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$BTC Update
Key Zones:
- Immediate Resistance Zone: 107,500 - 108,650 (dMonth VAH to pMonth VAH) - critical breakout zone for bullish continuation.
- Immediate Support Zone: 105,150 - 105,670 (30D VWAP and 16D CVAH) - primary line in the sand, a breakdown could trigger downside momentum.
- Strong Lower Support Zone: 104,000 - 102,800 (pMonth VWAP to dMonth VAL) - robust buying interest expected here.
Trading Hypotheses:
Bullish: Clear acceptance above 108,650 targets psychological and liquidity-rich zones above.
Bearish: Loss of 30D VWAP (~105,150) triggers a corrective pullback towards lower supports.
Summary:
Maintain a neutral-to-bullish bias while price holds above the 30D VWAP (105,150). Watch carefully for volatility expansion upon breaking either side of the current range.
Key Zones:
- Immediate Resistance Zone: 107,500 - 108,650 (dMonth VAH to pMonth VAH) - critical breakout zone for bullish continuation.
- Immediate Support Zone: 105,150 - 105,670 (30D VWAP and 16D CVAH) - primary line in the sand, a breakdown could trigger downside momentum.
- Strong Lower Support Zone: 104,000 - 102,800 (pMonth VWAP to dMonth VAL) - robust buying interest expected here.
Trading Hypotheses:
Bullish: Clear acceptance above 108,650 targets psychological and liquidity-rich zones above.
Bearish: Loss of 30D VWAP (~105,150) triggers a corrective pullback towards lower supports.
Summary:
Maintain a neutral-to-bullish bias while price holds above the 30D VWAP (105,150). Watch carefully for volatility expansion upon breaking either side of the current range.
Spot CVD ↑ + Delta Spot ↑ + Price ↓
- Buyers aggressive, but getting absorbed
- Likely trapped longs
- Sign of sell-side strength (limit asks)
- Bearish setup - fade bounce, short into weakness
- Buyers aggressive, but getting absorbed
- Likely trapped longs
- Sign of sell-side strength (limit asks)
- Bearish setup - fade bounce, short into weakness
Why did the price drop?
Analyzing the spot order book and CVD on @kiyotaka_ai, we can observe that during the recent price rise to 107,700, the spot CVD did not increase, indicating that new buy orders were fully absorbed by sellers.
Additionally, examining Open Interest, we see it did not rise alongside the price. Instead, Open Interest decreased, signaling the closure of positions, a bearish indicator suggesting the move was primarily a short squeeze rather than a genuine bullish trend.
Additionally, a strong wall of limit orders at 108k was clearly visible. All these factors combined indicated an impending price drop.
Analyzing the spot order book and CVD on @kiyotaka_ai, we can observe that during the recent price rise to 107,700, the spot CVD did not increase, indicating that new buy orders were fully absorbed by sellers.
Additionally, examining Open Interest, we see it did not rise alongside the price. Instead, Open Interest decreased, signaling the closure of positions, a bearish indicator suggesting the move was primarily a short squeeze rather than a genuine bullish trend.
Additionally, a strong wall of limit orders at 108k was clearly visible. All these factors combined indicated an impending price drop.
$HYPE Update
Currently trading slightly above key confluent VWAP levels (30D VWAP at 37.53 and pWeek VWAP at 37.29), establishing short-term bullish momentum.
Bullish Scenario:
Maintain support above the 30D and pWeek VWAP (37.3–37.5) for continuation upward targeting 38.17 (dQuarter VAH) and potentially higher toward monthly extremes (~40).
Bearish Scenario:
Rejection back below 37.3 opens downside toward 7D VWAP at 36.17 and possibly lower toward weekly value area lows around 35.2–35.3.
Trade Plan:
Maintain long bias above 37.3, targeting 38.17 initially.
Short bias resumes below VWAP confluence at 37.3, targeting 36.17.
Currently trading slightly above key confluent VWAP levels (30D VWAP at 37.53 and pWeek VWAP at 37.29), establishing short-term bullish momentum.
Bullish Scenario:
Maintain support above the 30D and pWeek VWAP (37.3–37.5) for continuation upward targeting 38.17 (dQuarter VAH) and potentially higher toward monthly extremes (~40).
Bearish Scenario:
Rejection back below 37.3 opens downside toward 7D VWAP at 36.17 and possibly lower toward weekly value area lows around 35.2–35.3.
Trade Plan:
Maintain long bias above 37.3, targeting 38.17 initially.
Short bias resumes below VWAP confluence at 37.3, targeting 36.17.
altszn is coming 👀
$SOL Update
Solana reclaimed key VWAP levels, notably breaking above the pivotal 90D rolling VWAP at 143.5, shifting short-term momentum bullish.
Bullish Scenario:
Maintain support at 90D VWAP (143.5); continuation to 149.6 (dMonth VWAP) and potentially toward the 152.1–154 (pWeek VAH/pYear VWAP) resistance zone.
Bearish Scenario:
Loss of 90D VWAP likely results in a pullback toward 140.5 (dMonth VAL) and subsequently 138.5 (7D VWAP).
Trade Plan:
Long bias if 143.5 holds, targeting higher resistance.
Flip short on clear rejection above 149.6–152.1.
Solana reclaimed key VWAP levels, notably breaking above the pivotal 90D rolling VWAP at 143.5, shifting short-term momentum bullish.
Bullish Scenario:
Maintain support at 90D VWAP (143.5); continuation to 149.6 (dMonth VWAP) and potentially toward the 152.1–154 (pWeek VAH/pYear VWAP) resistance zone.
Bearish Scenario:
Loss of 90D VWAP likely results in a pullback toward 140.5 (dMonth VAL) and subsequently 138.5 (7D VWAP).
Trade Plan:
Long bias if 143.5 holds, targeting higher resistance.
Flip short on clear rejection above 149.6–152.1.
$BTC Update
$BTC has aggressively reclaimed the key levels at 7D and 30D VWAP (102.8k and 104.4k, respectively). Immediate bullish continuation hinges on acceptance above the 30D VWAP (104.4k) towards the next key resistance at 16-day CVAH (105.7k).
Bullish scenario:
Consolidation and acceptance above 30D VWAP opens targets toward 106.3k (previous Weekly VAH), with potential rotation to the 4-day CVAH at 108.6k.
Bearish scenario:
Failure to hold above 104.0k (pMonth VWAP) risks retesting 102.8k (7D VWAP) and lower to 101.8k (16-day CVAL).
Trade Plan:
Long bias if 30D VWAP holds as support with confirmation of acceptance.
Short opportunities upon failed break above 105.7k.
$BTC has aggressively reclaimed the key levels at 7D and 30D VWAP (102.8k and 104.4k, respectively). Immediate bullish continuation hinges on acceptance above the 30D VWAP (104.4k) towards the next key resistance at 16-day CVAH (105.7k).
Bullish scenario:
Consolidation and acceptance above 30D VWAP opens targets toward 106.3k (previous Weekly VAH), with potential rotation to the 4-day CVAH at 108.6k.
Bearish scenario:
Failure to hold above 104.0k (pMonth VWAP) risks retesting 102.8k (7D VWAP) and lower to 101.8k (16-day CVAL).
Trade Plan:
Long bias if 30D VWAP holds as support with confirmation of acceptance.
Short opportunities upon failed break above 105.7k.
don't fade VWAP levels, anon
If this level is not breached upon retest, the price will again fall below 102k. Conversely, if broken upwards, the next target will be 104k.
If this level is not breached upon retest, the price will again fall below 102k. Conversely, if broken upwards, the next target will be 104k.
$SOL Update
Solana just saw a sharp rejection at the confluence of dWeek VWAP (134.2) and prior weekly VAL (134.9), signaling aggressive selling pressure. For bullish momentum to resume, price must swiftly reclaim this zone and consolidate above 135.4 (dWeek VAH). Otherwise, expect further downside into the previous low-volume node around 130 and potentially a sweep of lows near 128 or 126.8.
Short bias below 134.2 VWAP, bullish scenarios activate strictly upon clear acceptance back above 135.4
Solana just saw a sharp rejection at the confluence of dWeek VWAP (134.2) and prior weekly VAL (134.9), signaling aggressive selling pressure. For bullish momentum to resume, price must swiftly reclaim this zone and consolidate above 135.4 (dWeek VAH). Otherwise, expect further downside into the previous low-volume node around 130 and potentially a sweep of lows near 128 or 126.8.
Short bias below 134.2 VWAP, bullish scenarios activate strictly upon clear acceptance back above 135.4
BTC LTF Update
$BTC recovered from the 99.4K monthly VAL and is now pressing into a dense resistance zone at 101.7K–101.9K (dWeek VAH, 16day CVAL). Acceptance above this zone could unlock a move to 103.9K–104K (pMonth VWAP + dYear VAH), but until then, risk of lower highs remains.
Key levels and structure:
Support: 101K (pQuarter VAH), 99.4K (pMonth VAL)
Resistance: 101.9K → 103.9K → 105.7K (macro pivot)
Bias: Still neutral. Bulls need to reclaim and hold above 104K to reverse the recent downtrend. Failure to hold 101K = local exhaustion - potential revisit of 99K or even 98K. Watch for selling tails near 104K.
$BTC recovered from the 99.4K monthly VAL and is now pressing into a dense resistance zone at 101.7K–101.9K (dWeek VAH, 16day CVAL). Acceptance above this zone could unlock a move to 103.9K–104K (pMonth VWAP + dYear VAH), but until then, risk of lower highs remains.
Key levels and structure:
Support: 101K (pQuarter VAH), 99.4K (pMonth VAL)
Resistance: 101.9K → 103.9K → 105.7K (macro pivot)
Bias: Still neutral. Bulls need to reclaim and hold above 104K to reverse the recent downtrend. Failure to hold 101K = local exhaustion - potential revisit of 99K or even 98K. Watch for selling tails near 104K.
$BTC HTF
$BTC broke cleanly below both 7D and 30D VWAPs (105k–106.3k zone), confirming a decisive shift in directional bias. This zone now acts as supply. Price is trending toward the 90D VWAP at 94.7k - next major structural test. Note that this level coincides with previous high-volume consolidation from late March–April, making it both a VWAP and price memory cluster.
The red arrow marks the failed breakout above the 105k level, now clearly acting as resistance. Since then, daily closes have accelerated to the downside, with declining structure and lower highs.
The green triangles below mark the prior higher low base - bulls need to hold this region around 90k–92k or risk a move toward the 365D VWAP at 82.2k.
Bias: Bearish below 7D/30D VWAPs.
Next key levels:
Support: 94.7k (90D VWAP), 90.5k–91.5k (volume base), 82.2k (365D VWAP)
Resistance: 100k, 105k (7D VWAP), 106.3k (30D VWAP)
Until bulls reclaim the 105k–106k band, rallies are likely to be sold.
$BTC broke cleanly below both 7D and 30D VWAPs (105k–106.3k zone), confirming a decisive shift in directional bias. This zone now acts as supply. Price is trending toward the 90D VWAP at 94.7k - next major structural test. Note that this level coincides with previous high-volume consolidation from late March–April, making it both a VWAP and price memory cluster.
The red arrow marks the failed breakout above the 105k level, now clearly acting as resistance. Since then, daily closes have accelerated to the downside, with declining structure and lower highs.
The green triangles below mark the prior higher low base - bulls need to hold this region around 90k–92k or risk a move toward the 365D VWAP at 82.2k.
Bias: Bearish below 7D/30D VWAPs.
Next key levels:
Support: 94.7k (90D VWAP), 90.5k–91.5k (volume base), 82.2k (365D VWAP)
Resistance: 100k, 105k (7D VWAP), 106.3k (30D VWAP)
Until bulls reclaim the 105k–106k band, rallies are likely to be sold.
$HYPE LTF Update
HYPE showing signs of local recovery off 33.6 support (dWeek VAL). Price is now testing the underside of the dMonth VAL at 34.27 reclaim here opens room toward 35.29 (pMonth VAH).
That zone (35.3–35.8) remains key resistance. It's the lower boundary of the major supply cluster defined by the 30D/7D VWAPs and dMonth VWAP near 37.5–37.7. No structural reversal without reclaiming that zone.
In the short term:
Holding above 33.6 = bias up toward 35.3–35.8.
Rejection below 34.3 = likely chop or another test of 32.
Still corrective unless VWAPs are reclaimed.
HYPE showing signs of local recovery off 33.6 support (dWeek VAL). Price is now testing the underside of the dMonth VAL at 34.27 reclaim here opens room toward 35.29 (pMonth VAH).
That zone (35.3–35.8) remains key resistance. It's the lower boundary of the major supply cluster defined by the 30D/7D VWAPs and dMonth VWAP near 37.5–37.7. No structural reversal without reclaiming that zone.
In the short term:
Holding above 33.6 = bias up toward 35.3–35.8.
Rejection below 34.3 = likely chop or another test of 32.
Still corrective unless VWAPs are reclaimed.
Just take a look at this screenshot and answer the question: which token has been leading among many others over the past few months?
The answer is obvious, just buy $HYPE on every market dip, and you'll be rewarded by the end of the year.
Hyperliquid.
The answer is obvious, just buy $HYPE on every market dip, and you'll be rewarded by the end of the year.
Hyperliquid.
To become a successful on-chain trader, you need to track the best!
My database includes 200 addresses of top Smart Money traders ranked by PnL and Win Rate, curated via Nansen. This address base is continuously updated, ensuring you always receive the highest quality alerts.
My database includes 200 addresses of top Smart Money traders ranked by PnL and Win Rate, curated via Nansen. This address base is continuously updated, ensuring you always receive the highest quality alerts.
To become a successful on-chain trader, you need to track the best!
My database includes 200 addresses of top Smart Money traders ranked by PnL and Win Rate, curated via Nansen. This address base is continuously updated, ensuring you always receive the highest quality alerts.
In my private channel, you’ll see early buys of newly launched tokens, with alerts triggered by tx from $500K. This way, you will never miss your chance at a potential x100 return. Every cult token appeared first in my channel, even Fartcoin lol 😅
$GOR
First Alert: $1.76M
Current MC: $36.5M
$VIBE
First Alert: $1.97M
Current MC: $3.33M ($12M ATH)
$LAUNCHCOIN
First Alert: $1.5M
Current MC: $85M ($333M ATH)
$KLED
First Alert: 1.78M
Current MC: 9M ($35M ATH)
✅ To get access, please fill out the Google Form:
My database includes 200 addresses of top Smart Money traders ranked by PnL and Win Rate, curated via Nansen. This address base is continuously updated, ensuring you always receive the highest quality alerts.
In my private channel, you’ll see early buys of newly launched tokens, with alerts triggered by tx from $500K. This way, you will never miss your chance at a potential x100 return. Every cult token appeared first in my channel, even Fartcoin lol 😅
$GOR
First Alert: $1.76M
Current MC: $36.5M
$VIBE
First Alert: $1.97M
Current MC: $3.33M ($12M ATH)
$LAUNCHCOIN
First Alert: $1.5M
Current MC: $85M ($333M ATH)
$KLED
First Alert: 1.78M
Current MC: 9M ($35M ATH)
✅ To get access, please fill out the Google Form:
Top Onchain Tokens Among Smart Money
1. $VIBE
2. $GOR
3. $LAUNCHCOIN
These three tokens have the highest netflow over the past 7 days. However, despite their market caps, $VIBE and $GOR show the largest trading volumes. Meanwhile, @launchcoin has lost 46% of its market cap this week, accompanied by very low trading volume.
data: @nansen_ai
1. $VIBE
2. $GOR
3. $LAUNCHCOIN
These three tokens have the highest netflow over the past 7 days. However, despite their market caps, $VIBE and $GOR show the largest trading volumes. Meanwhile, @launchcoin has lost 46% of its market cap this week, accompanied by very low trading volume.
data: @nansen_ai
AI tokens continue to dominate 🔥
The trend is clear: the AI sector confidently maintains leadership with a market share exceeding 34%, significantly ahead of even DeFi (19%). Among standouts is $KAITO, surging 22%.
While other sectors attempt to catch up, the market is betting on AI.
data: @KaitoAI
The trend is clear: the AI sector confidently maintains leadership with a market share exceeding 34%, significantly ahead of even DeFi (19%). Among standouts is $KAITO, surging 22%.
While other sectors attempt to catch up, the market is betting on AI.
data: @KaitoAI
$ENA 1D
ENA is in a clean HTF downtrend with full rejection from the 30D / 90D / pMonth VWAP cluster (0.33–0.34). Price is now trading well below all rolling VWAPs, hugging the dMonth VAL (0.28) and threatening continuation into yearly value.
Structure:
Downtrend confirmed: Lower highs + rejection from monthly VWAPs
Current price: 0.25 (below all HTF VWAPs)
Key Levels:
Resistance:
• 0.28 – dMonth VAL
• 0.31 – dMonth VWAP
• 0.33–0.33 – pMonth VAL / dMonth VAH
Support:
• 0.26 – dYear VAL
• Breakdown void below - no structural HTF support until sub-0.23
Outlook:
Unless buyers reclaim 0.29–0.31, trend remains heavy. A sustained break under 0.26 likely opens the door to price discovery to the downside. Short-term bounces are possible, but structure remains biased toward weakness.
Until ENA regains pMonth VWAP (0.37), it's a sell-the-rip regime.
ENA is in a clean HTF downtrend with full rejection from the 30D / 90D / pMonth VWAP cluster (0.33–0.34). Price is now trading well below all rolling VWAPs, hugging the dMonth VAL (0.28) and threatening continuation into yearly value.
Structure:
Downtrend confirmed: Lower highs + rejection from monthly VWAPs
Current price: 0.25 (below all HTF VWAPs)
Key Levels:
Resistance:
• 0.28 – dMonth VAL
• 0.31 – dMonth VWAP
• 0.33–0.33 – pMonth VAL / dMonth VAH
Support:
• 0.26 – dYear VAL
• Breakdown void below - no structural HTF support until sub-0.23
Outlook:
Unless buyers reclaim 0.29–0.31, trend remains heavy. A sustained break under 0.26 likely opens the door to price discovery to the downside. Short-term bounces are possible, but structure remains biased toward weakness.
Until ENA regains pMonth VWAP (0.37), it's a sell-the-rip regime.
$BTC 1D
BTC continues to trade inside the broader monthly value area between $99,3K–108,6K, failing to establish any HTF acceptance outside of it. The recent rejection from the 105.5–106.5K VWAP cluster reinforces the idea of a capped market.
Key Zones:
Resistance: 104,015 (pMonth VWAP), 105,700 (16D CVAH), 106,675–107,315 (VWAP cluster), 108,650 (pMonth VAH)
Support: 103,576 (current price), 101,840 (16D CVAL), 101,055 (pQuarter VAH), 99,395 (pMonth VAL)
Scenario Path:
Bullish case: $BTC needs to reclaim 104–105.7K on a closing basis to invalidate the breakdown and aim for 107.3K and 108.6K. Without reclaim, buyers remain trapped under value.
Bearish case: Breakdown below 103.5K opens the door to a test of 101.8K → 99.4K, with momentum likely accelerating into the lower end of the range.
BTC continues to trade inside the broader monthly value area between $99,3K–108,6K, failing to establish any HTF acceptance outside of it. The recent rejection from the 105.5–106.5K VWAP cluster reinforces the idea of a capped market.
Key Zones:
Resistance: 104,015 (pMonth VWAP), 105,700 (16D CVAH), 106,675–107,315 (VWAP cluster), 108,650 (pMonth VAH)
Support: 103,576 (current price), 101,840 (16D CVAL), 101,055 (pQuarter VAH), 99,395 (pMonth VAL)
Scenario Path:
Bullish case: $BTC needs to reclaim 104–105.7K on a closing basis to invalidate the breakdown and aim for 107.3K and 108.6K. Without reclaim, buyers remain trapped under value.
Bearish case: Breakdown below 103.5K opens the door to a test of 101.8K → 99.4K, with momentum likely accelerating into the lower end of the range.
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