0xMasood

An on-chain investigation proved that the Bybit hack earlier today was carried out by the infamous North Korean Lazarus Group. As previous incidents showed, it will be nearly impossible to recover funds from these hackers.

Arkham Intelligence offered a bounty for strong evidence, which ZachXBT was able to provide. Apparently, Lazarus hackers used the same wallets today as in last month’s Phemex hack.

Bybit Becomes the Biggest Crypto Target for Lazarus

Bybit suffered a $1.5 billion security breach today, potentially the largest crypto hack of all time. Arkham Intelligence offered a bounty to uncover the actors behind this breach, and ZachXBT found significant evidence linking the attack to North Korea’s infamous Lazarus Group.

“At 19:09 UTC today, ZachXBT submitted definitive proof that this attack on Bybit was performed by the Lazarus Group. His submission included a detailed analysis of test transactions and connected wallets used ahead of the exploit, as well as multiple forensics graphs and timing analyses. The submission has been shared with the Bybit team,” Arkham claimed.

ZachXBT, one of the crypto community’s most famous investigators, has a lot of experience tracking the Lazarus Group. This North Korean hacker collective was responsible for nearly $1 billion worth of stolen funds last year.

Specifically, he claimed that wallets from the Bybit hack were connected to the Phemex breach in January.

At the time, this earlier breach was not clearly recognizable as Lazarus’ handiwork, but a more reliable paper trail has since been established. Now that a chain of proof exists, it must come as a relief to the community.

Immediately after the hack, some users baselessly accused Pi Network’s supporters of the crime because Bybit’s CEO criticized the project.

Bybit users have at least gotten some clarity, but it will be difficult to directly recover stolen funds from the hack. ZachXBT received Arkham tokens worth around $30,000 for this discovery. Since the attack is seemingly backed by North Korea’s nation-state actors, recovering the stolen funds would be extremely difficult.

However, Bybit hack victims at least get some peace of mind, which will hopefully prevent further false accusations from spreading.

The exchange’s CEO claims that all users will be reimbursed through existing reserves, but a solid plan hasn’t been released yet. For now, the wounds are still very fresh.

The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) is set to auction $6.5 billion worth of Bitcoin (BTC) seized from Silk Road. This sale, part of the government’s $18.5 billion BTC reserves, has raised concerns about its potential impact on Bitcoin's price, especially ahead of Donald Trump’s presidency.What’s Driving the Sale?A Politically Motivated Move?As of Jan. 9, the U.S. government holds 198,000 BTC, valued at $18.5 billion, according to Arkham Intelligence. Analysts speculate that the Biden administration may sell all government-held Bitcoin before leaving office, potentially as a political maneuver.Fox Business contributor Jason Williams alleged the Biden administration's sell-off could aim to lower Bitcoin's price during a bull market, forcing the incoming Trump administration to buy back at higher prices. “This is a blatant perversion of the government’s fiduciary responsibility,” Williams stated, pointing out the disparity between current sales at $94,000 per BTC and potential future buybacks.Will the Sell-Off Crash Bitcoin Prices?Historical Trends Provide ReassuranceBitcoin’s (BTC) price dipped 2.78% after the court ruling approving the $6.5 billion auction. However, historical data shows that U.S. government Bitcoin (BTC) auctions have had minimal long-term impact on BTC prices.Between March 2023 and January 2025, the U.S. government reduced its holdings by 38,000 BTC, valued at approximately $3.54 billion. Despite this sell-off, Bitcoin's price surged 375% during the same period, driven by rising demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs and optimism over Trump’s pro-Bitcoin policies.Auction Mechanisms Minimize Market ImpactGlassnode co-founders Jan Happel and Yann Allemann clarified that the DOJ does not sell Bitcoin directly on cryptocurrency exchanges. Instead, the U.S. Marshals Service conducts public auctions, minimizing market disruption by avoiding large-scale sell-offs on exchanges.Missed Profits and Market AbsorptionGovernment's Unrealized GainsThe U.S. government has previously sold 195,092 BTC for $366.5 million, an amount that would now be worth approximately $18.25 billion. This represents a missed opportunity of nearly $17.9 billion, highlighting the steep cost of early liquidations.Market ResilienceKi Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, reassured investors, stating:“Last year, $379 billion entered the market based on realized cap—roughly $1 billion per day. The U.S. government selling $6.5 billion could be absorbed in just a week. Do not panic.”Outlook for BitcoinWhile the DOJ’s planned Bitcoin auction may introduce short-term volatility, historical patterns and auction mechanisms suggest that Bitcoin’s price can recover quickly. The broader market remains optimistic, fueled by strong demand and Trump’s commitment to integrating Bitcoin into U.S. strategic reserves.