Peter Brandt Warns: Bitcoin’s Next 6 Weeks Could Define the Cycle
Legendary trader Peter Brandt says Bitcoin is entering a make-or-break window — and the clock is ticking.
In a recent post, Brandt pointed to the Bitcoin halving cycle — the event that slashes BTC block rewards by 50% roughly every four years — as the key timing factor.
> “According to how I view the cycles in Bitcoin — low to high with the halving marking the midpoint (+/- one to two weeks) — a tradable top could occur within the next six or so weeks.” — Peter Brandt
If his analysis holds, the next month and a half could be Bitcoin’s final push before a potential correction.
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Bitcoin Price Snapshot
Aug 2, 2025: BTC dipped to $112,000
Today: Trading at $117,656, up 0.89% in 24 hours and 3.6% this week
ATH: $123,000 reached on July 14, 2025
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The Halving Cycle Debate
Historically, Bitcoin follows a four-year rhythm:
1️⃣ Surge after the halving
2️⃣ Set a record high
3️⃣ Drop 70–80% into a “crypto winter”
4️⃣ Consolidate until the next halving
5️⃣ Repeat
But this cycle may be shifting. Factors like Bitcoin ETFs, regulatory clarity, and institutional adoption could be rewriting the script.
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan says the old pattern might be “dead” — but we won’t know for sure until 2026. And if Bitcoin performs strongly next year, that could confirm the change.
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Bottom line: The next six weeks could set the tone for Bitcoin’s path — either confirming Brandt’s cycle theory or proving that BTC is playing by new rules.