Today is August 22, 2025, and the cryptocurrency world has clearly entered the late stage of a bull market. While others are waiting to sell at high positions, don't always think about how to choose coins or what to buy—it's actually the people who lose money in a bull market the most. Buying in at your current price is actually quite awkward.

For instance, Bitcoin at $118,000 could rise to $150,000; BNB at $850 might reach $1,000; SOL at $200 could go up to $300; ETH at $4,400 might increase to $6,000. However, in terms of investment return margins, these increases are actually not substantial. Take Bitcoin as an example: if it rises from the bottom to $150,000, theoretically there is a 10-fold space, but realistically, earning 5-7 times is already quite good—because to have that 10-fold potential, you need to capture the profits in between.

The problem is that the market currently allows only a 30-50% risk tolerance (for example, if Bitcoin rises from its current price to $150,000, you can only gain 15-20% profit at most), but what about the corresponding downside risk? Once a bear market hits, you might have to cut losses by 10%, or even be stuck with losses of 50%-70%. At this point, ask yourself: what are you buying now? What were you doing before?

You might say, 'Mainstream coins have no chance, but other small coins can rise 10 times or even 100 times!' Indeed, like the recent XDOG, which started at a market value of 15 million and theoretically could rise 100 times. But the question is: who bought it? Who holds most of the chips? Can you just happen to pick it and cash out smoothly at a high point? What kind of luck does that require?

It's not that there are no opportunities, but it's too difficult—most people are destined to lose money. All opportunities to make money depend on the 'situation,' which is the way of heaven. The current situation in the cryptocurrency world is nearing its end, so be careful.

Many understand the reasoning, but few can resist taking the 'last bite of risk'—because that piece of meat is the most delicious.

It's done, I wish you wealth in the cryptocurrency world.


I am Wenhua, a professional analyst and teacher, a mentor and friend on your investment journey! As an analyst, the most basic thing is to help everyone make money. I will help you resolve confusion and locked positions, speaking with strength. When you lose your way and don't know what to do, follow me, and Wenhua will point you in the right direction.

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