Let's review Shuse:
1. I have been thinking about a question. On April 14, the price of Shuse was 0.3u. If 300 SOL were bought at that time, what would the winning rate and odds be? How should the position be appropriate?
2. When buying, I thought: If the NFT sale can be successfully completed, the project party can return all the 5W SOL raised previously to the user. Once the repayment is completed, the narrative of Shuse will change completely and become a truly 100% fair MEME coin that does not owe anyone. This will be real good news.
How high might the price soar?
It is difficult to predict. It may rise sharply, or Binance and OKEx may not recognize it.
There may be some relatively wealthy investors pouring in, or it may be retail investors pushing Shuse up little by little. When there is an influx of funds, it will be relatively easy for prices to rise. When there is no large amount of funds, retail investors need more time and effort to push Shuse.
How low might the price fall? At that time, the judgment was that there would not be much room for decline, because the market value had reached 150 million US dollars, and the liquidity lock-up pool had 80 million US dollars.
After thinking about it, I could only bet that it could successfully complete the NFT sales and return all the SOL raised before.
3. The most troubling thing is that you calculated the winning rate and odds, but you might bet too small when buying, and it would be better not to buy it, because you yourself have no confidence, so you hesitate. If the bet is too big, what if a black swan event occurs? What if the information you collect is incomplete and you make a mistake in judgment?
When collecting information, I often sort out my own biases, because I like Shuse very much, so I may intentionally or unintentionally only see good news when collecting information.
4. In fact, what I really want to know is: how do you bet? If you bought Shuse, can you share the reason for your purchase, the price, and the proportion of your holdings?
