𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗪𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗣𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗹𝗹 𝗦𝗮𝘆 𝗮𝘁 𝗝𝗮𝗰𝗸𝘀𝗼𝗻 𝗛𝗼𝗹𝗲?

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak today, September 4, 2025, at 10:00 a.m. ET at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium.

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Will He Discuss a Potential Rate Cut?

Yes, he’s expected to address the possibility—but with caution.

Powell’s speech on August 22 opened the door to a September rate cut, highlighting a cooling labor market and elevated inflation. While not a firm commitment, it signaled growing openness to easing monetary policy.

He described the job market as being in a "curious balance"—with job growth slowing but unemployment still low—and suggested that risks to employment may warrant adjusting the policy stance.

Market reaction was swift: expectations for a 25 basis point cut in September rose significantly, with CME FedWatch and analysts increasing probabilities from around 75% up to as much as 87–91%.

However, Powell maintained a nuanced, data-dependent tone—not committing explicitly to a cut but leaving it clearly on the table.

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Bottom Line for Today

Yes, he likely will talk about the prospect of a rate cut.

But expect him to remain fairly cautious, emphasizing that whether a cut happens depends entirely on upcoming economic data—like job and inflation reports due in early to mid-September.

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Summary Table

Question Answer

Is Powell speaking today? Yes — September 4, 2025, at 10:00 a.m. ET, at Jackson Hole.

Will he discuss a rate cut? Likely yes — he signaled openness to a September cut at his August speech.

How confident is the cut? Markets see strong odds (75–91%), but Powell stressed data-dependence.

Tone of his messaging? Balanced and cautious—not a firm promise, but an open door to easing.