September 3, 2025 — CryptoQuant just dropped a deep-water bombshell: A 12% correction from the peak for BTC is really nothing; the historical average drop is as high as 20%-25%! What does this mean? The current correction has just begun, and a bigger storm is brewing! As a seasoned analyst in the crypto space, the iron hawk immediately dissects the data, combining it with current market dynamics to give you the most hardcore interpretation: this wave of correction is far from over, panic selling has not truly emerged, and opportunities and risks are wildly intertwining!
Explosive analysis of the news front:
Historical data brutally crushes: Looking back at past bull markets, a 20% correction in BTC is almost a 'standard move'; in 2017, there was even an extreme scenario with a single-day drop of 30%. The current 12% decline is merely a 'warm-up'; market sentiment has not yet entered a true panic phase, and on-chain data shows that giant whale addresses are still continuously selling, with selling pressure far from over!
Federal Reserve policy countdown: The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is approaching in September 2025, with market expectations for interest rate cuts possibly delayed, and expectations of tightening dollar liquidity are heating up, putting pressure on risk assets across the board. BTC, as a highly volatile asset, is at the forefront!
Signals of miner capitulation are beginning to appear: According to on-chain data from CryptoQuant, miner holding addresses have started to transfer large amounts of BTC to exchanges, suspectedly preparing to sell in response to cost pressures. History shows that miner sell-offs are often leading indicators of deep corrections!
Institutional long position liquidation wave: The CME Bitcoin futures open interest has plummeted, with hedge funds quickly exiting long positions, and the funding rate in the derivatives market has turned negative, indicating a quiet rise of short positions!
Iron hawk's ultimate prediction:
Short-term shocks are inevitable: BTC is likely to continue its downward trend into the 20%-25% correction range (the corresponding price range needs to be dynamically calculated based on the latest highs), and retail panic selling will be the catalyst for the final drop!
The golden dip is approaching: Historically, significant drops often present good buying opportunities. Institutional funds are watching closely from the sidelines; once the decline hits historical average levels, whale addresses will rush to accumulate!
Warning of a altcoin massacre: If BTC's correction exceeds 20%, the altcoin market will bleed profusely, with most projects likely to drop over 50%. Be sure to avoid high-leverage altcoin positions!
Operation suggestions:
Short-term investors should immediately reduce their positions to below 50%, avoiding high-risk altcoins!
Medium to long-term players should prepare USDT, aiming for the golden dip after BTC's drop exceeds 20%, buying in batches!
Pay attention to the results of the Federal Reserve's September interest rate meeting; any hawkish signals could trigger a sharp drop!
Iron hawk's conclusion: A bull market is not a straight line; sharp drops are the true test of faith! Historical data does not lie; CryptoQuant's warnings are the most rational voice currently—don't be lulled by a gentle 12% correction; the calm before the storm is the deadliest! Follow the iron hawk for the sharpest analysis online, guiding you through bull and bear markets, accurately capturing every turning point!
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