Is the four-year cycle of Bitcoin dead? Veteran players warn with blood and tears: The next wave of wealth opportunities is here, but the gameplay has completely changed!
Having traded cryptocurrencies for 8 years and seen three rounds of bull and bear markets. Today, I will say something that might offend: the four-year cycle of Bitcoin is still here, but the way to get rich has completely changed! What you think is an 'eternal bull market' might cost you your pants!
Who is really in control now?
Old players collectively turn against
In the first half of the year, Bitcoin plummeted from $110,000 to $74,000, not because of ETF dumping! But because of the crazy sell-off by old players! Their cost was only $20,000-30,000; it would be foolish not to sell when it hits $100,000!
I witnessed it firsthand: a large holder sold 5,000 coins at $69,000, cashing out $350 million to buy a yacht!
ETF giants: BlackRock bought 740,000 coins, with a cost of only $43,000! They are playing a ten-year game, now sitting on a profit of 300% while lying flat.
Mysterious forces lock in chips
Satoshi Nakamoto 1 million coins + lost coins 3 million coins = 25% of Bitcoin will forever disappear!
Daily new mining of 450 coins? Not enough for MicroStrategy to fill the gaps! Now it's about stock game!
The truth: old players want to cash out, new big players are bottom fishing, the market is being torn by two forces!
The transformation of the four-year cycle
Previous bull and bear:
$10,000 → $70,000 → $15,000
Now the script:
$50,000 → $120,000 → $70,000 → $150,000
I calculated:
The last round's maximum drop was 55%
This round's maximum drop is 33%
The amplitude is getting smaller, but making money has become harder!
Where is the wealth opportunity?
Short-term peak looks at $150,000
Old players' cost is $20,000-30,000, $150,000 is the cash-out golden point
ETF cost $43,000, can still hold at $150,000
Long-term $1 million? Need to wait for three conditions:
Pension funds/national teams enter
Bitcoin becomes a global hard currency
New players' entry cost rises above $50,000
Blood and tears advice
Don't believe the 'eternal bull market' nonsense! Old players are waiting for you to take over at $100,000
Pay close attention to two types of signals:
ETF weekly inflows surpass $1 billion → jump in with both eyes closed
MicroStrategy issues bonds to buy coins → follow immediately
Don't panic during a crash: a 30% pullback is a big player's accumulation zone, I personally bottomed at $70,000
Blindly going solo will never bring opportunities, click on my profile picture to follow me, I will guide you to explore tenfold potential coins! Top-tier primary resources!
