๐Ÿšจ Bitcoinโ€™s Famous 4-Year Cycle Might Be Over! ๐Ÿšจ

For over a decade, Bitcoin followed a predictable 4-year halving cycle โ€” rallying after each halving, then crashing up to 80%, before starting fresh.

But 2024 changed the game.

๐Ÿ“Œ Whatโ€™s Different This Time?

Spot Bitcoin ETFs launched in Jan 2024, attracting massive institutional inflows before the halving.

Big players + long-term holders are absorbing supply.

Supportive regulation under Trump, including a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve.

Macro backdrop: Falling interest rates likely ahead.

๐Ÿ“Š Signs the Cycle Is Breaking:

All-time high ($73K) hit before the halving โ€” a first in BTC history.

Current ATH: $123K (July 14, 2025).

Corrections are milder โ€” biggest drop this cycle: 26%, not the brutal 70โ€“80% from past cycles.

๐Ÿ’ก Analysts Say:

โ€œI think the 4-year cycle is over.โ€ โ€“ Matthew Hougan, Bitwise CIO

โ€œThe era of brutal 80% drawdowns is behind us.โ€ โ€“ Ryan Chow, Solv Protocol

๐Ÿ“† Historically, the biggest gains came 500โ€“720 days post-halving โ€” meaning Q3 2025 to early Q1 2026 could still see fireworks.

๐Ÿ”ฅ If the cycle is truly dead, BTC may now move more like a macro asset, with 30โ€“50% pullbacks instead of full-on crypto winters.

Do you think the Bitcoin halving cycle is history?

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