๐จ Bitcoinโs Famous 4-Year Cycle Might Be Over! ๐จ
For over a decade, Bitcoin followed a predictable 4-year halving cycle โ rallying after each halving, then crashing up to 80%, before starting fresh.
But 2024 changed the game.
๐ Whatโs Different This Time?
Spot Bitcoin ETFs launched in Jan 2024, attracting massive institutional inflows before the halving.
Big players + long-term holders are absorbing supply.
Supportive regulation under Trump, including a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve.
Macro backdrop: Falling interest rates likely ahead.
๐ Signs the Cycle Is Breaking:
All-time high ($73K) hit before the halving โ a first in BTC history.
Current ATH: $123K (July 14, 2025).
Corrections are milder โ biggest drop this cycle: 26%, not the brutal 70โ80% from past cycles.
๐ก Analysts Say:
โI think the 4-year cycle is over.โ โ Matthew Hougan, Bitwise CIO
โThe era of brutal 80% drawdowns is behind us.โ โ Ryan Chow, Solv Protocol
๐ Historically, the biggest gains came 500โ720 days post-halving โ meaning Q3 2025 to early Q1 2026 could still see fireworks.
๐ฅ If the cycle is truly dead, BTC may now move more like a macro asset, with 30โ50% pullbacks instead of full-on crypto winters.
Do you think the Bitcoin halving cycle is history?
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