Snapshot (live prices):
BTC: $110,568
ETH: $4,283
BNB: $865
DOGE: $0.217
SOL: $203
What moved the market?
Volatility after macro jitters: A sharp reversal hit majors two days ago as traders reassessed Fed cut odds; ETH fell faster than BTC during the flush.
ETH narrative still strong: Spot Ethereum ETFs continue to reshape flows and institutional demand, even as near-term outflows/rotations cause chop.
Range persists in BTC: This week BTC traded roughly $107.2k–$113.4k, with lots of wickiness near $111k.
Alt focus: Headlines keep circling potential ETF angles (e.g., XRP) even if timelines remain uncertain-adding speculation to alt rotations.
Quick TA & Levels
Structure: Sideways inside $108k–$113k range.
Bull case: Hold above $110k and reclaim $112.5k–$113.5k → momentum back toward $115k–$118k.
Bear case: Lose $108k → liquidity sweep toward $105k–$106k.
Structure: Choppy but bid on ETF narrative.
Bull case: Above $4.35k opens $4.6k–$4.9k.
Bear case: Rejection → revisit $4.05k–$4.15k.
Why it matters: ETF flows/institutional demand are the swing factors.
Structure: Uptrend intact above $860–$870 support.
Bull case: Push through $870–$880 → $900+ test.
Bear case: Lose $840 → $810–$820 retest.
$DOGE:
Structure: Higher lows while defending $0.21 zone.
Bull case: Close above $0.22 → $0.24–$0.25.
Bear case: Slip below $0.205–$0.21 → $0.19 pocket.
$SOL:
Structure: Consolidating ~$200 round number.
Bull case: Hold $200–$203 → $210–$218 range.
Bear case: Lose $198–$199 → $190–$193.
My Read (Next 3–7 days)
Base case: Range continuation with BTC 108k–113k acting as the market’s pivot;
ETH outperforms on positive ETF flow days.
