Good news on Sunday! Expectations for a reduction in US interest rates are rising, with a forecast for the A-share market's 5-day performance next week.
On Sunday, a piece of good news arrived: Wall Street expects the pace of US interest rate cuts to be faster than the Federal Reserve's own expectations, potentially dropping to just below 3%, lower than the 3.4% predicted by Fed officials. Currently, US interest rates are in the range of 4%-4.25%, indicating significant downward potential for future rates, which also opens up possibilities for future A-share increases.
Looking ahead to the performance of the A-share market over the next five trading days:
1. Monday: There is an expectation for a press conference, and one situation to watch out for is—if there is a continuous rise in the morning, a pullback may occur; if there is an initial decline in the morning, the risk is relatively smaller.
2. Tuesday: The performance will mainly be influenced by Monday's press conference, and attention should be paid to whether the content of the conference exceeds or falls short of expectations, with a high probability of continuing the oscillatory pattern.
3. Wednesday to Friday: Maintain an overall optimistic attitude, looking forward to the performance of these three trading days.
In summary, the A-share market has entered a countdown phase for an upward trend, with the first two trading days next week being key pivot windows, theoretically poised for an upward pivot.
However, there is a current issue to watch: the momentum for tech stocks has noticeably weakened recently. If financial stocks start to rise, how will tech stocks perform? From a long-term perspective, both sectors have investment value, but the short-term performance will be further analyzed in subsequent content.