As $XRP hovers near the $2.95 mark amid broader market uncertainty, analyst Zach Rector argues that investors may be overlooking a critical catalyst: the pending resolution of the long-running SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit. According to Rector, the nearly five-year legal battle remains underappreciated in current valuations, potentially setting the stage for a significant shift in XRP’s market trajectory.

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📅 August 15: A Potential Turning Point

On August 15, Ripple and the SEC are required to submit status updates concerning their respective appeals. Legal experts believe this procedural milestone could initiate the final phase of the lawsuit—especially if both parties signal a willingness to settle or drop appeals.

Former SEC attorney Marc Fagel has acknowledged that the appeals process appears to be nearing its conclusion, reinforcing growing speculation that the case could soon be dismissed entirely.

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💭 Disbelief Among $XRP Holders

Despite the significance of this upcoming deadline, Rector notes a surprising level of skepticism within the XRP community itself. Many holders remain unconvinced that a near-term resolution is possible. This disconnect between legal progress and market sentiment, he argues, has created a potential buying opportunity for those willing to act before investor sentiment catches up.

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⚖️ From Legal Uncertainty to Clarity

The SEC’s case against Ripple has cast a long shadow since it began in 2020, stifling price growth and deterring institutional adoption. Although a 2023 ruling declared that XRP is not a security in secondary market transactions, ongoing debates regarding institutional sales and financial remedies have kept the case alive into 2025.

A complete resolution—particularly one involving mutual withdrawal of appeals—could finally remove the regulatory overhang that has suppressed XRP’s performance for years.

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🚀 Could XRP Reach $10–$20?

Rector outlines a bullish case for XRP, contingent on two key developments:

1. Final resolution of the SEC lawsuit

2. Potential approval of a U.S.-based XRP ETF

If both catalysts align, he believes XRP could climb to the $10–$20 range within the next 12 months—driven by increased institutional inflows, renewed retail interest, and broader market recovery. However, he cautions that this scenario depends on:

Sustained institutional momentum

General improvement in crypto market conditions

Growing retail participation

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⏳ A Final Opportunity Before Liftoff?

As XRP continues to consolidate below $3, the upcoming August 15 court update could prove to be more than just another procedural step—it may serve as a defining moment for the asset’s legal clarity and market legitimacy.

For investors tracking the Ripple case, the next few weeks could determine whether $XRP remains a speculative altcoin—or emerges as a fully legitimized contender in the evolving world of digital finance.

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