Bitcoin short-term holders are panic selling
Fear & Greed Index collapsed by 20, Altseason index is pumping
I analyzed every previous cycle and was SHOCKED
Here’s what really happening and when BTC hits $200K👇
Before we begin...
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Short-term holders (STHs) have started selling Bitcoin at a loss again
On the surface, it looks bearish, but the signal is deeper than that
These quick flippers usually exit first when momentum slows
Their exit often clears the way for stronger hands to step in
STHs typically hold coins for less than 5 months and trade emotionally
When they sell at a loss, it shows they’ve lost conviction in the short term
But history shows their panic rarely lasts long
It often marks the final shakeout before trend continuation
Think of it as fuel transfer: weak hands dumping → strong hands accumulating
Coins move from speculators to investors with patience and higher conviction
This transition reduces future sell pressure
That’s a bullish structural reset for Bitcoin
On-chain data confirms this rotation: realized losses spike, while LTH supply remains steady
Long-term holders are not selling into weakness
Instead, they’re sitting tight or quietly accumulating more
That’s the strongest bullish divergence you can ask for
The psychology is key: panic always feels worse in the moment than it really is
But data shows STH capitulation usually coincides with local bottoms
They sell into fear, while bigger players take the other side
That’s why dips often bounce harder than expected
The macro picture supports this setup
Rate cuts are coming, liquidity is expanding, and risk assets are primed
Bitcoin is the first to benefit once panic subsides
Weak hands selling now only accelerates the eventual rebound
Traders should avoid being shaken out with the crowd
Short-term red candles don’t change long-term conviction
If you’re building positions, this is the phase to scale in gradually
Buying fear has historically outperformed chasing green candles
Key to watch: supply on exchanges continues trending down
Less available Bitcoin means every sell-off is met with stronger demand
Combine that with STH capitulation, and supply shocks become inevitable
That’s exactly how rallies ignite
Conclusion: short-term losses by STHs are not a sign of collapse
They’re a sign of cleansing, where the market resets and prepares for higher moves
Long-term conviction remains unshaken
This phase should be seen as an opportunity, not a threat
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