In the early morning, the latest minutes from the Federal Reserve meeting were released, sparking widespread attention, and the market's expectations for a rate cut in September changed.

The minutes indicate that there is a growing divide within the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy, with most officials advocating for maintaining the current interest rate levels. The July meeting's more "hawkish" tone has made the possibility of a rate cut in September more uncertain.

Recent U.S. economic data has shown mixed results, with inflation-related data trending upwards, further intensifying the Federal Reserve's concerns about inflation. Prior to this, the market widely believed that the probability of a rate cut in September was very high, but the release of these minutes has significantly impacted that expectation. Morgan Stanley has also issued a warning, suggesting that Powell may release hawkish signals at the Jackson Hole central bank annual meeting to curb the market's expectations for a rate cut.

It is essential to pay close attention to the upcoming inflation data, employment data, and Powell's public speeches, as this information will be key to determining the direction of Federal Reserve policy. Currently, global financial markets are in a state of close anticipation.

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