answer, but said to the group, "Add two empty orders, there will be a handling fee." Then he paid nine cents. They deliberately shouted loudly again, "You must have secretly told your small group of people to short-sell again!" Kong Yiji opened his eyes wide and said, "How can you accuse someone of innocence out of thin air..." "What innocence? I saw it with my own eyes the day before yesterday. Your 44k is the last chance to escape, and 48k is the biggest top of the century." Kong Yiji blushed, and the veins on his forehead popped out, and argued, "Trader's short position liquidation cannot be considered liquidation... liquidation!... Can Trader's matter be considered an explosion?" There were words that were difficult to understand in succession, such as "Level by level", "Sooner or later the U.S. economy will collapse, and it is impossible for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates", etc., which caused everyone to burst into laughter: the store and outside were full of joy air. I heard people talking about it behind the scenes. It turned out that Short Yiji was also long, but he didn't hold on to it and missed last year's low point to buy. So the more he went short, the more he went short, and all the short orders were liquidated. Kong Yiji drank half a bowl of wine, and his flushed face gradually recovered. Someone else asked again, "Kong Yiji, do you really know how to trade? Do you really understand Macro?" Kong Yiji looked at the person who asked him, showing disdain. The air of argument. They then said, "How come you can't even get half of the market price?" Kong Yiji immediately looked depressed and uneasy, his face was covered with a layer of gray, and he said some words; this time it was all macro. The Fed's economy is going to collapse. You guys who buy ETFs are just fools. Some of you don't understand. At this time, everyone burst into laughter: the atmosphere inside and outside the store was full of joy.#BTC #Portal #pepe #DOGE #内容挖矿
The core of choosing DA is not cost, but safety. Although the cost of DA on ETH is high, its security is also much higher than others. If we consider the cost issue, then we simply don’t need DA and the cost is 0. Isn’t this the logic of the L1 public chain that has returned?
链捕手ChainCatcher
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Five factors of modular DA design at a glance: Celestia, Avail, and EigenDA - who is the winner?
Written by: hitesh.eth, crypto KOL
Compiled by: Felix, PANews
Arbitrum paid approximately $1,980/MB in DA fees last month. Manta, meanwhile, only pays $3.41/MB with Celestia DA. The modular DA layer can save a lot of gas fees for Rollups. Celestia, Avail or EigenDA... who will win the DA battle?
Why do you need modular DA?
In a monolithic blockchain like Ethereum, data availability (DA) is usually part of the design of a single system, and when block space utilization is high, data availability will become a bottleneck limiting its development. The higher the gas fee, the worse the user experience.
Respect the market and always leave yourself an escape route
海绵进化论
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How do top players go bankrupt in the stock market?
1. Graham bought the bottom in 1931 after the stock market bubble burst in 1929, and ended up bankrupt. (Cause of failure: bargain hunting)
2. The famous economist Fisher had foreseen the bursting of the stock market bubble in 1929, but he still bought stocks he thought were cheap. As a result, he lost millions of dollars in a few days and was left penniless. (Reason for failure: Believing that excellent companies can be bought through cycles regardless of price)
3. Before 1987, Soros believed that the Japanese stock market had a huge bubble and shorted Japanese stocks. The result was a disastrous failure. The Japanese stock market reached a bullish stage in 1989. Soros preached in the Wall Street Review that the U.S. stock market would be strong and the Japanese stock market would collapse, but the result was exactly the opposite: the U.S. stock market collapsed, but the Japanese stock market was strong. Soros's Quantum Fund lost 32% that year, but Yifu Kong, who opposed him, made the Cole Fund profit 70%. This is an amazing number, because almost all hedge funds lost money that year. In 1999, I was not optimistic about technology stocks, but after 2000, I used Quantum Fund to buy technology stocks at high prices, and ended up with big losses. (Cause of failure: speculation, betting)
4. The general manager of a fund management company in Shanghai initially entered the stock market at more than 1,000 points in Taiwan, China, and reached 10,000 points. The capital of 500,000 entered the market was rolled up to 80 million. In fact, she sold the stock at 10,000 points. Throw it all away, and all you have in your hand is cash. Because she was worried that the stock market was too crazy, she was relatively rational. In the end, the Taiwan stock market surged to over 12,000 points, increasing 160 times in more than three years. However, the final outcome was still tragic. The Taiwan stock market fell from 12,000 points to At 7,000 points, it had already fallen by more than 5,000 points. It was supposed to rebound. She went in again, and the stock index dropped another 5,000 points. She had to take all the losses and liquidate her position, and all her wealth for three years was reduced to ashes. (Reason for failure: Bo rebounded, doing swings)
The reason, objectively speaking, is that she is still very smart, but why did she enter the market again later? At that time, she thought she was a stock god and could control the stock market, and the stock market was just her super cash machine. Here, I advise everyone that the stock market is good now, and it may be better in the future, but how to look at the stock market soberly and how to look at yourself is an eternal topic. (Reason for failure: overestimating yourself)
5. There is a well-known stock commentator in Hong Kong named Cao Renchao. He was bearish at 1,200 points before the Hong Kong stock market crash in 1972, and was almost fired from the company. In 1973, the Hong Kong stock market fell sharply after reaching 1,773 points. By 1974, it fell to 400 points. Lao Cao escaped the big bear and was a hundred times more confident. In July 1974, after the Hong Kong stock market fell to 290 points, I thought I could catch the bottom, so I spent all my savings of HK$500,000 on Hutchison Matheson & Co. The blue-chip stock fell from 43 yuan to 5.8 yuan in the stock market bubble in 1973. Lao Cao bought the entire position. As a result, five months later, the Hong Kong stock market fell to 150 points again. Hutchison Matheson fell to $1.1. Lao Cao finally cut his position and lost more than 80%.
(Reason for failure: full position trading)
6. Xu Xingbo is nearly fifty years old and is an ordinary employee of a medicinal materials company in Nanjing. In 1992, my country's securities trading market was still in its infancy, and many units and individuals were looking for a pot of gold in this field. Xu Xingbo did find his first pot of gold here. With his rich investment experience, no matter how the stock market rises or falls, he can always smell the market trends in time and make adjustments in advance to allow his investment to grow steadily. In October 2001, the situation took a turn for the worse, but he still believed that he could survive the trough as before and accepted more than 1 million yuan in entrusted funds. In June 2005, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index fell below the 1,000-point mark, returning to 13 years ago overnight. The property that Xu Xingbo and his friends entrusted to him for stock trading was completely lost in this crash. (Reason for failure: Increase leverage, borrow money to invest)
Sequencer decentralization problem, 7-day challenge failure to implement, Prover system hardware acceleration problem, EVM competiable equivalence problem, asset cross-chain escape hatch problem, Token economic model cannot empower governance token problem, native DeFi development difficulty problem, etc. wait. Everyone is talking about L2, ETH L2, and BTC L2. Do you understand the above-mentioned issues of L2? #ARB #OP #Manta #STX #RIF
BlockBeats news, on January 16, according to official news, the instant messaging application LINE launched the blockchain project Finschia and the Korean public chain Klaytn jointly proposed a mainnet merger. The integrated blockchain will combine Ethereum (EVM) and Cosmos ( CosmWasm) technology, providing a network with compatibility and high performance.
A new integrated token (tentatively named PDT) will be issued after the mainnet merger, and holders of FNSA and KLAY will be able to claim this new token. The merger proposes a completely new token economic model. Approximately 24% of the existing issuance will be burned, and unissued supply will be permanently removed. The integrated inflation rate will be reduced to 5.2%, and a new burn model will be introduced to maintain growth.
If the proposal is approved, the plan is to establish an integrated foundation, launch new token exchanges, complete governance integration, and launch new business plans within the second quarter. #klay