Yo, crypto crew! It's me, your buddy, who has been hanging out on Binance for years and catching waves. I was sitting yesterday with coffee, flipping through Toncoin charts (\u003cc-57/\u003e), and here's what I thought: grabbing this coin now is like jumping into a cold pool without warming up. But! If you wait, you can hop on the rocket to $5.30. In short, I'm sharing my take, just like the good old days in the chat on X. I grabbed data from Fibonacci, EMA, volumes — all professionally but without being boring. Let's unpack it so you don't jump in on emotions but with a clear plan! 😎
What's the movement with TON?
August 2025, and TON is still like that guy who came to the party, but the dance floor isn't warmed up yet. The market is in a bearish mood, and TON is rolling down the slope like a snowboarder without brakes. I ran the graphs: EMA 50 and 200, Fibonacci, volumes — everything screams that it’s still pulling towards $1.65–1.75. These are not just numbers; it's like a zone where the market usually says: "Okay, enough falling, let’s bounce back." The correlation with BTC (about 0.7) also hints that without a bullish impulse from Bitcoin, TON will chill at the bottom.
But here's what's cool: TON's fundamentals are like a tank. Telegram is pushing its ecosystem, like games, wallets, DeFi stuff. I recently saw how bots on TON were working smoothly in Telegram — it's just wow. But the market is currently like a strict dad, not letting things go wild. So we are lying low and waiting for a signal!
Why not jump in now?
Honestly, I almost jumped into TON a couple of months ago when it teased at $2. I thought: "Well, it's going to take off now!" Yeah, right! The market showed me the finger, and I was like: "Okay, not a fool, I will wait." My take: TON might dive down to $1.65–1.75. Why?
Charts don't lie: This zone is like a concrete wall; the price bounced there before. Volumes at these levels usually come alive, and the RSI isn't screaming "oversold" yet. So just a little more down — and we will see.
Risks: Crypto is like riding a bike on the edge: sometimes the Fed raises rates, then some geopolitics pops up. Plus, if the market doesn't give a green light, TON will still marinate at the bottom.
On X, people in the chats are also itching: "TON will drop further, don't touch it!" And I agree with them. We are waiting for 1.65–1.75, and then we will look at the breakout of EMA 50 or a surge in volumes. Without this — it's like a casino without trump cards.
Where are we flying to? The target is $5.30! 🔥
If the market says "let's go," TON can shoot from the 1.65–1.75 zone straight to $5.30. This isn't a fantasy; it's a real scenario:
Tech guy: Level 0.618 Fibonacci from the last high is like a magnet. Plus, there used to be a resistance zone there, and now it could become a trampoline. MACD is already winking with a bullish crossover, and RSI on the daily isn't in the red zone yet — there's room for growth.
Fundamentals: Telegram isn't just a messenger; it's an entire empire. Their TON wallet, mini-games, and dApps are like fuel for the rocket. Plus, if Bitcoin shoots to $150k (and I'm betting on that), TON will catch the tail. Remember 2021 — I made a decent entry on ETH then, and TON can give a similar vibe.
Risks? Well, without them, crypto isn't crypto. If the macroeconomics starts to cough or Telegram stumbles with updates, we might get stuck. But I believe that $5.30 is our target by November 2025 to February 2026. Winter is the time for crypto heat, so let's get ready!
When to expect the party?
My forecast: TON will start to shine in November 2025 – February 2026. Winter always wakes up crypto, like coffee in the morning. If BTC and ETH rise, TON won't stay aside. Keep an eye on the news: if Telegram launches something like a new DeFi product or Pavel Durov tweets something hype — that's a signal. Plus, the charts on Binance are your best buddies. I almost missed a pump in 2021 because I got distracted by a series. Don't repeat my mistakes! 😅
In summary: Is TON our ticket to profit?
Toncoin isn't just a coin; it's a piece of Telegram's future. My plan: we wait for a dip to $1.65–1.75, then catch the reversal and aim for $5.30 by early 2026. Buying now is like jumping into a fight unprepared. Watch the charts, stay updated, set stops, and don't get stuck on the hype. I've already burned myself when I jumped into an altcoin on emotions, so trade with a cool head! 💪
What do you think, bro? Do you have any estimates for TON? Maybe someone sees other levels or knows some insider info? Write in the comments, let's chat.
