$BTC

Bitcoin Contract Strategy👇：

• Long Entry: You can enter a long position when Bitcoin pulls back and stays above the 50-day moving average (e.g., near the current price ~$117,000).

• Short Entry: If the price breaks below the ascending trend line and the 50-day moving average, then enter a short position after a small pullback below that break.

For example: If the direction is bullish, build positions in batches each time it pulls back to the $116,500–$117,000 range.

Precise Stop Loss Settings

• Use technical structure for stop loss: set the long stop loss below the nearest support, such as near $115,000, to avoid being shaken out by regular fluctuations.

• Volatility Stop Loss: Use the ATR indicator, for example, if BTC-USDT 1-hour ATR is $1,000, then setting a distance of $1,500 (1.5×ATR) from the entry is reasonable.

Take Profit Targets (Multi-Level Construction)

• Fixed Targets: For example, first target $120,000, second $122,000.

• Multi-Level Take Profit: Exit in three batches, such as half at $120,000 and the remaining at $122,000–$124,000.

• Risk-Reward Ratio Target: Aim for at least a 1:2 ratio, meaning a stop loss of $2k, target $4k+.

My Viewpoint: More Inclined to “Go Long”

Reasons are as follows:

1. Long-term moving average up + Structural Bullish: The 200-day moving average continues to rise, indicating that bull market momentum has not yet reversed.

2. ETF and Institutional Fund Support: Capital inflow is driving the market to stabilize on the bullish side.

3. Pullbacks Seen as Healthy Adjustments: Not a panic sell-off, but a buildup of energy for the next wave of increases.

4. Possible Technical Breakthrough: If key resistance levels such as $115K~$116K can be broken, there is ample room for short-term upward movement.

However, it is still advised to remain cautious in leveraged trading: consider using a batch building strategy, setting clear stop losses (e.g., if it falls below $112K~$113K), and observing if the resistance can be effectively broken.