#美联储 #大盘走势 #以太坊ETF
Recently, many people say that the bull market has ended. In fact, most people do not have their own trading logic. They are bearish when the market falls and bullish when the market rises. Their emotions are affected by the market. I can tell you with certainty that the bull market has not ended. Once the trend is formed, it will not be easily reversed.
The overall framework analysis is actually very thorough. Because the Bitcoin spot ETF application and approval, the tens of trillions of dollars of huge financial empires managed by institutions such as BlackRock have leaked some funds into the currency circle, which helped Bitcoin break through the previous high before the halving. The recent decrease in institutional net inflows and the continuous net outflow of Grayscale have determined that the market must take time to adjust the rise in the past six months from the emotional perspective.
The economy has cyclical properties, and the cryptocurrency market also has bull-bear cycles. Each round of Bitcoin bull market has its own differences, but they also have commonalities. These commonalities will not disappear just because they are said to disappear. For example, every time BTC is halved, it will go out of the bull market about 10 months later, which has never changed. Combined with the current global macro, I personally think that at least in the next few months, there will be a volatile market. First, BTC will not fall too much; second, it is a BTC spot ETF itself, and it is reasonable that ETH's increase is weaker than BTC. Even the king of cottages is not good, and the disciples will not have a very eye-catching performance, which is the fact; third, in the past, cottages have gone into the bear market after a crazy increase of ten or dozens of times, and the wash is a big deal, but currently 95% of cottages have not seen much increase, and there is no basis for a deep decline; fourth, there is no inflow of off-site funds. After some new projects are listed on the second level, they will directly have a market value of hundreds of millions of dollars or more than one billion dollars. The ending is doomed. Once the heat is over, it will only fall.
It is easy to make the right choice from a high point, which is why meme coins can rise. Value coins are not good, so memes are used as market stimulants.
The market is always right. When the suppressed emotions begin to explode, when the Fed continues to cut interest rates, and when the trend reaches that point, what is coming will definitely happen. In this process, many things will happen that will make you negative, lose faith, be confused, panic, etc., but if they don't defeat you, then victory will belong to you.
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