"Use this three-layer depth verification method to let BTC/ETH key levels emerge on their own"

Main Text

1. Why is 90% of support and resistance analysis ineffective noise?
• Misconception: Misuse of Fibonacci/moving averages and other lagging indicators to draw lines (easily targeted by market makers)
• Truth: Key levels must be validated through "multi-timeframe order book verification" —

  • Weekly level liquidity pool gap (institutional order density area)

  • 4H engulfing candle high and low points (Asian/European consensus levels)

  • 15-minute explosive volume candlesticks (high-frequency algorithm stop-loss trigger points)

2. Three high win-rate key level identification techniques (applicable to spot and futures)

  1. "Liquidity Hunting" positioning method

    • Case Study: In 2023, BTC reversed multiple times after false breakouts at $29,800 (CME futures open interest peak)

    • Action: Use TradingView's "Volume Distribution Chart" to lock in ±2% deviation values

  2. "Time Conversion" confirmation principle

    • When the Asian session tests a level 3 times without breaking it → the win rate for opening positions in the European session increases by 47% (BitMEX historical data backtest)

    • Key Feature: Appearance of long wicks + subsequent candlestick volume shrinking by more than 50%

  3. "Market Sentiment" extreme value verification

    • When Twitter influencers collectively shout "breakout" → reverse observe large orders on exchange APIs

    • Tool Recommendation: Glassnode's STH-NUPL indicator + Deribit options position distribution

3. Ultimate filtering conditions to prevent false breakouts
• Validity check: Meets the "Three Hits Rule" (same price level tested three times with declining volume)
• Dynamic adjustment: Set a "buffer zone" at ±0.5% around key levels (to cope with unique spike scenarios in the crypto market)
• Extreme market exception clause: When USDT premium > 3%, all technical levels become invalid (refer to the 2022 LUNA collapse case)

Conclusion
"The real key levels are not drawn, but voted on by the market with real money — paying attention to how prices react is more important than predicting prices"

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