Having flipped through the recent half-year K-line chart, combined with on-chain data, institutional holdings, and the subtle actions of industry leaders, one can only say: Q4 this year is very likely the true "turning point at the peak" of this round of bull market. But remember, the posture of this round of peak is absolutely different from 2021—last round was a "slow bull climb," this round feels more like a "rocket sprint," with sharp rises and falls possibly more thrilling than you imagine!
Recently, there have always been people panicking: "Interest rates have been cut, why aren't altcoins rising? Has the market ended?" Don't scare yourself! Just look at the market cap share of BTC—you'll understand: BTC hasn't truly become "the sole leader" yet, and the funds in altcoins are still flowing quietly. Just like the pre-heating before the big bull market in 2021, mainstream coins set the stage, while altcoins are the real "drama queens." The recent small adjustments are merely funds reallocating; the real show is yet to come!
A straightforward example: recently, BTC has been oscillating repeatedly, seeming to dawdle, but in fact, it is a typical signal of "large funds suppressing prices to accumulate;" while the AI coins and Meme coins that surged a few days ago may experience "profit-taking + washing out before new funds enter." Remember a rule: the hallmark of a bull market peak has never been "broad increases," but rather "funds shifting from dispersion to concentration"—when all hot money starts fighting to rush into BTC, that's the real danger signal.
Now, with just over 3 months left until the end of the year, time is tight, and seasoned investors know: this kind of "big cycle turning point" is most averse to "hesitation." Think clearly about two things:
1️⃣ Don’t let short-term volatility throw you off the train—altcoin spring is still ahead; adjustments are "buying opportunities," not "exit signals";
2️⃣ Don’t be greedy to the point of "selling too early"—wait until BTC's market cap share breaks 58% (the previous peak was 62%), then we can talk about "locking in profits."
Finally, a heart-wrenching statement: the bull market never lacks opportunities; what's lacking is the mindset of "holding on." In the last round, some people missed out on 10 times the profit by selling Bitcoin in January 2021; in this round, are you sure you want to be the same kind of "regretful person"?
By the end of the year, we will see the results; let’s meet at the peak!
The market has risks; the above is just personal analysis and does not constitute investment advice. #美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC $ETH #