How to use this cheat sheet (practical checklist)
1. Confirm on multiple timeframes — weekly or daily dominance trends matter more for “alt-season” calls than 5-minute noise.
2. Look for volume confirmation — rising alt volume + falling BTC dominance = stronger signal for alt rallies.
3. Watch stablecoin supply & flows — big inflows to stablecoins or outflows to exchanges often precede rotations.
4. Pair analysis — check USD price and BTC-pair charts for each alt (some alts decouple).
5. Risk management — set stop-losses, size positions, diversify across a few alts; alt-season is higher volatility.
6. Fundamentals & catalysts — listings, upgrades, partnerships can amplify alt moves.
The 9 cases (and why they happen)
1. BTC Dominance ↑ + BTC Price ↑ → Alts ↓
Money flows into BTC, leaving alts behind.
2. BTC Dominance ↑ + BTC Price ↓ → Alts dump
BTC drops, alts drop harder — big altcoin losses.
3. BTC Dominance ↑ + BTC Price stable → Alts stable
BTC holds ground, alts quiet with no big moves.
4. BTC Dominance stable + BTC Price ↑ → Alts ↑ ✅
BTC rises, alts join the rally.
5. BTC Dominance stable + BTC Price stable → Alts stable
No trend — sideways for both BTC and alts.
6. BTC Dominance stable + BTC Price ↓ → Alts ↓
Market-wide decline; alts fall along with BTC.
7. BTC Dominance ↓ + BTC Price ↑ → ALT SEASON ✅
BTC climbs but alts pump even harder.
8. BTC Dominance ↓ + BTC Price ↓ → Alts stable
BTC falls but alts show relative strength, holding steady.
9. BTC Dominance ↓ + BTC Price stable → Alts ↑ ✅
BTC flat, capital rotates into alts, pushing them up.
