📉 What’s “Red September”?
🔻 The most bearish month for Bitcoin (since 2013)
📊 Avg. drop: -3.5% to -3.8%
💸 Why it happens:
Profit-taking after summer rallies
Portfolio reshuffling (tuition, taxes, Q4 prep)
Bearish sentiment → higher BTC deposits on exchanges
ETF outflows → $751M lost in Aug 2025
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💥 Market Behavior Now (Early Sept 2025)
₿ Bitcoin (BTC)
Entry: $108K–$110K
August loss: -6.5% (ending 4-month green streak)
📉 Broke key supports: Ichimoku Cloud, 50-day & 100-day SMAs
⚠️ Critical Zone: $107K–$110K
✅ Above $110K = stabilization chance
❌ Below $107K = slide to $100K–$103K
😨 Sentiment & Macro Risks
Fear creeping in 👀
Fed’s Sept meeting = biggest catalyst
Markets expect 90% chance of a rate cut
Next 🔑 data: U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls – Sept 5
🚦 Key Catalysts to Watch
📤 ETF Flows → more outflows = pressure
📊 Weekly Closes → $107K–$110K is make-or-break
🏦 Macro Events →
Sept 5: Nonfarm Payrolls
Sept 16–17: Fed Rate Decision
💡 Final Take
“Red September” is here.
Weak charts 📉
Nervous sentiment 😬
Macro uncertainty 🏦
👉 Eyes on $107K–$110K zone, ETF flows, and the Fed.
Next 2 weeks will decide if this is just a dip… or a deeper Red September crash. 🚨
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