🚀 BTC Analysis - 09/14/2025 🌙 Today, Bitcoin is at ~115,300 USDT (with a variation between 115,295-115,310 USDT in the last hours), showing a slight decrease of -0.45% in the last 24h, according to Binance data. Immediate support is between 115,000 and 114,600 USDT, while resistance is at 116,000-116,165 USDT, the recent peak. The candles indicate consolidation with long lower shadows, suggesting rejection of sharper declines, but the increasing red volume points to selling pressure.
📊 Technical Indicators: The RSI (period 6) oscillated from 24 (oversold) to 70 (overbought), reflecting volatility and short euphoria. The MACD shows a transition from bearish to bullish (recent positive crossover), but the price below the EMA7 (~115,565 USDT) indicates immediate weakness. EMAs of 50 and 100 still ascending suggest a macro bullish trend, but the short term is neutral-bearish.
⏳ Cycle Context: We are ~17 months after the halving of April/2024, in the typical parabolic phase of the bull run. Historical data (2017, 2021) point to a peak in Q3-Q4, possibly until December/2025. With BTC at 115k (150-200% since the 60-70k post-halving), we are close to the top, with a risk of a bear market in 2026 (50-70% drop).
💡 Trade Tips:
Short Term: Buy dips at 114,600 USDT (stop-loss at 114,000, target 116,500). Partial sell at 116k to take profit.
Medium Term: Accumulate on corrections >10% (below 113k), aiming to hold until the peak.
Risk: Monitor support; a breakout opens the way for 110k. Use a trailing stop of 5-7%.
⚠️ Warning: Volatile market – this is not financial advice, just analysis. Keep an eye on news (Fed, adoption) and reassess in 24h! #BTC #Crypto #Binance #AnáliseTécnica
