Ethereum 4200 vs 4400: Is Tonight a Liquidation Frenzy or a Wealth Opportunity?
1. $1.6 Billion Liquidation Powder Keg, Market on Edge
$4200: If it drops below, $705 million in long leveraged positions will be liquidated, and the price could plummet by 20%, heading straight for $4000.
$4400: If it breaks through, $928 million in short positions will be liquidated, and the price could surge by 20%, racing towards $4500-4800.
Liquidity Crisis: Exchange order volume has plummeted by 63%, market depth is extremely poor, price volatility will be amplified, and liquidations could trigger a chain reaction.
2. Market Maker Strategy: First Liquidate Longs, Then Shorts
Whales are placing a $5000 ETH buy order at $4250, while call option positions at $4400 on Deribit have surged by 300%.
Classic Double Kill Tactic: First, crash the market to liquidate longs at $4200, then pump it up to liquidate shorts at $4400, harvesting from both sides.
Policy Catalyst: Vitalik and SEC meet secretly, ETH spot ETF may be approved as early as August 15, market sentiment is extremely sensitive.
3. Retail Survival Guide: Run or Charge
Break below $4200: Immediately close long positions, flip to short, targeting the $4000 support level.
Break above $4400: Jump in and chase the price, $4500 is just the beginning, the historical high of $4800 may be broken soon.
Don’t Use Too Much Leverage: Exchanges have quietly reduced leverage ratios; high-leverage players may be wiped out tonight.
4. Three Major Bombshells Tonight, Market May Fluctuate Wildly
Powell's Speech: If hints at interest rate cuts, ETH could skyrocket, with funds flowing from US stocks into cryptocurrencies.
Tether Issues 500 Million USDT: New funds entering the market, whales may take this opportunity to pump the price.
Binance ETH Funding Rate -0.3%: Too many shorts, once squeezed, the price will rise rapidly.
Conclusion: The Line of Life and Death is Tonight, Which Side Are You On?
$4200 and $4400 are not ordinary prices, but the lines of life and death for liquidations. Tonight, you either step on others' corpses to make money or become a stepping stone for others.
Reduce leverage, keep a close eye on the market, as fluctuations may occur at any time; don’t let yourself become part of the liquidation data.
A historic moment, tonight you either witness a major crash or see new highs; are you ready?
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