On-chain analytics firm Glassnode says Bitcoin’s uptrend remains intact as long as the asset trades above the short-term holder (STH) cost basis.

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📊 Bitcoin Holding Above STH Realized Price

The STH Realized Price tracks the average cost basis of Bitcoin purchased within the last 155 days. It’s a key level because:

When BTC trades above this price → short-term investors are in profit.

When BTC trades below → short-term investors sit at a loss, often triggering panic selling.

Glassnode’s chart shows Bitcoin retested the STH Realized Price earlier this month and bounced, with the level once again acting as a support floor for the current cycle.

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🧠 Psychology of Short-Term Holders

Long-term holders (LTHs): Less likely to sell as conviction grows with time.

Short-term holders (STHs): More reactive, prone to selling quickly at breakeven or during losses.

In bullish phases, STHs often see pullbacks to their cost basis as dip-buying opportunities. In bearish conditions, however, they tend to sell aggressively when prices revisit their entry zone.

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🔑 Why This Matters

Historically, holding above the STH Realized Price has been a bull market characteristic, while losing it has often preceded market pullbacks or contractions.

Glassnode concludes:

> “As long as Bitcoin respects this level, the trend remains constructive. Losing it has historically aligned with corrections or deeper retracements.”

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🚀 Outlook

With Bitcoin still trading above the STH Realized Price, the on-chain trend remains positive. Market participants are now watching:

#FedRateCutExpectations

#BitcoinETFMajorInflows

#AltcoinSeasonComing?

#USBitcoinReserveDiscussion

#Write2Earn $BTC $ETH $XRP