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The current market is experiencing intense battles between bulls and bears in key areas, with significant divergence intensifying. In this environment, it is advisable to strictly control position size and leverage levels to avoid potential risks. In particular, Ethereum (ETH) tends to get stuck in a passive state when its price fluctuates within the range of $4000 ± 200 points (i.e., $3800 to $4200).

The key signal for determining the end of this round of bullish trend for ETH is a price drop below the support level of $3800. However, in the core zone near $4000, bulls are unlikely to completely give up resistance. If the price can effectively organize defense in the area of $4150 to $4072, there is a possibility of a rapid rebound testing the highs of $4336 to $4440. Even if the price initially drops below the $4000 threshold, a technical rebound is usually observed to recover that level.

Core conclusion: The $4000 ± 200 points area is the core battleground for determining the conversion of bullish and bearish trends, and the market will be highly sensitive in making directional choices here. Investors need to prepare for a dual strategy, maintaining high vigilance and operational flexibility.