——Simplicity is the key! It is so easy to make money in the financial market, but the reality is that 90% of investors lose money.

(There are many pitfalls that lead to losses, and I will sort them out one by one in the next article.) This article simply shares a way to make money easily.

【Large Cycle Strategy】

The so-called big cycle strategy is to make investment decisions based on the economic (monetary) cycle.

for example,

(1) What time is it now? — The Fed is in the interest rate hike cycle, currently 5% to 5.25%. The Fed raised the deposit rate from 0 to 5% in just over a year, so we see that the prices of many projects are depressed.

(2) How long will the Fed continue to raise interest rates, and how much will it raise them? -- Use your diligent hands to search for the interest rate levels in the United States over the past 100 years. This is easy to find. We will find that historically, the period of time when the US interest rate was above 5% was very short. Combined with the speeches of Fed officials, as well as US inflation data and employment data, we can draw a general conclusion: the interest rate hike will soon end.

(3) Finance (stock market) is a barometer of the economy. Why? -- Because institutions plan their current investments based on their predictions of the future. If they expect interest rate hikes to end soon or the economy to pick up, they will often start planning six months in advance. Institutions have large amounts of capital and need more time to complete their plans.

(4) Based on the above simple analysis, we can get a clear layout opportunity, which is probably in the fourth quarter of 2023 to the first quarter of 2024.

(5) What to buy? -- Be prudent, buy the first and second dragons with your eyes closed! If you have never tasted the sweetness of making money in the financial market, you should not be greedy. Beware of survivor bias, and don't always fantasize about getting rich overnight by relying on copycat projects! Steady compound interest is the most powerful financial magic!

Okay, welcome to the trolls!