"When the market collectively shouts 'the wolf is coming', the real hunters have long set their short positions—ALPINE's top script is playing out the most classic 'inverted V kill' in the crypto circle."
1. Price Trends: Inverted V reversal + breakout, a signal flare for a bearish frenzy.
The current movement of ALPINE is like a 'high-altitude diving performance': plummeting from a high of 2.2666 directly to 2.0118, a single-day drop of 8.24%, this is not a correction—it's clearly a ‘collective withdrawal’ as funds vote with their feet! More critically, the key support at 2.015 has been trampled underfoot, the short-term trend has completely shifted from 'bullish control' to 'bearish frenzy'.
For example: It’s like bungee jumping, the rope has just been pulled to the highest point, and suddenly ‘whoosh’ it falls down—this is the current state of ALPINE's price, and there is no ‘safety net’ (support level) in sight below. If it breaks below 2.010, the next likely stop is the psychological level of 1.800 (many people will cut losses or buy more here, further amplifying volatility).
2. Technical Indicators: Threefold 'death signals' superimposed, shorts are fully armed.
RSI: Previously overbought (>70) followed by a sharp drop, and it is still trending down, indicating that selling pressure has not yet been fully released, and prices still need to 'catch down'.
MACD: Histogram turning green + death cross, this is a typical signal for ‘accelerated decline’, like a car in neutral, it will only slide faster.
Trading Volume: Volume increases during the decline (e.g., buy one at 2.0127 with an order of 630.1 ALPINE), indicating that funds are fleeing furiously, and the bulls cannot hold on.
Personal View: With these three indicators all bearish, it’s like three knives hanging over the bulls' heads—this is not the time to ‘buy the dip’, but rather a window for ‘escaping for your life’.
3. Main Capital: Sell orders pressuring the market + large sell-offs, shorts are 'showing their cards'.
Just look at the order book to see how arrogant the shorts are:
Sell orders have piled up with over 800 ALPINE (approximately 1,700 USDT) in the 2.014-2.016 range, while buy orders are few and scattered (totaling only 1,268 ALPINE from buy one to buy five), it’s like 'the shorts are holding shields while the bulls are armed with toothpicks' fighting.
What’s more ruthless is that the main players sold off 140,000 USDT worth of chips within 52 minutes (average price 40.00), this is not an ‘adjustment’—it’s clearly a ‘massive clearance sale’!
Case Reference: Last year, a certain altcoin also experienced this kind of ‘sell order pressure + large sell-off’ combo, resulting in a direct halving of the price. The current main behavior of ALPINE is almost identical to that script.
4. Market Sentiment: Strong consensus on bearish outlook, but don’t be fooled by a ‘false rebound’.
How bearish is the current market sentiment? Let’s look at the data:
Order imbalance -8205.4 (sell orders > buy orders), order ratio only +0.18%, indicating that everyone is shouting ‘run!’
RSI has not yet hit the bottom (>30), indicating that there is still room for price decline, don’t rush to 'catch the falling knife'.
Operational Suggestions (by Scenario):
Rebound to resistance at 2.014 (70% probability): open a short position directly, set stop loss at 2.025 (to prevent false breakout).
Break below 2.010 (80% probability): chase the short, target 1.800, stop loss at 2.015 (to control risk).
Closing Hook: Can your position withstand the 'storm of the crypto circle'?
ALPINE is currently a 'bear-led elimination match'—the technical, capital, and sentiment aspects are all shouting 'bearish', and at this time, holding on to the bulls is like walking into the water without an umbrella on a rainy day.
Final Reminder: If the price breaks above 2.025 with substantial volume, it indicates that the bearish script may change, at which point stop loss and observe; however, as long as this level holds, the logic for short positions is 'guaranteed profit'.
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