ETH's counter-trend surge hides dangers! Seasoned traders reveal: the main force's selling traps in bullish candles, why do retail investors always catch the last stick?

When everyone thinks a crash is the selling point, the main force has long been smiling as they stuff chips into retail investors' pockets—the cruel truth of the capital market: significant rises often mark the beginning of offloading, while crashes are merely garbage time after the show.

I. Support level scam: What you think is an iron bottom is actually the main force's "lowest wholesale price".

ETH rebounds every time it drops to 2200 dollars, not due to market consensus, but because the main force is saying: below this price, I'm losing money!

False breakdown: The main force occasionally allows the price to dip below 2200, say to 2180, scaring retail investors into selling at a loss, then they pull it back to continue selling at high prices, like a market vendor who first shouts, "Last day for clearance," only to open the next day as usual.

True breakdown: When ETH fails to reclaim 2200 for three consecutive 4-hour candles, and the trading volume surges by 30%, it indicates that the main force has sold all their goods. The ensuing collapse is like a "fire sale" at a closing store, where everyone is trampling each other.

Case: In 2023, ETH rebounded three times at 2200, with each rebound peak lower than the last, a typical "discount sale" type of offloading.

II. The main force's "three-level trick": every wave of rise is inviting you into the trap.

First stage: pulling and selling (inviting retail investors aboard).

Using 5% of funds to pump the price, attracting retail investors to shout, "The bull is back!"

For example, when ETH rises from 2800 to 3200, they secretly sell 3% of their position every $100 rise; the more retail investors chase the high, the easier the main force unloads their goods.

Characteristic: Slow to rise, clearly positive news but unable to break the previous high, resembling a boy's promise to a girl, "next time for sure."

Second stage: sideways slow selling makes retail investors deceive themselves.

Bouncing back between 3200-3400 dollars, creating the illusion of a power break.

Every time it hits 3400, it dumps; when it drops to 3200, it supports, making retail investors think "it can't fall any further" and go on a buying spree.

Data: When ETH trades sideways above 3000 for over 15 days, the main force has usually sold 60% of their chips.

Third stage: bearish trend liquidation.

When the main force has only 20% of their goods left, they start a 10%-15% bearish trend.

When it drops to 3000 dollars, retail investors shout, "Bargain!" Little do they know they are picking up the main force's last inventory.

Ultimate trap: After retail investors finish bottom-fishing, the real collapse begins, just like telling you "this table is split" only after you've finished your meal.

III. Three tricks to see through the main force's selling.

Volume-price divergence: ETH rises 1% but with explosive volume, indicating the main force is offloading; during sideways movements, bullish candles with increasing volume and bearish candles with decreasing volume is a typical "fishing line".

Chip relocation: On-chain data shows that when the number of large addresses holding more than 100,000 ETH decreases, while the number of small addresses holding less than 10,000 ETH increases, it indicates the main force is "breaking down into smaller pieces" to offload.

Funding trick: After a large influx of funds in a single day, they quietly flow out for three consecutive days, reminiscent of a scumbag's "enthusiasm for a day, coldness for a week."

In this market, those who focus on price trends can only be the lambs for slaughter, while those who pay attention to chips can survive. When you are excitedly chasing ETH's surge, the main force is counting money and laughing at your naivety; when you are desperately bottom-fishing during a downward trend, the main force has long left with cash. Remember: the market is born in despair and sells in euphoria—next time ETH pulls a big bullish candle, first ask yourself: is this an opportunity, or the main force's "last dance"?

Seagull tip: Pay attention to top-tier primary market stealth, the next tenfold coin might be among them.