Based on the latest data (August 14, 2025), here is the comprehensive analysis and practical recommendation:
### 📉 Current Situation Analysis (Sharp Crash):
1. **Catastrophic Indicators**:
- **11 Sell Signals versus 1 Buy** in averages
- **RSI at 27.78** (Severe Oversold but without support)
- **Deeply Negative MACD** (-0.005)
- **ADX at 58.73** (Strong Downtrend)
2. **Breaking All Levels**:
- Price broke all moving averages (MA5 to MA200)
- Breaking the pivot point (0.22817) and reaching S1 (0.22701)
3. **Danger Signals**:
- WilliamsR at -68.33 (Extreme Oversold)
- ADX trend above 50 indicates accelerating decline
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### 🎯 Urgent Recommendation: **Do not buy now - Wait for strong support**
#### Reasons to Avoid Buying:
1. **Free Fall Has Not Stopped**:
- No reversal signals (indicators have not reached the bottom yet)
- The downward volume has not shown a distribution peak (the crash may continue)
2. **Upcoming Critical Levels**:
- **S2 at 0.22597** (Strong Technical Support)
- **S3 at 0.22481** (Potential Historical Bottom)
---
### 📉 Price Forecast (24-48 hours):
| Scenario | Probability | Path | Optimal Action |
|----------------|----------|--------------------|------------------------|
| **Continued Decline** | 75% | 0.22500 → 0.22300 | Wait to buy at S3 |
| **Slight Rebound** | 25% | 0.22900 → 0.23000 | Sell any rise |
---
### 🛡️ Emergency Plan:
#### For Current Investors:
1. **Sell 80-90% Immediately** (Avoid further losses)
2. **Strict Stop Loss** for the remainder at 0.22600
#### For Buyers Looking:
1. **Wait until 0.22500** (S2) with:
- Volume increase > 30% of average
- RSI improvement above 30
- Convergence of MACD lines
2. **Partial Entry** (only 30%) at 0.22500
3. **Stop Loss**: 0.22350
---
### 📌 Potential Rescue Points:
| Level | Importance | Expected Interaction |
|------------|---------|----------------------|
| **0.22597**| ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐| Support S2 (Partial Buy) |
| **0.22481**| ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐| Support S3 (Strong Buy) |
| **0.23000**| ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Selling Resistance |
### ⚠️ Final Warning:
> "The bear market destroys wealth faster than anything else" - Jesse Livermore
Do not try to catch the falling knife - indicators suggest an additional drop of 5-7%!
---
### Summary:
1. **Do Not Buy Now** - Wait until 0.22500 or 0.22481
2. **Current Sellers 80%** Immediately
3. **Levels to Monitor**:
- Break below 0.22597 → Target 0.22481
- Rebound above 0.23000 → Potential Reversal Signal
4. **Best Buying Scenario**:
- Price reaching 0.22481 + RSI above 30 + Positive MACD
