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BIO Trading Setup: Short Opportunity on Resistance Retest
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Powell’s speech just dropped some bombs. Here’s what you need to know: 1️⃣ Jobs: Looks stable on the surface, but immigration collapse = fragile balance. If demand cracks, unemployment could spike fast. 2️⃣ Inflation: Tariffs push prices up, overall still near target. But the real risk? policy mistakes could trigger second-wave inflation. Translation: The Fed is stuck in a dilemma. Tighten too much = jobs crash. Ease too fast = inflation comeback. 3️⃣ Policy pivot: • 2020 AIT was for a “low inflation + low rates” world. • 2025 = “high inflation + high rates.” • AIT is dead. Back to flexible inflation targeting. (Yes, they admitted the old playbook doesn’t work anymore.) 4️⃣ Between the lines: • Hikes are DONE. Cuts? Only if the data breaks. • Tariffs = one-off shock, not a trigger for instant tightening. • Shrinking labor supply → lower potential growth, higher long-run neutral rate (r). 5️⃣ Market takeaways: • Treasuries: Yields won’t spike much higher, but forget 2010s ultra-low rates. • Stocks: Consumers slowing, tariffs rising → earnings under pressure. • USD & Bitcoin: Dollar strong short term, but if jobs tank → markets flip to rate-cut bets. Bitcoin loves liquidity swings. Bottom line: The Fed is at a crossroads. Dollar still strong… but the real breakout trade when the tide turns could be Bitcoin. $ETH $BTC $BNB #PowellSpeech #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #ETH大涨
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