🟢 Bullish Case
Fed cuts 0.25% and signals more easing ahead.
Stocks rally — strongest in tech, housing, and consumer discretionary.
Bond yields drop, dollar weakens.
Risk assets (crypto, EMs) climb on improved liquidity.
⚪ Neutral Case
Fed cuts 0.25%, but adopts a “wait-and-see” stance with no clear forward guidance.
Stocks get a small bounce, then flatten.
Bonds remain steady; dollar trades mixed.
Markets stay range-bound until fresh data.
🔴 Bearish Case
Fed cuts 0.25%, but stresses inflation risks or external threats.
Stocks dip after an initial pop.
Yields remain sticky, dollar strengthens.
Risk assets sell off as traders fear slower or no further easing.
👉 Bottom line: Stay ready for all outcomes.
