The market is not a casino, but a probability game—understanding the 'emotional code' in candlesticks is essential to mining gold from the volatility!

Recently, the crypto market feels like a tug-of-war competition between bulls and bears: 124550 is the high-pressure electric net set by bears, 117000 is the moat fiercely defended by bulls, while 121500, the 'intermediate observation post,' has become the key weight to determine victory. The price is stuck here, like a bungee jumper at the edge of a cliff—jumping up requires courage, jumping down depends on your confidence.

Technical breakdown: Both bulls and bears are 'holding back their big moves.'

MACD's 'brake alert': The shortening green bars indicate a slowdown in the downtrend, but DIF and DEA have a death cross at a high level, still sliding—bulls want to counterattack, but must wait for this wave of 'inertia' to exhaust.

RSI's 'heartbeat alert': All three lines above 65 indicate that short-term funds have 'run too fast' and urgently need a pullback to catch their breath. If RSI can drop back to around 60 for repair, bulls will have the strength to push again.

The 'testing signal' of trading volume: Recently, a bullish candlestick surged to 4380, indicating someone is bottom fishing, but it hasn't formed a continuous surge in volume—like shouting 'Brothers, charge!' but only a few follow along, the strength is questionable.

Long Ge's perspective:

The current market is like walking a tightrope, playing a psychological game!

The operator is likely 'drawing a line' between 117000-124550, deliberately creating false breakouts to wash positions.

Directly rush to 124550? Unless there is a sudden surge in volume, it is highly likely to be smashed down.

More likely scenario: First, a false break below 117000 to scare retail investors into cutting losses, then a quick pullback to form a 'golden pit.'

Operation strategy:

Script 1: False dip followed by a real rise.

Signal: A sharp drop near 117000 quickly recovers, and the MACD green bars turn red.

Action: Bottom fishing! Set stop loss at 116000, target between 121500-124550.

Script 2: Break below turns into a bear market.

Signal: The bearish candlestick breaks below 117000 and does not recover within an hour.

Action: Short near 118000 on a rebound, stop loss at 119000, target at 115800.

Script 3: Sideways in a state of inactivity.

Feature: Price oscillates between 117000-121500.

Action: Place orders on both sides—buy near 117000 and sell near 121500, with stop loss on breakouts.

Remember: Bull markets drop sharply, bear markets rise sharply! In the current market, either wait for a confirmed signal or test the waters with a small position—don't wait for the market to take off while you’re still looking for the boarding gate! Follow Long Ge, next stop: Wealth Code Station!#美国7月PPI年率高于预期

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