What are the three trends in the future of the cryptocurrency market?

Possible trends in the future

1️⃣

The bull market pullback ends, and the market continues to rise (very low probability🚫)

Currently, market sentiment has peaked, and unless there is a new influx of capital (such as central banks injecting a large amount of liquidity, or a surge in BTC demand), a new bull market is unlikely to start immediately.

The approval of an ETH ETF may be a potential catalyst, but the current funding environment still does not support a large-scale upward movement.

2️⃣

The market hits 100,000 USD, forming a double top (lower probability⚠️)

In the short term, BTC may attempt to reach a new high, but if there is not enough capital support, it is likely to form a false breakout, leading to a decline after enticing buying.

The core logic of a tail event is "sentiment harvesting"; since the market has already completed most of the harvesting, the probability of giving everyone another perfect opportunity to exit at the peak is very low.

3️⃣

A bear market begins, and the market enters a long pullback (highest probability✅)

The current market is very similar to the stages after the bull market peaks in 2018 and 2021, where institutional capital has mostly cashed out, and the market is left with only scattered retail funds, making it difficult to form new driving forces.

After sentiment fades, the market will gradually return to value logic, high bubble assets will continue to pull back, and undervalued assets may gradually stabilize, but a significant market movement is unlikely in the short term. #加密市场回调 #币圈